Short Trade on PUMP (BosPullback)
With 174596.25 PUMP at 0.00196$ per unit. Take profit: 0.001844 (5.87 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002005 (2.35 %)
Short Trade on PUMP (BosPullback)
With 174596.25 PUMP at 0.00196$ per unit. Take profit: 0.001844 (5.87 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002005 (2.35 %)
Position
Entry 0.001959$
Qty 174596.2462 PUMP
Size 342.034$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.001844 (+5.87%)
TP $ 20.08$
SL 0.002005 (-2.35%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 2.5
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2361
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.03×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.25×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 28/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/07 22:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : bear_high |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3931 | r1h: -0.965% · r4h: -1.465% · r1d: -5.71% · r3d: 8.76% · ema21_slope: -0.2070% · dist_ema21: -2.269% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4428 | rs_1h: -0.730% · rs_4h: -1.212% · rs_1d: -6.63% · rs_3d: 9.77% · beta_24h: 1.553 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1626 | rvol_20: 0.57× · zscore_50: -0.731 · trend: -55.60% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4634 | ADX: 15.1 (weak) · Chop: 58.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.236% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.399% | 1.0R | -0.153% | 0.1R | 15.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +6.585% | 2.8R | -0.153% | 0.1R | 43.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +6.585% | 2.8R | -0.153% | 0.1R | 43.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +6.585% | 2.8R | -0.153% | 0.1R | 43.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.585% | 2.8R | -0.153% | 0.1R | 43.0× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | — | 0.60 | bear_high | -5.28% | +0.99 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.55 | bear_high | -0.89% | +0.76 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.29 | bear_medium | -0.77% | -0.57 | 28/07 22:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.32 | range_low | +0.23% | -0.10 | 28/07 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 15b | — | 4.035×ATR | p65 | +0.316×ATR | p38 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 2.896×ATR | p46 | -0.453×ATR | p43 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.328×ATR | p2 | -0.451×ATR | p55 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 2.127×ATR | p14 | -0.037×ATR | p5 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.002001
145
0.2867
0.5029
0.3526
0.202
0.4758
0.5282
0.4101
0.5916
0.3553
0.0266
0.5681
0.486
-0.0954
-0.0406
0
-0.5797
-0.7691
0.55
0.45
-1
8
1
0.5961
0.4386
2.8258
0.55
0.5282
1.4926
-0.7691
0.6394
0.348
0
-0.2601
0.3678
0.5078
0.8957
0.486
-5.6765
5.3683
1
0
1
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0.001926
0.002001
0.002001
0.001926
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:47 | 0.00195900 | 0% |
| 2 | 22:52 | 0.00195800 | -0.051% |
| 3 | 22:57 | 0.00195800 | -0.051% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.001959 | 0.002005 | 0.001844 | 2.5 | 0.002777 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002005 - 0.001959 = 4.6E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.001959 - 0.001844 = 0.000115
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000115 / 4.6E-5 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 342.034 | 100 | 174596.2462 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 4.6E-5 = 173913.04
Taille de position USD = 173913.04 x 0.001959 = 340.7
Donc, tu peux acheter 173913.04 avec un stoploss a 0.002005
Avec un position size USD de 340.7$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 173913.04 x 4.6E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 173913.04 x 0.000115 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.87 % | 20.08 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.35 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 20.08 $ | 5.87 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1531 % | 6.52 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.001959 | 0.002005 | 0.001844 | 2.5 | 0.002777 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002005 - 0.001959 = 4.6E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.001959 - 0.001844 = 0.000115
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000115 / 4.6E-5 = 2.5
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.399% | 1.0R | -0.153% | 0.1R | 15.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +6.585% | 2.8R | -0.153% | 0.1R | 43.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +6.585% | 2.8R | -0.153% | 0.1R | 43.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +6.585% | 2.8R | -0.153% | 0.1R | 43.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.585% | 2.8R | -0.153% | 0.1R | 43.0× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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