Long Trade on JUP (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1409.31 JUP at 0.191$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1959 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1854 (2.98 %)
Long Trade on JUP (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1409.31 JUP at 0.191$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1959 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1854 (2.98 %)
Position
Entry 0.1911$
Qty 1409.3142 JUP
Size 269.334$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1959 (+2.51%)
TP $ 6.76$
SL 0.1854 (-2.98%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 0.84
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9080
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.51×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.12×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.05×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 28/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 28/07 22:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6556 | r1h: 1.070% · r4h: 1.817% · r1d: 5.88% · r3d: 3.29% · ema21_slope: 0.2056% · dist_ema21: 2.218% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6437 | rs_1h: 0.561% · rs_4h: 1.425% · rs_1d: 4.55% · rs_3d: 4.06% · beta_24h: 2.127 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4179 | rvol_20: 1.14× · zscore_50: 0.239 · trend: 24.18% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7536 | ADX: 30.4 (trend) · Chop: 37.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.231% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.073% | 0.0R | -1.957% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 1.2h ★ | +0.073% | 0.0R | -1.957% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 13 |
| 2h | +0.471% | 0.2R | -1.957% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.507% | 0.5R | -1.957% | 0.7R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.401% | 1.1R | -1.957% | 0.7R | 1.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.401% | 1.1R | -1.957% | 0.7R | 1.7× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -5.28% | -0.82 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | near -0.4ATR | near -0.1ATR | 0.63 | bear_high | -0.89% | +0.25 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.64 | range_medium | -0.47% | +0.40 | 28/07 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_medium |
51%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.73 | range_low | +0.26% | +0.06 | 28/07 22:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 27b | — | 5.163×ATR | p60 | +0.133×ATR | p16 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 7b | — | 3.433×ATR | p57 | +0.632×ATR | p59 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 1.661×ATR | p7 | +0.759×ATR | p73 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 2.395×ATR | p33 | +0.562×ATR | p55 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1911 | 0.1854 | 0.1959 | 0.84 | 0.2482 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1854 - 0.1911 = -0.0057
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1911 - 0.1959 = -0.0048
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0048 / -0.0057 = 0.8421
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 269.334 | 100 | 1409.3142 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0057 = -1403.51
Taille de position USD = -1403.51 x 0.1911 = -268.21
Donc, tu peux acheter -1403.51 avec un stoploss a 0.1854
Avec un position size USD de -268.21$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1403.51 x -0.0057 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1403.51 x -0.0048 = 6.74
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.74$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 6.76 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.98 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.38 $ | -1.26 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.9571 % | 65.62 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1911 | 0.1854 | 0.1959 | 0.84 | 0.2482 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1854 - 0.1911 = -0.0057
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1911 - 0.1959 = -0.0048
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0048 / -0.0057 = 0.8421
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.073% | 0.0R | -1.957% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 1.2h ★ | +0.073% | 0.0R | -1.957% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 13 |
| 2h | +0.471% | 0.2R | -1.957% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.507% | 0.5R | -1.957% | 0.7R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.401% | 1.1R | -1.957% | 0.7R | 1.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.401% | 1.1R | -1.957% | 0.7R | 1.7× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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