Short Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 8.62 XMR at 344.56$ per unit. Take profit: 342.7029 (0.54 %) & Stop Loss: 345.4886 (0.27 %)
Short Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 8.62 XMR at 344.56$ per unit. Take profit: 342.7029 (0.54 %) & Stop Loss: 345.4886 (0.27 %)
Position
Entry 344.56$
Qty 8.6154 XMR
Size 2968.5145$ (margin 100$) (leverage 30)
Risk Setup
TP 342.7029 (+0.54%)
TP $ 16$
SL 345.4886 (-0.27%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4297
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.24×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.93×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.18×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 28/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 28/07 21:00 Score : +4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.279222 15m : 0.367363 |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bull_low 5m_regime : bull_low |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4593 | r1h: 0.331% · r4h: 0.708% · r1d: 0.32% · r3d: -6.20% · ema21_slope: -0.0687% · dist_ema21: 0.512% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4591 | rs_1h: 0.096% · rs_4h: 0.440% · rs_1d: -0.63% · rs_3d: -5.53% · beta_24h: 0.507 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1471 | rvol_20: 0.27× · zscore_50: -1.149 · trend: -32.20% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5939 | ADX: 29.3 (trend) · Chop: 56.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.750% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.033% | 3.8R | -0.128% | 0.5R | 8.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.033% | 3.8R | -0.569% | 2.1R | 1.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.033% | 3.8R | -0.958% | 3.6R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.033% | 3.8R | -2.069% | 7.7R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.033% | 3.8R | -2.220% | 8.2R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -5.28% | +0.62 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
35%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.36 | range_high | -0.63% | -0.49 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.34 | bear_medium | -0.79% | -0.05 | 28/07 21:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
38%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near -0.4ATR | — | range_low | +0.05% | +0.13 | 28/07 21:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.305×ATR | p0 | -0.436×ATR | p52 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 23b | — | 5.731×ATR | p90 | -0.128×ATR | p15 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 10b | — | 2.805×ATR | p53 | +0.33×ATR | p30 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 10b | — | 3.752×ATR | p74 | +0.651×ATR | p53 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63842
-0.000485704
63811
0.279222
63645.5
0.0032123
63850
0.367363
64174
-0.00567324
63810
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334.89
189
0.3428
0.5396
0.3494
0.2376
0.4408
1
0.3281
0.4137
0.2575
0.5009
0.5944
0.2542
0.0438
-0.0563
0.3333
1.2018
-0.3537
0.3
0.7
-1
10
1
0.5248
0.3994
3.7468
0.6
2.2708
4.2436
-0.3537
0.5369
0.3296
0.38
0.1093
0.5288
0.6172
0.5335
0.2542
-11.248
3.8335
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:39 | 344.56000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 21:44 | 344.48000000 | -0.023% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 17:45:00 | 335.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 18:05:00 | 340.61 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 18:50:00 | 340.75 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 20:00:00 | 337.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 21:10:00 | 341.14 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 22:45:00 | 338.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 23:20:00 | 340.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 00:30:00 | 341.59 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 01:15:00 | 341.87 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 01:35:00 | 344.66 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 05:00:00 | 342.79 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 08:00:00 | 340.78 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 09:45:00 | 344.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 15:15:00 | 334.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 17:45:00 | 335.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 18:45:00 | 340.75 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 20:00:00 | 337.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 21:00:00 | 341.14 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 22:45:00 | 338.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 01:30:00 | 344 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 02:00:00 | 370.07 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-26 08:00:00 | 360.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-27 07:00:00 | 347.43 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-27 11:00:00 | 353.98 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-27 16:00:00 | 343.03 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-27 20:00:00 | 350.97 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 02:00:00 | 340.38 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 09:00:00 | 344.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 15:00:00 | 334.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 01:00:00 | 344.5 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 344.56 | 345.4886 | 342.7029 | 2 | 486.86 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 345.4886 - 344.56 = 0.92860000000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 344.56 - 342.7029 = 1.8571
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.8571 / 0.92860000000002 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2968.5145 | 100 | 8.6154 | 30.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.92860000000002 = 8.62
Taille de position USD = 8.62 x 344.56 = 2970.11
Donc, tu peux acheter 8.62 avec un stoploss a 345.4886
Avec un position size USD de 2970.11$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 8.62 x 0.92860000000002 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 8.62 x 1.8571 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.54 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.27 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.54 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1277 % | 47.38 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 344.56 | 345.4886 | 342.7029 | 2 | 486.86 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 345.4886 - 344.56 = 0.92860000000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 344.56 - 342.7029 = 1.8571
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.8571 / 0.92860000000002 = 1.9999
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.033% | 3.8R | -0.128% | 0.5R | 8.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.033% | 3.8R | -0.569% | 2.1R | 1.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.033% | 3.8R | -0.958% | 3.6R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.033% | 3.8R | -2.069% | 7.7R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.033% | 3.8R | -2.220% | 8.2R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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