Short Trade on PUMP (BosPullback)
With 113394.76 PUMP at 0.00193$ per unit. Take profit: 0.001758 (9.1 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002005 (3.67 %)
Short Trade on PUMP (BosPullback)
With 113394.76 PUMP at 0.00193$ per unit. Take profit: 0.001758 (9.1 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002005 (3.67 %)
Position
Entry 0.001934$
Qty 113394.7555 PUMP
Size 219.3055$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.001758 (+9.1%)
TP $ 19.96$
SL 0.002005 (-3.67%)
SL $ 8.05$
RR 2.48
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2505
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.27×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.38×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 28/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 28/07 23:00 Score : -5 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : bear_high |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4651 | r1h: 0.875% · r4h: -0.457% · r1d: -4.39% · r3d: 8.65% · ema21_slope: -0.2098% · dist_ema21: -1.623% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5045 | rs_1h: 0.367% · rs_4h: -0.850% · rs_1d: -5.73% · rs_3d: 9.42% · beta_24h: 1.642 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1348 | rvol_20: 0.22× · zscore_50: -0.977 · trend: -62.15% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4625 | ADX: 14.8 (weak) · Chop: 58.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.216% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +5.378% | 1.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +5.378% | 1.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +5.378% | 1.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +5.378% | 1.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +5.378% | 1.5R | -0.465% | 0.1R | 11.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.567% | 1.8R | -0.465% | 0.1R | 14.1× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | — | 0.60 | bear_high | -5.28% | +0.99 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.55 | range_high | -0.60% | +0.77 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
36%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.30 | range_medium | -0.60% | -0.61 | 28/07 23:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near -0.9ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.20% | -0.13 | 28/07 23:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 15b | — | 4.035×ATR | p65 | +0.316×ATR | p38 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 2.764×ATR | p43 | -0.372×ATR | p36 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.121×ATR | p2 | -0.235×ATR | p27 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.725×ATR | p3 | -0.399×ATR | p33 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.002001
144
0.2854
0.5204
0.3479
0.1966
0.4717
0.5282
0.4457
0.5805
0.3553
0.0017
0.5578
0.4558
-0.1036
-0.0465
0
-0.8641
-1.126
0.55
0.45
-1
9
1
0.6067
0.4386
2.8258
0.6
0.5282
1.4926
-1.126
0.6394
0.3656
0
-0.2974
0.3507
0.4897
0.9047
0.4558
-6.4382
5.3927
1
0
1
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0.001926
0.002001
0.002001
0.001926
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.001934 | 0.002005 | 0.001758 | 2.48 | 0.00287 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002005 - 0.001934 = 7.1E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.001934 - 0.001758 = 0.000176
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000176 / 7.1E-5 = 2.4789
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 219.3055 | 100 | 113394.7555 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 7.1E-5 = 112676.06
Taille de position USD = 112676.06 x 0.001934 = 217.92
Donc, tu peux acheter 112676.06 avec un stoploss a 0.002005
Avec un position size USD de 217.92$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 112676.06 x 7.1E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 112676.06 x 0.000176 = 19.83
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.83$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 9.1 % | 19.96 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.67 % | 8.05 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.05 $ | -3.67 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.6711 % | 100 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.001934 | 0.002005 | 0.001758 | 2.48 | 0.00287 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002005 - 0.001934 = 7.1E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.001934 - 0.001758 = 0.000176
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000176 / 7.1E-5 = 2.4789
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +5.378% | 1.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +5.378% | 1.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +5.378% | 1.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +5.378% | 1.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +5.378% | 1.5R | -0.465% | 0.1R | 11.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.567% | 1.8R | -0.465% | 0.1R | 14.1× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
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