28 Jul 2026 at 23:10:09 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NEAR (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 173.9 NEAR at 1.627$ per unit. Take profit: 1.586 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.6727 (2.83 %)

NEAR SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 28 Jul 2026 23:10 → 23:15 · 4 minutes

Position

Entry 1.6267$

Qty 173.8974 NEAR

Size 282.8788$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 1.586 (+2.5%)

TP $ 7.08$

SL 1.6727 (-2.83%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.88

Status win PnL +0.06% / +0.16$ MAE -0.14% MFE +2.42% 0.9R expires 28 Jul 23:20 Exit rank_decay: short rank=17 <= threshold=40/50

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 51766)
#17 / 50
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 28/07/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3245

Quality Score
0.513
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#17 / 50
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#17 / 50
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear —
1d near 0.24×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
10.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/07 23:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

28/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

28/07 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

28/07 22:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #1131
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_bound
Strategic range

—

compression

0

Operational range

—

compression

0

Tactical bear

—

transition

0

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.70
Transition risk : 0.30
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.82
Snapshot évalué : 28/07 23:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 28/07/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.5125
Score SMA
0.4664
Rank
#17 / 50
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3245
Rank Norm SMA
0.2333
Calculé le
28/07/2026 23:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3467 r1h: 0.288% · r4h: -0.493% · r1d: -2.46% · r3d: -9.02% · ema21_slope: -0.1479% · dist_ema21: -1.537%
Force Relative 25% 0.3562 rs_1h: -0.221% · rs_4h: -0.885% · rs_1d: -3.79% · rs_3d: -8.25% · beta_24h: 1.943
Volume 20% 0.5488 rvol_20: 1.97× · zscore_50: 0.560 · trend: 7.74%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7309 ADX: 49.1 (trend) · Chop: 60.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.179% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -2.828% (0.0460)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.109% 0.8R -0.141% 0.1R 14.9× 12
2h +2.422% 0.9R -0.141% 0.1R 17.1× 24
4h ★ +2.422% 0.9R -0.141% 0.1R 17.1× 48
8h +3.529% 1.3R -0.141% 0.1R 25.0× 96
12h +3.529% 1.3R -0.141% 0.1R 25.0× 144

computed 3 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.34
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading compression bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 41% late near 0.2ATR — 0.58 bear_high -5.28% -0.92 28/07 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading expansion bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 44% late — — 0.66 bear_high -0.89% -0.69 28/07 20:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate fading normal bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 42% early — — 0.54 range_medium -0.47% -0.29 28/07 22:00
15m ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bear_medium
62%
noisy_chop 45% early — — 0.60 range_low +0.26% -0.12 28/07 22:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 14b — 4.242×ATR p45 -1.225×ATR p86
4h ↓ down late 12b — 6.541×ATR p82 -1.071×ATR p83
1h ↓ down early 2b — 1.676×ATR p16 -0.518×ATR p55
15m ↑ up early 4b — 1.114×ATR p3 -0.608×ATR p50

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 1.67270415
  2. tp_price: 1.5860325
  3. atr: 0.01840166
  4. expires_at: 2026-07-29T09:10:09+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 49
  2. total: 52
  3. score: 0.3467
  4. delta_2h: -0.0532
  5. extension_atr: -1.56
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3245
  9. confidence: 0.941

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.6267 1.6727 1.586 0.88 3.0306
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.6267
  • Stop Loss: 1.6727
  • Take Profit: 1.586

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.6727 - 1.6267 = 0.046

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.6267 - 1.586 = 0.0407

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0407 / 0.046 = 0.8848

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
282.8788 100 173.8974 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.046

Taille de position = 8 / 0.046 = 173.91

Taille de position USD = 173.91 x 1.6267 = 282.9

Donc, tu peux acheter 173.91 avec un stoploss a 1.6727

Avec un position size USD de 282.9$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 173.91 x 0.046 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 173.91 x 0.0407 = 7.08

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.08$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 173.91
  • Taille de position USD 282.9
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 7.08
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8848

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 7.08 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.83 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
0.16 $ 0.06
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1107 % 3.91 % 1
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.6267 1.6727 1.586 0.88 3.0306
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.6267
  • Stop Loss: 1.6727
  • Take Profit: 1.586

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.6727 - 1.6267 = 0.046

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.6267 - 1.586 = 0.0407

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0407 / 0.046 = 0.8848

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -2.828% (0.0460)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.109% 0.8R -0.141% 0.1R 14.9× 12
2h +2.422% 0.9R -0.141% 0.1R 17.1× 24
4h ★ +2.422% 0.9R -0.141% 0.1R 17.1× 48
8h +3.529% 1.3R -0.141% 0.1R 25.0× 96
12h +3.529% 1.3R -0.141% 0.1R 25.0× 144

computed 3 months ago

Commentaires

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