Long Trade on KAITO (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 80.21 KAITO at 1.273$ per unit. Take profit: 1.5221 (19.59 %) & Stop Loss: 1.1731 (7.83 %)
28 Jul 2026 at 22:37:41
hyperliquid
KAITO
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
28 Jul 2026 22:37
→ 10:35
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 1.2728$
Qty 80.2115 KAITO
Size 102.0931$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 1.5221 (+19.59%)
TP $ 20$
SL 1.1731 (-7.83%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-0.95%
/ -0.97$
MAE -5.82%
MFE +1.26%
0.2R
expires
29 Jul 10:37
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 51731)
#7 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/07/2026 22:00
score du 28/07/2026 22:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7418
Quality Score
0.578
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#7 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#7 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.51×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.28×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
10.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/07 22:31
28/07 22:31
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 28/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 28/07 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
28/07/2026 22:00
Score brut
0.5782
Score SMA
0.5621
Rank
#7
/ 50
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7418
Rank Norm SMA
0.7258
Calculé le
28/07/2026 22:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5858 | r1h: -0.317% · r4h: 3.983% · r1d: -7.76% · r3d: 21.28% · ema21_slope: -0.1434% · dist_ema21: 3.569% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6013 | rs_1h: -0.082% · rs_4h: 4.236% · rs_1d: -8.68% · rs_3d: 22.29% · beta_24h: 0.510 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2815 | rvol_20: 0.70× · zscore_50: -0.351 · trend: 4.80% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6391 | ADX: 22.2 (weak) · Chop: 43.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.868% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -7.833%
(0.0997)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.257% | 0.2R | -0.904% | 0.1R | 1.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.257% | 0.2R | -3.268% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.257% | 0.2R | -5.822% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.257% | 0.2R | -5.822% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.257% | 0.2R | -5.822% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +7.880% | 1.0R | -5.822% | 0.7R | 1.4× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.46
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.44 | bear_high | -5.28% | +1.00 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.09 | bear_high | -0.89% | +0.99 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | -0.03 | bear_medium | -0.77% | +0.02 | 28/07 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
choppy 46% | late | — | near -0.6ATR | -0.01 | range_low | +0.23% | +0.61 | 28/07 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 18b | — | 5.15×ATR | p63 | +0.75×ATR | p65 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 2.326×ATR | p14 | +0.634×ATR | p60 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 4.808×ATR | p87 | +1.428×ATR | p91 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 26b | — | 7.618×ATR | p100 | +1.757×ATR | p94 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7783
- reason: up_bo width=2.24×ATR dur=62b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 1.17306363
- tp_price: 1.52214093
- atr:
- score: 0.77834108765213
- expires_at: 2026-07-29T14:37:33.608660
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.77834108765213
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0261
- obi_top10 : 0.0242
- micro_price : 1.27279767
- spread_pct : 0.031432
- mid_price : 1.2728
- bid_wall_price : 1.26
- bid_wall_size : 82745.94
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 1.28
- ask_wall_size : 110354.56
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0227
- obi_top5_std : 0.0032
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7014
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
1.21615
- balance_zone_bottom:
1.13705
- balance_zone_mid:
1.1766
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785070800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785290400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.2368
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
62
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7783
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785283200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
1.21615
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6129
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
2
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.6019
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
8
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
7
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.03536372 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
62
inside_close_ratio
0.6129
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
1.6019
Signaux confirmants (14)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:37 | 1.27280000 | 0% |
| 2 | 22:42 | 1.27280000 | 0% |
| 3 | 22:47 | 1.27280000 | 0% |
| 4 | 22:52 | 1.27280000 | 0% |
| 5 | 22:57 | 1.27280000 | 0% |
| 6 | 23:03 | 1.27280000 | 0% |
| 7 | 23:08 | 1.28570000 | +1.014% |
| 8 | 23:14 | 1.28570000 | +1.014% |
| 9 | 23:19 | 1.27880000 | +0.471% |
| 10 | 23:24 | 1.27880000 | +0.471% |
| 11 | 23:29 | 1.27880000 | +0.471% |
| 12 | 23:35 | 1.27880000 | +0.471% |
| 13 | 23:40 | 1.27920000 | +0.503% |
| 14 | 23:45 | 1.27920000 | +0.503% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7014ms
Confidence avant OB :
78%
→
78%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.026
avg 0.023
± 0.003
OBI Top 10
0.024
Microstructure
Mid Price
1.2728
Micro Price
1.2728
Spread
0.0314%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
1.2600
Size
82,745.94
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
1.2800
Size
110,354.56
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2728 | 1.1731 | 1.5221 | 2.5 | 0.1707 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.2728
- Stop Loss: 1.1731
- Take Profit: 1.5221
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1731 - 1.2728 = -0.0997
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.2728 - 1.5221 = -0.2493
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2493 / -0.0997 = 2.5005
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 102.0931 | 100 | 80.2115 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0997
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0997 = -80.24
Taille de position USD = -80.24 x 1.2728 = -102.13
Donc, tu peux acheter -80.24 avec un stoploss a 1.1731
Avec un position size USD de -102.13$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -80.24 x -0.0997 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -80.24 x -0.2493 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position -80.24
- Taille de position USD -102.13
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5005
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 19.59 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.83 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.97 $ | -0.95 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -5.8218 % | 74.32 % | 15 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2728 | 1.1731 | 1.5221 | 2.5 | 0.1707 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.2728
- Stop Loss: 1.1731
- Take Profit: 1.5221
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1731 - 1.2728 = -0.0997
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.2728 - 1.5221 = -0.2493
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2493 / -0.0997 = 2.5005
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -7.833%
(0.0997)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.257% | 0.2R | -0.904% | 0.1R | 1.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.257% | 0.2R | -3.268% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.257% | 0.2R | -5.822% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.257% | 0.2R | -5.822% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.257% | 0.2R | -5.822% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +7.880% | 1.0R | -5.822% | 0.7R | 1.4× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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