Short Trade on JTO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 471.26 JTO at 0.533$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5196 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5499 (3.19 %)
28 Jul 2026 at 19:10:04
hyperliquid
JTO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
28 Jul 2026 19:10
→ 01:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.5329$
Qty 471.2619 JTO
Size 251.1449$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.5196 (+2.5%)
TP $ 6.27$
SL 0.5499 (-3.19%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.78
Status
loss
PnL
-0.73%
/ -1.83$
MAE -2.26%
MFE +1.15%
0.4R
expires
29 Jul 01:10
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 51567)
#51 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/07/2026 19:00
score du 28/07/2026 19:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0616
Quality Score
0.387
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#51 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.19 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#51 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.19 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.76×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.48×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/07 19:01
28/07 19:01
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 27/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/07 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/07 18:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1127
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.84
Snapshot évalué :
28/07 19:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
28/07/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3871
Score SMA
0.4429
Rank
#51
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0616
Rank Norm SMA
0.1621
Calculé le
28/07/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2361 | r1h: -1.342% · r4h: -2.017% · r1d: -4.98% · r3d: -9.80% · ema21_slope: -0.2689% · dist_ema21: -3.678% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2650 | rs_1h: -1.190% · rs_4h: -2.250% · rs_1d: -5.11% · rs_3d: -8.96% · beta_24h: 0.978 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1724 | rvol_20: 0.56× · zscore_50: -0.585 · trend: -49.22% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7705 | ADX: 38.2 (trend) · Chop: 44.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.296% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.190%
(0.0170)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.546% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.259% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.259% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.148% | 0.4R | -2.259% | 0.7R | 0.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.148% | 0.4R | -2.259% | 0.7R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.148% | 0.4R | -3.725% | 1.2R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.35
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -5.84% | -0.94 | 27/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.33 | range_high | -0.55% | -0.74 | 28/07 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.29 | bear_medium | -0.76% | -0.57 | 28/07 18:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.06% | -0.23 | 28/07 18:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 32b | — | 6.139×ATR | p67 | -0.916×ATR | p77 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 9b | — | 5.527×ATR | p75 | -1.106×ATR | p84 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 3.868×ATR | p80 | -1.575×ATR | p93 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 29b | — | 8.57×ATR | p96 | -1.139×ATR | p72 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5329 | 0.5499 | 0.5196 | 0.78 | 0.2713 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5329
- Stop Loss: 0.5499
- Take Profit: 0.5196
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5499 - 0.5329 = 0.017
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5329 - 0.5196 = 0.0133
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0133 / 0.017 = 0.7824
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 251.1449 | 100 | 471.2619 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.017
Taille de position = 8 / 0.017 = 470.59
Taille de position USD = 470.59 x 0.5329 = 250.78
Donc, tu peux acheter 470.59 avec un stoploss a 0.5499
Avec un position size USD de 250.78$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 470.59 x 0.017 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 470.59 x 0.0133 = 6.26
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.26$
Résumé
- Taille de position 470.59
- Taille de position USD 250.78
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 6.26
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7824
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 6.27 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.19 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.83 $ | -0.73 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.2593 % | 70.82 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5329 | 0.5499 | 0.5196 | 0.78 | 0.2713 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5329
- Stop Loss: 0.5499
- Take Profit: 0.5196
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5499 - 0.5329 = 0.017
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5329 - 0.5196 = 0.0133
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0133 / 0.017 = 0.7824
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.190%
(0.0170)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.546% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.259% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.259% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.148% | 0.4R | -2.259% | 0.7R | 0.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.148% | 0.4R | -2.259% | 0.7R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.148% | 0.4R | -3.725% | 1.2R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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