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Short Trade on ZEC

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28 Jul 2026 at 22:12:19 hyperliquid

Short Trade on ZEC (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 0.77 ZEC at 460.28$ per unit. Take profit: 434.3866 (5.63 %) & Stop Loss: 470.6374 (2.25 %)

ZEC SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 28 Jul 2026 22:12 → 10:10 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 460.28$

Qty 0.7724 ZEC

Size 355.5194$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)

Risk Setup

TP 434.3866 (+5.63%)

TP $ 20$

SL 470.6374 (-2.25%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -0.56% / -2.01$ MAE -1.93% MFE +1.95% 0.9R expires 29 Jul 10:12 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 51735)
#44 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/07/2026 22:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2743

Quality Score
0.423
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#44 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
72 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.25 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#44 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
72 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.25 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.87×ATR
4h clear 0.59×ATR
1d clear 1.22×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
78.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/07 22:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

28/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

28/07 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

28/07 21:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #1130
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_bound
Strategic range

—

compression

0

Operational range

—

compression

0

Tactical range

—

transition

0

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.70
Transition risk : 0.30
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.82
Snapshot évalué : 28/07 22:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 28/07/2026 22:00
Score brut
0.4230
Score SMA
0.4994
Rank
#44 / 50
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2743
Rank Norm SMA
0.4125
Calculé le
28/07/2026 22:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3446 r1h: -1.028% · r4h: -1.772% · r1d: -2.67% · r3d: -5.24% · ema21_slope: -0.0865% · dist_ema21: -1.753%
Force Relative 25% 0.3551 rs_1h: -0.793% · rs_4h: -1.519% · rs_1d: -3.60% · rs_3d: -4.23% · beta_24h: 2.470
Volume 20% 0.1791 rvol_20: 0.34× · zscore_50: -0.725 · trend: -29.39%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6335 ADX: 29.6 (trend) · Chop: 52.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.332% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.250% (10.3574)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.363% 0.2R -1.141% 0.5R 0.3× 12
2h +1.951% 0.9R -1.141% 0.5R 1.7× 24
4h +1.951% 0.9R -1.362% 0.6R 1.4× 48
8h +1.951% 0.9R -1.929% 0.9R 1.0× 96
12h ★ +1.951% 0.9R -1.929% 0.9R 1.0× 144
24h +1.951% 0.9R -3.163% 1.4R 0.6× 288

computed 3 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.12
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate fading compression bull_high
55%
noisy_chop 42% mid — — 0.42 bear_high -5.28% -0.37 28/07 20:00
4h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 42% mid — — 0.70 range_high -0.63% -0.31 28/07 20:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind normal bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 42% early near -0.9ATR — 0.57 bear_medium -0.82% -0.16 28/07 21:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate grind normal bear_medium
61%
noisy_chop 47% late near -1.3ATR — — range_low -0.06% -0.16 28/07 21:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 14b — 3.685×ATR p22 -0.788×ATR p69
4h ↓ down mid 13b — 3.981×ATR p63 -0.692×ATR p65
1h ↑ up early 2b — 0.4×ATR p0 -0.479×ATR p47
15m ↓ down late 3b — 3.228×ATR p63 -1.215×ATR p86

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.7225
  3. reason: down_bo width=3.00×ATR dur=34b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 470.63735271
  5. tp_price: 434.38661821
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.72251457559195
  8. expires_at: 2026-07-29T14:12:12.205116
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.72251457559195
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
    5. ¸
  5. market_structures
    6. ¸
  6. market_structure_v2
    7. ¸
  7. trend_analyzer_1h
    8. ¸
  8. orderbook_context
  9. obi_top5 : 0.1338
  10. obi_top10 : 0.1338
  11. micro_price : 460.75979093
  12. spread_pct : 0.00217
  13. mid_price : 460.755
  14. bid_wall_price :
  15. bid_wall_size :
  16. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  17. ask_wall_price :
  18. ask_wall_size :
  19. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  20. snapshots_count : 5
  21. obi_top5_mean : 0.1141
  22. obi_top5_std : 0.0389
  23. pressure_side : neutral
  24. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  25. collection_ms : 6863
  26. aggregation_tick : 1
  27. error :
    28. ¸
  28. strategy_details
  29. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  30. strategy_details
  31. balance_zone_top: 
    479.27
  32. balance_zone_bottom: 
    460.77
  33. balance_zone_mid: 
    470.02
  34. balance_zone_start_time: 
    1785171600
  35. balance_zone_end_time: 
    1785290400
  36. balance_zone_width_atr: 
    2.9967
  37. balance_zone_duration_bars: 
    34
  38. balance_zone_quality: loose
  39. balance_zone_maturity: established
  40. balance_zone_confidence: 
    0.7225
  41. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  42. balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
  43. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  44. balance_zone_breakout_time: 
    1785286800
  45. balance_zone_breakout_price: 
    460.77
  46. strategy_details
  47. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio: 
    0.7647
  48. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout: 
    1
  49. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr: 
    0.0794
  50. balance_metrics_has_retested: 
    1
  51. balance_metrics_retest_count: 
    1
  52. balance_metrics_touch_upper: 
    5
  53. balance_metrics_touch_lower: 
    5
  54. regime : bear_high
  55. atr_entry : 6.17352715
    56. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
34
inside_close_ratio
0.7647
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.0794

Signaux confirmants (5)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 22:12 460.28000000 0%
2 22:18 460.28000000 0%
3 22:23 459.30000000 -0.213%
4 22:28 459.30000000 -0.213%
5 22:33 459.30000000 -0.213%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6863ms Confidence avant OB : 72% → 72%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.134
avg 0.114 ± 0.039
OBI Top 10 0.134

Microstructure

Mid Price
460.7550
Micro Price
460.7598
Spread
0.0022%

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
460.28 470.6374 434.3866 2.5 866.15
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 460.28
  • Stop Loss: 470.6374
  • Take Profit: 434.3866

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 470.6374 - 460.28 = 10.3574

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 460.28 - 434.3866 = 25.8934

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 25.8934 / 10.3574 = 2.5

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
355.5194 100 0.7724 4.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 10.3574

Taille de position = 8 / 10.3574 = 0.77

Taille de position USD = 0.77 x 460.28 = 354.42

Donc, tu peux acheter 0.77 avec un stoploss a 470.6374

Avec un position size USD de 354.42$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 0.77 x 10.3574 = 7.98

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.98$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 0.77 x 25.8934 = 19.94

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.94$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 0.77
  • Taille de position USD 354.42
  • Perte potentielle 7.98
  • Gain potentiel 19.94
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
5.63 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.25 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-2.01 $ -0.56
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.9293 % 85.74 % 25
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
460.28 470.6374 434.3866 2.5 866.15
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 460.28
  • Stop Loss: 470.6374
  • Take Profit: 434.3866

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 470.6374 - 460.28 = 10.3574

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 460.28 - 434.3866 = 25.8934

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 25.8934 / 10.3574 = 2.5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.250% (10.3574)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.363% 0.2R -1.141% 0.5R 0.3× 12
2h +1.951% 0.9R -1.141% 0.5R 1.7× 24
4h +1.951% 0.9R -1.362% 0.6R 1.4× 48
8h +1.951% 0.9R -1.929% 0.9R 1.0× 96
12h ★ +1.951% 0.9R -1.929% 0.9R 1.0× 144
24h +1.951% 0.9R -3.163% 1.4R 0.6× 288

computed 3 months ago

Commentaires

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