Long Trade on JUP (CatchTheWave)
With 6811.18 JUP at 0.189$ per unit. Take profit: 0.191 (1.27 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1874 (0.64 %)
Long Trade on JUP (CatchTheWave)
With 6811.18 JUP at 0.189$ per unit. Take profit: 0.191 (1.27 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1874 (0.64 %)
Position
Entry 0.1886$
Qty 6811.1771 JUP
Size 1284.7242$ (margin 100$) (leverage 13)
Risk Setup
TP 0.191 (+1.27%)
TP $ 16.35$
SL 0.1874 (-0.64%)
SL $ 8.17$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9080
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.18×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.22×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.05×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 28/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 28/07 23:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.709041 15m : 0.599902 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6556 | r1h: 1.070% · r4h: 1.817% · r1d: 5.88% · r3d: 3.29% · ema21_slope: 0.2056% · dist_ema21: 2.218% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6437 | rs_1h: 0.561% · rs_4h: 1.425% · rs_1d: 4.55% · rs_3d: 4.06% · beta_24h: 2.127 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4179 | rvol_20: 1.14× · zscore_50: 0.239 · trend: 24.18% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7536 | ADX: 30.4 (trend) · Chop: 37.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.231% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.901% | 1.4R | -0.658% | 1.0R | 1.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.794% | 4.4R | -0.658% | 1.0R | 4.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.155% | 5.0R | -0.658% | 1.0R | 4.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.772% | 7.5R | -0.658% | 1.0R | 7.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.772% | 7.5R | -0.658% | 1.0R | 7.3× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -5.28% | -0.82 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | near -0.3ATR | near -0.2ATR | 0.63 | range_high | -0.60% | +0.24 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.64 | range_medium | -0.60% | +0.35 | 28/07 23:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | range_medium |
31%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.73 | range_low | -0.20% | -0.10 | 28/07 23:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 27b | — | 5.163×ATR | p60 | +0.133×ATR | p16 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 7b | — | 3.53×ATR | p63 | +0.7×ATR | p64 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.027×ATR | p0 | +0.229×ATR | p25 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 3.908×ATR | p72 | -1.606×ATR | p89 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63843.6
-0.00176454
63731
0.709041
63640
0.00125587
63720
0.599902
64145.1
-0.00670559
63715
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0.19328
196
0.7415
0.729
0.3856
0.3191
0.44
1
0.3046
0.5802
0.7078
0.916
0.8668
0.6745
0.1127
0.0576
1
0.0231
0.4243
0.65
0.35
1
3
0.9474
0.4143
0.9677
2.0892
0.6
1.2792
1.9291
0.4243
0.5244
0.2309
0.86
0.3541
0.6446
0.5359
0.9608
0.6745
-2.0023
4.149
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:44 | 0.18862000 | +0.011% |
| 2 | 00:04 | 0.18837000 | -0.122% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 20:20:00 | 0.18964 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 20:35:00 | 0.18879 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 21:50:00 | 0.1923 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 23:05:00 | 0.18879 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 00:30:00 | 0.19151 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 00:50:00 | 0.19328 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 01:15:00 | 0.19022 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 02:00:00 | 0.19022 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 02:40:00 | 0.19322 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 03:30:00 | 0.18764 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 13:30:00 | 0.18139 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 15:15:00 | 0.19197 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 17:00:00 | 0.19166 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 18:30:00 | 0.18758 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 21:45:00 | 0.1923 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 23:00:00 | 0.18879 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 00:45:00 | 0.19328 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 01:15:00 | 0.19022 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 02:30:00 | 0.19322 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 03:30:00 | 0.18764 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 06:00:00 | 0.19403 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-27 13:00:00 | 0.19311 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-27 16:00:00 | 0.18436 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-27 20:00:00 | 0.18768 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-27 22:00:00 | 0.17741 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 06:00:00 | 0.18389 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 11:00:00 | 0.18129 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 15:00:00 | 0.19197 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 00:00:00 | 0.19328 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 03:00:00 | 0.18764 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1886 | 0.1874 | 0.191 | 2 | 0.2411 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1874 - 0.1886 = -0.0012
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1886 - 0.191 = -0.0024
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0024 / -0.0012 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1284.7242 | 100 | 6811.1771 | 13.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0012 = -6666.67
Taille de position USD = -6666.67 x 0.1886 = -1257.33
Donc, tu peux acheter -6666.67 avec un stoploss a 0.1874
Avec un position size USD de -1257.33$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -6666.67 x -0.0012 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -6666.67 x -0.0024 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.27 % | 16.35 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.64 % | 8.17 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.17 $ | -0.64 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6575 % | 103.33 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1886 | 0.1874 | 0.191 | 2 | 0.2411 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1874 - 0.1886 = -0.0012
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1886 - 0.191 = -0.0024
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0024 / -0.0012 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.901% | 1.4R | -0.658% | 1.0R | 1.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.794% | 4.4R | -0.658% | 1.0R | 4.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.155% | 5.0R | -0.658% | 1.0R | 4.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.772% | 7.5R | -0.658% | 1.0R | 7.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.772% | 7.5R | -0.658% | 1.0R | 7.3× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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