Long Trade on KAITO (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 162.82 KAITO at 1.222$ per unit. Take profit: 1.3451 (10.05 %) & Stop Loss: 1.1732 (4.02 %)
28 Jul 2026 at 21:12:32
hyperliquid
KAITO
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
28 Jul 2026 21:12
→ 09:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 1.2223$
Qty 162.8242 KAITO
Size 199.02$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 1.3451 (+10.05%)
TP $ 19.99$
SL 1.1732 (-4.02%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+2.52%
/ +5.01$
MAE -1.93%
MFE +5.44%
1.4R
expires
29 Jul 09:12
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 51681)
#3 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/07/2026 21:00
score du 28/07/2026 21:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6458
Quality Score
0.718
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#3 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.02 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#3 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.02 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.22×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.28×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
15.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/07 21:02
28/07 21:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 28/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 28/07 20:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1129
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.70
Transition risk :
0.30
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.82
Snapshot évalué :
28/07 21:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
28/07/2026 21:00
Score brut
0.7180
Score SMA
0.5753
Rank
#3
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6458
Rank Norm SMA
0.7309
Calculé le
28/07/2026 21:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6298 | r1h: 1.673% · r4h: 5.738% · r1d: -5.11% · r3d: 19.66% · ema21_slope: -0.2272% · dist_ema21: 3.565% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7231 | rs_1h: 1.438% · rs_4h: 5.470% · rs_1d: -6.06% · rs_3d: 20.33% · beta_24h: -0.006 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8016 | rvol_20: 3.64× · zscore_50: 1.547 · trend: 23.86% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5866 | ADX: 21.7 (weak) · Chop: 49.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.874% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.017%
(0.0491)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.054% | 0.5R | -0.139% | 0.0R | 14.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +5.441% | 1.4R | -0.139% | 0.0R | 39.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +5.441% | 1.4R | -0.139% | 0.0R | 39.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.441% | 1.4R | -1.931% | 0.5R | 2.8× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +5.441% | 1.4R | -1.931% | 0.5R | 2.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +12.337% | 3.1R | -1.931% | 0.5R | 6.4× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.67
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.44 | bear_high | -5.28% | +1.00 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.09 | range_high | -0.45% | +0.98 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | -0.03 | range_medium | -0.41% | -0.53 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | near -1.4ATR | -0.02 | range_low | +0.38% | +0.37 | 28/07 20:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 18b | — | 5.15×ATR | p63 | +0.75×ATR | p65 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.983×ATR | p0 | +0.335×ATR | p36 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 6b | — | 3.865×ATR | p76 | +1.364×ATR | p91 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 19b | — | 4.342×ATR | p68 | +0.789×ATR | p57 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8081
- reason: up_bo width=2.30×ATR dur=61b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 1.17316726
- tp_price: 1.34513185
- atr:
- score: 0.8080917438201
- expires_at: 2026-07-29T13:12:24.388996
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.8080917438201
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0115
- obi_top10 : 0.0022
- micro_price : 1.22712415
- spread_pct : 0.016299
- mid_price : 1.2272
- bid_wall_price : 1.22
- bid_wall_size : 190453.7
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 1.23
- ask_wall_size : 255054.46
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0137
- obi_top5_std : 0.0084
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7013
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
1.21615
- balance_zone_bottom:
1.13705
- balance_zone_mid:
1.1766
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785070800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785286800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.3043
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
61
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8081
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785283200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
1.21615
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.623
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.1792
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
9
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
6
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.03432741 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
61
inside_close_ratio
0.623
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.1792
Signaux confirmants (11)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:12 | 1.22230000 | 0% |
| 2 | 21:18 | 1.22230000 | 0% |
| 3 | 21:23 | 1.22800000 | +0.466% |
| 4 | 21:28 | 1.22800000 | +0.466% |
| 5 | 21:33 | 1.22800000 | +0.466% |
| 6 | 21:38 | 1.23520000 | +1.055% |
| 7 | 21:43 | 1.23520000 | +1.055% |
| 8 | 21:49 | 1.22710000 | +0.393% |
| 9 | 21:54 | 1.22710000 | +0.393% |
| 10 | 21:59 | 1.22710000 | +0.393% |
| 11 | 22:06 | 1.22710000 | +0.393% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7013ms
Confidence avant OB :
81%
→
81%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.012
avg -0.014
± 0.008
OBI Top 10
0.002
Microstructure
Mid Price
1.2272
Micro Price
1.2271
Spread
0.0163%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
1.2200
Size
190,453.70
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
1.2300
Size
255,054.46
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2223 | 1.1732 | 1.3451 | 2.5 | 0.1777 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.2223
- Stop Loss: 1.1732
- Take Profit: 1.3451
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1732 - 1.2223 = -0.0491
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.2223 - 1.3451 = -0.1228
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1228 / -0.0491 = 2.501
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 199.02 | 100 | 162.8242 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0491
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0491 = -162.93
Taille de position USD = -162.93 x 1.2223 = -199.15
Donc, tu peux acheter -162.93 avec un stoploss a 1.1732
Avec un position size USD de -199.15$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -162.93 x -0.0491 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -162.93 x -0.1228 = 20.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.01$
Résumé
- Taille de position -162.93
- Taille de position USD -199.15
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.01
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.501
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 10.05 % | 19.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.02 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 5.01 $ | 2.52 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.9308 % | 48.07 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2223 | 1.1732 | 1.3451 | 2.5 | 0.1777 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.2223
- Stop Loss: 1.1732
- Take Profit: 1.3451
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1732 - 1.2223 = -0.0491
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.2223 - 1.3451 = -0.1228
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1228 / -0.0491 = 2.501
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.017%
(0.0491)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.054% | 0.5R | -0.139% | 0.0R | 14.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +5.441% | 1.4R | -0.139% | 0.0R | 39.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +5.441% | 1.4R | -0.139% | 0.0R | 39.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.441% | 1.4R | -1.931% | 0.5R | 2.8× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +5.441% | 1.4R | -1.931% | 0.5R | 2.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +12.337% | 3.1R | -1.931% | 0.5R | 6.4× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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