Long Trade on KAITO (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 117.42 KAITO at 1.241$ per unit. Take profit: 1.4117 (13.72 %) & Stop Loss: 1.1733 (5.49 %)
28 Jul 2026 at 22:11:49
hyperliquid
KAITO
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
28 Jul 2026 22:11
→ 10:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 1.2414$
Qty 117.4165 KAITO
Size 145.7609$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 1.4117 (+13.72%)
TP $ 20$
SL 1.1733 (-5.49%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+1.47%
/ +2.14$
MAE -3.44%
MFE +3.82%
0.7R
expires
29 Jul 10:11
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 51731)
#7 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/07/2026 22:00
score du 28/07/2026 22:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7418
Quality Score
0.578
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#7 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.49 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#7 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.49 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.06×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.28×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
11.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/07 22:02
28/07 22:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 28/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 28/07 21:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1130
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.70
Transition risk :
0.30
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.82
Snapshot évalué :
28/07 22:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
28/07/2026 22:00
Score brut
0.5782
Score SMA
0.5621
Rank
#7
/ 50
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7418
Rank Norm SMA
0.7258
Calculé le
28/07/2026 22:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5858 | r1h: -0.317% · r4h: 3.983% · r1d: -7.76% · r3d: 21.28% · ema21_slope: -0.1434% · dist_ema21: 3.569% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6013 | rs_1h: -0.082% · rs_4h: 4.236% · rs_1d: -8.68% · rs_3d: 22.29% · beta_24h: 0.510 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2815 | rvol_20: 0.70× · zscore_50: -0.351 · trend: 4.80% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6391 | ADX: 22.2 (weak) · Chop: 43.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.868% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.486%
(0.0681)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.818% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +3.818% | 0.7R | -0.822% | 0.2R | 4.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.818% | 0.7R | -3.440% | 0.6R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.818% | 0.7R | -3.440% | 0.6R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.818% | 0.7R | -3.440% | 0.6R | 1.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +10.609% | 1.9R | -3.440% | 0.6R | 3.1× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.44
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.44 | bear_high | -5.28% | +1.00 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.09 | range_high | -0.63% | +0.98 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | -0.03 | bear_medium | -0.82% | -0.29 | 28/07 21:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.06% | +0.57 | 28/07 21:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 18b | — | 5.15×ATR | p63 | +0.75×ATR | p65 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 2.07×ATR | p3 | +0.43×ATR | p44 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 4.007×ATR | p76 | +1.141×ATR | p85 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 22b | — | 5.21×ATR | p82 | +0.863×ATR | p62 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7935
- reason: up_bo width=2.37×ATR dur=62b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 1.17326649
- tp_price: 1.41173379
- atr:
- score: 0.79351949325013
- expires_at: 2026-07-29T14:11:42.150808
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.79351949325013
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0488
- obi_top10 : 0.0553
- micro_price : 1.24124693
- spread_pct : 0.040287
- mid_price : 1.24135
- bid_wall_price : 1.23
- bid_wall_size : 112202.18
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 1.25
- ask_wall_size : 119057.28
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0392
- obi_top5_std : 0.0054
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7032
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
1.21615
- balance_zone_bottom:
1.13705
- balance_zone_mid:
1.1766
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785070800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785290400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.3729
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
62
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7935
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785283200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
1.21615
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6129
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
2
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.7575
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
8
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
6
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.03333515 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
62
inside_close_ratio
0.6129
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
0.7575
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:11 | 1.24140000 | 0% |
| 2 | 22:17 | 1.24140000 | 0% |
| 3 | 22:22 | 1.24740000 | +0.483% |
| 4 | 22:27 | 1.24740000 | +0.483% |
| 5 | 22:32 | 1.24740000 | +0.483% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7032ms
Confidence avant OB :
79%
→
79%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.049
avg 0.039
± 0.005
OBI Top 10
0.055
Microstructure
Mid Price
1.2414
Micro Price
1.2412
Spread
0.0403%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
1.2300
Size
112,202.18
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
1.2500
Size
119,057.28
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2414 | 1.1733 | 1.4117 | 2.5 | 0.1776 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.2414
- Stop Loss: 1.1733
- Take Profit: 1.4117
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1733 - 1.2414 = -0.0681
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.2414 - 1.4117 = -0.1703
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1703 / -0.0681 = 2.5007
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 145.7609 | 100 | 117.4165 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0681
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0681 = -117.47
Taille de position USD = -117.47 x 1.2414 = -145.83
Donc, tu peux acheter -117.47 avec un stoploss a 1.1733
Avec un position size USD de -145.83$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -117.47 x -0.0681 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -117.47 x -0.1703 = 20.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.01$
Résumé
- Taille de position -117.47
- Taille de position USD -145.83
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.01
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5007
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 13.72 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.49 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.14 $ | 1.47 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.4397 % | 62.7 % | 21 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2414 | 1.1733 | 1.4117 | 2.5 | 0.1776 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.2414
- Stop Loss: 1.1733
- Take Profit: 1.4117
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1733 - 1.2414 = -0.0681
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.2414 - 1.4117 = -0.1703
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1703 / -0.0681 = 2.5007
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.486%
(0.0681)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.818% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +3.818% | 0.7R | -0.822% | 0.2R | 4.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.818% | 0.7R | -3.440% | 0.6R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.818% | 0.7R | -3.440% | 0.6R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.818% | 0.7R | -3.440% | 0.6R | 1.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +10.609% | 1.9R | -3.440% | 0.6R | 3.1× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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