Long Trade on ONDO (CatchTheWave)
With 3928.91 ONDO at 0.402$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4059 (1.02 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3998 (0.5 %)
Long Trade on ONDO (CatchTheWave)
With 3928.91 ONDO at 0.402$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4059 (1.02 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3998 (0.5 %)
Position
Entry 0.4018$
Qty 3928.9064 ONDO
Size 1578.7918$ (margin 100$) (leverage 16)
Risk Setup
TP 0.4059 (+1.02%)
TP $ 16.11$
SL 0.3998 (-0.5%)
SL $ 7.86$
RR 2.05
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8168
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.08×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.51×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.75×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 28/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 28/07 20:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : -0.208487 15m : 0.460282 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5845 | r1h: -0.370% · r4h: 0.248% · r1d: 3.89% · r3d: 5.70% · ema21_slope: 0.1500% · dist_ema21: 0.783% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5642 | rs_1h: -0.604% · rs_4h: -0.020% · rs_1d: 2.94% · rs_3d: 6.37% · beta_24h: 2.100 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2452 | rvol_20: 0.76× · zscore_50: -0.277 · trend: -33.60% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6371 | ADX: 24.5 (weak) · Chop: 46.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.630% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.159% | 0.3R | -1.269% | 2.6R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.376% | 0.8R | -1.269% | 2.6R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.376% | 0.8R | -2.389% | 4.8R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.222% | 2.5R | -2.389% | 4.8R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.827% | 3.7R | -2.389% | 4.8R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.65 | bear_high | -5.28% | +0.98 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.61 | range_high | -0.45% | +0.57 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | normal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.48 | range_medium | -0.41% | +0.27 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near 0.0ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.38% | -0.02 | 28/07 20:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 35b | — | 4.63×ATR | p65 | +0.52×ATR | p58 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.994×ATR | p0 | +0.377×ATR | p40 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 0.616×ATR | p2 | +0.063×ATR | p7 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.602×ATR | p3 | -0.563×ATR | p54 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63887.8
0.000519545
63921
-0.208487
63671.8
0.00391367
63921
0.460282
64176.8
-0.00350417
63952
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0.1491
0.6431
0.6658
0.072
0.0421
1
0.2392
0.6103
0.5
0.5
-1
15
1
0.4915
0.5046
4.0982
0.6
0.8371
1.6144
0.6103
0.8084
0.2068
0.08
-0.1483
0.524
0.4631
0.8824
0.6658
-2.7427
5.4642
1
0
2
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:11 | 0.40184000 | +0.01% |
| 2 | 21:16 | 0.40073000 | -0.266% |
| 3 | 21:37 | 0.40071000 | -0.271% |
| 4 | 21:42 | 0.40058000 | -0.304% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 18:25:00 | 0.40031 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 18:35:00 | 0.40325 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 18:55:00 | 0.40053 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 19:45:00 | 0.40311 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 20:25:00 | 0.40708 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 21:35:00 | 0.41172 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 23:20:00 | 0.40361 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 00:05:00 | 0.40849 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 00:35:00 | 0.40209 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 01:05:00 | 0.4018 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 08:15:00 | 0.38785 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 09:30:00 | 0.39086 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 10:00:00 | 0.38416 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 13:15:00 | 0.39992 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 13:45:00 | 0.39034 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 16:15:00 | 0.41394 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 18:15:00 | 0.40031 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 21:30:00 | 0.41172 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 00:00:00 | 0.40849 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 01:00:00 | 0.4018 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 18:00:00 | 0.3859 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-26 00:00:00 | 0.3766 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-26 05:00:00 | 0.39118 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-26 13:00:00 | 0.38242 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-26 17:00:00 | 0.40919 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-27 10:00:00 | 0.4182 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-27 14:00:00 | 0.39557 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 01:00:00 | 0.38673 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 10:00:00 | 0.38416 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 16:00:00 | 0.41394 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4018 | 0.3998 | 0.4059 | 2.05 | 0.3018 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3998 - 0.4018 = -0.002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4018 - 0.4059 = -0.0041
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0041 / -0.002 = 2.05
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1578.7918 | 100 | 3928.9064 | 16.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.002 = -4000
Taille de position USD = -4000 x 0.4018 = -1607.2
Donc, tu peux acheter -4000 avec un stoploss a 0.3998
Avec un position size USD de -1607.2$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4000 x -0.002 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4000 x -0.0041 = 16.4
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.4$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.02 % | 16.11 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.5 % | 7.86 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.86 $ | -0.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5674 % | 113.98 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4018 | 0.3998 | 0.4059 | 2.05 | 0.3018 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3998 - 0.4018 = -0.002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4018 - 0.4059 = -0.0041
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0041 / -0.002 = 2.05
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.159% | 0.3R | -1.269% | 2.6R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.376% | 0.8R | -1.269% | 2.6R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.376% | 0.8R | -2.389% | 4.8R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.222% | 2.5R | -2.389% | 4.8R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.827% | 3.7R | -2.389% | 4.8R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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