Long Trade on AAVE (CatchTheWave)
With 16.1 AAVE at 98.22$ per unit. Take profit: 99.2138 (1.01 %) & Stop Loss: 97.7231 (0.51 %)
Long Trade on AAVE (CatchTheWave)
With 16.1 AAVE at 98.22$ per unit. Take profit: 99.2138 (1.01 %) & Stop Loss: 97.7231 (0.51 %)
Position
Entry 98.22$
Qty 16.0993 AAVE
Size 1581.2716$ (margin 100$) (leverage 16)
Risk Setup
TP 99.2138 (+1.01%)
TP $ 16$
SL 97.7231 (-0.51%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8850
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.49×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.14×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.26×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 28/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 28/07 23:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.668612 15m : 0.609126 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_medium_confirmed 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
transition
-1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4848 | r1h: -1.318% · r4h: -2.227% · r1d: 0.57% · r3d: 6.78% · ema21_slope: 0.1268% · dist_ema21: -1.116% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4819 | rs_1h: -1.007% · rs_4h: -1.981% · rs_1d: -0.10% · rs_3d: 7.97% · beta_24h: 1.749 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5200 | rvol_20: 1.64× · zscore_50: 0.787 · trend: 14.35% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6431 | ADX: 25.3 (trend) · Chop: 46.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.226% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.372% | 0.7R | -0.773% | 1.5R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.372% | 0.7R | -0.773% | 1.5R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.431% | 0.9R | -0.773% | 1.5R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.239% | 2.5R | -1.471% | 2.9R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.239% | 2.5R | -1.471% | 2.9R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.72 | bear_high | -5.28% | +0.74 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.58 | range_high | -0.60% | +0.71 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.51 | bear_medium | -0.84% | +0.10 | 28/07 23:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bear_medium_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.13% | -0.17 | 28/07 23:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 11b | — | 2.904×ATR | p19 | +0.973×ATR | p81 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.443×ATR | p0 | +0.068×ATR | p7 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 2.893×ATR | p51 | -1.058×ATR | p81 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 13b | — | 6.087×ATR | p100 | -1.975×ATR | p96 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63830.1
-0.00213264
63694
0.668612
63657.8
0.000567165
63694
0.609126
64145.8
-0.00618597
63749
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102.1
196
0.3863
0.7694
0.4231
0.2914
0.5308
1
0.3743
0.4172
0.3263
0.7374
0.8144
0.6664
0.0363
0.0462
0.3333
-0.9397
-0.2334
0.4
0.6
-1
18
1
0.4171
0.9441
4.2377
0.5
1.0903
2.0679
-0.2334
0.7681
0.1865
0.66
0.2121
0.6258
0.4589
0.7949
0.6664
-3.2519
6.4972
1
0
2
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:03 | 98.22000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 00:09 | 97.99900000 | -0.225% |
| 3 | 00:14 | 97.90900000 | -0.317% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 20:40:00 | 100.96 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 20:50:00 | 101.68 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 21:25:00 | 100.79 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 23:05:00 | 99.565 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 00:25:00 | 102.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 01:15:00 | 100.68 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 01:25:00 | 101.26 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 02:15:00 | 100.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 02:30:00 | 100.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 04:00:00 | 98.032 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 10:30:00 | 97.279 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 11:30:00 | 96.465 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 13:00:00 | 98.602 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 13:45:00 | 96.486 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 17:00:00 | 101.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 17:45:00 | 99.869 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 19:45:00 | 101.89 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 23:00:00 | 99.565 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 00:15:00 | 102.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 04:00:00 | 98.032 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 20:00:00 | 96.038 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-27 00:00:00 | 101.88 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-27 04:00:00 | 99.306 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-27 07:00:00 | 102.56 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-27 15:00:00 | 98.354 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 01:00:00 | 96.765 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 06:00:00 | 98.308 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 09:00:00 | 96.424 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 00:00:00 | 102.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 03:00:00 | 98.574 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98.22 | 97.7231 | 99.2138 | 2 | 99.23 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 97.7231 - 98.22 = -0.4969
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 98.22 - 99.2138 = -0.99380000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.99380000000001 / -0.4969 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1581.2716 | 100 | 16.0993 | 16.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.4969 = -16.1
Taille de position USD = -16.1 x 98.22 = -1581.34
Donc, tu peux acheter -16.1 avec un stoploss a 97.7231
Avec un position size USD de -1581.34$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -16.1 x -0.4969 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -16.1 x -0.99380000000001 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.01 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.51 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.51 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.674 % | 133.23 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98.22 | 97.7231 | 99.2138 | 2 | 99.23 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 97.7231 - 98.22 = -0.4969
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 98.22 - 99.2138 = -0.99380000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.99380000000001 / -0.4969 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.372% | 0.7R | -0.773% | 1.5R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.372% | 0.7R | -0.773% | 1.5R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.431% | 0.9R | -0.773% | 1.5R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.239% | 2.5R | -1.471% | 2.9R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.239% | 2.5R | -1.471% | 2.9R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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