Short Trade on ZRO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 203.77 ZRO at 0.808$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7883 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8478 (4.86 %)
28 Jul 2026 at 19:10:04
hyperliquid
ZRO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
28 Jul 2026 19:10
→ 21:15
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.8085$
Qty 203.7675 ZRO
Size 164.7521$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.7883 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.12$
SL 0.8478 (-4.86%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.51
Status
loss
PnL
-1.74%
/ -2.87$
MAE -3.89%
MFE +0.00%
0.0R
expires
28 Jul 21:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=20 <= threshold=41/51
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 51559)
#47 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/07/2026 19:00
score du 28/07/2026 19:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0611
Quality Score
0.425
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#47 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#47 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.88×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.47×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.95×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
3.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/07 19:00
28/07 19:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 27/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/07 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/07 18:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1127
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.84
Snapshot évalué :
28/07 19:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
28/07/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.4247
Score SMA
0.4776
Rank
#47
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0611
Rank Norm SMA
0.3892
Calculé le
28/07/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3314 | r1h: -0.611% · r4h: 0.342% · r1d: -9.15% · r3d: -4.98% · ema21_slope: -0.3339% · dist_ema21: -3.390% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3327 | rs_1h: -0.459% · rs_4h: 0.109% · rs_1d: -9.28% · rs_3d: -4.14% · beta_24h: 1.342 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1684 | rvol_20: 0.57× · zscore_50: -0.638 · trend: -55.12% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7229 | ADX: 35.7 (trend) · Chop: 47.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.908% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
2.2h)
Initial Risk: -4.861%
(0.0393)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.633% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.887% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 2.2h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.887% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 25 |
| 4h | +0.202% | 0.0R | -3.887% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.781% | 0.6R | -3.887% | 0.8R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.249% | 0.7R | -3.887% | 0.8R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 0.29
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -5.84% | -0.92 | 27/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
47%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.43 | range_high | -0.55% | -0.23 | 28/07 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.27 | bear_medium | -0.76% | -0.49 | 28/07 18:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.06% | -0.13 | 28/07 18:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 1.095×ATR | p0 | -0.304×ATR | p31 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 4.665×ATR | p63 | -0.921×ATR | p78 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 2.956×ATR | p48 | -0.694×ATR | p55 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 1.92×ATR | p13 | -0.441×ATR | p37 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.84779044
- tp_price: 0.78831675
- atr: 0.01570417
- expires_at: 2026-07-29T05:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 52
- total: 54
- score: 0.3314
- delta_2h: -0.0072
- extension_atr: -2.34
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0611
- confidence: 0.962
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8085 | 0.8478 | 0.7883 | 0.51 | 1.4579 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.8085
- Stop Loss: 0.8478
- Take Profit: 0.7883
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8478 - 0.8085 = 0.0393
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8085 - 0.7883 = 0.0202
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0202 / 0.0393 = 0.514
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 164.7521 | 100 | 203.7675 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0393
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0393 = 203.56
Taille de position USD = 203.56 x 0.8085 = 164.58
Donc, tu peux acheter 203.56 avec un stoploss a 0.8478
Avec un position size USD de 164.58$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 203.56 x 0.0393 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 203.56 x 0.0202 = 4.11
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.11$
Résumé
- Taille de position 203.56
- Taille de position USD 164.58
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.11
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.514
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.12 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.86 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.87 $ | -1.74 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.8874 % | 79.97 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8085 | 0.8478 | 0.7883 | 0.51 | 1.4579 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.8085
- Stop Loss: 0.8478
- Take Profit: 0.7883
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8478 - 0.8085 = 0.0393
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8085 - 0.7883 = 0.0202
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0202 / 0.0393 = 0.514
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.7883
[entry_price] => 0.8085
[stop_loss] => 0.85173
[rr_ratio] => 0.47
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-07-29 04:05:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.7883
[entry_price] => 0.8085
[stop_loss] => 0.85566
[rr_ratio] => 0.43
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-07-29 04:05:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.7883
[entry_price] => 0.8085
[stop_loss] => 0.85959
[rr_ratio] => 0.4
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-07-29 04:05:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.7883
[entry_price] => 0.8085
[stop_loss] => 0.86745
[rr_ratio] => 0.34
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-07-29 04:05:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
2.2h)
Initial Risk: -4.861%
(0.0393)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.633% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.887% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 2.2h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.887% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 25 |
| 4h | +0.202% | 0.0R | -3.887% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.781% | 0.6R | -3.887% | 0.8R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.249% | 0.7R | -3.887% | 0.8R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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