Long Trade on KAITO (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 100.89 KAITO at 1.252$ per unit. Take profit: 1.4505 (15.83 %) & Stop Loss: 1.173 (6.33 %)
28 Jul 2026 at 23:50:45
hyperliquid
KAITO
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
28 Jul 2026 23:50
→ 11:50
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 1.2523$
Qty 100.8934 KAITO
Size 126.3489$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 1.4505 (+15.83%)
TP $ 20$
SL 1.173 (-6.33%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+1.82%
/ +2.3$
MAE -4.28%
MFE +2.46%
0.4R
expires
29 Jul 11:50
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 51781)
#2 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/07/2026 23:00
score du 28/07/2026 23:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8438
Quality Score
0.687
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#2 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.33 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#2 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.33 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.34×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.28×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
10.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/07 23:46
28/07 23:46
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 28/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 28/07 23:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
28/07/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.6869
Score SMA
0.5605
Rank
#2
/ 50
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8438
Rank Norm SMA
0.7257
Calculé le
28/07/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7412 | r1h: 2.770% · r4h: 7.057% · r1d: -2.68% · r3d: 25.58% · ema21_slope: -0.0469% · dist_ema21: 6.622% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7941 | rs_1h: 2.261% · rs_4h: 6.665% · rs_1d: -4.01% · rs_3d: 26.35% · beta_24h: 0.751 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3094 | rvol_20: 0.88× · zscore_50: -0.218 · trend: -3.13% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6940 | ADX: 23.3 (weak) · Chop: 35.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.818% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -6.332%
(0.0793)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.294% | 0.2R | -1.685% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.294% | 0.2R | -1.685% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.294% | 0.2R | -4.280% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.028% | 0.3R | -4.280% | 0.7R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.460% | 0.4R | -4.280% | 0.7R | 0.6× | 143 |
| 24h | +9.646% | 1.5R | -5.422% | 0.9R | 1.8× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.96
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.44 | bear_high | -5.28% | +1.00 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.09 | range_high | -0.60% | +0.99 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near 0.3ATR | -0.02 | bear_medium | -0.84% | +0.21 | 28/07 23:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | normal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near -0.4ATR | -0.01 | range_low | -0.13% | +0.57 | 28/07 23:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 18b | — | 5.15×ATR | p63 | +0.75×ATR | p65 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 2.767×ATR | p22 | +1.006×ATR | p81 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 4.627×ATR | p82 | +1.025×ATR | p80 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 31b | — | 7.404×ATR | p100 | +0.303×ATR | p14 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7973
- reason: up_bo width=2.20×ATR dur=63b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 1.17300842
- tp_price: 1.45052895
- atr:
- score: 0.79734371232404
- expires_at: 2026-07-29T15:50:37.567289
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.79734371232404
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0114
- obi_top10 : -0.017
- micro_price : 1.24710174
- spread_pct : 0.032082
- mid_price : 1.247
- bid_wall_price : 1.24
- bid_wall_size : 117362.66
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0036
- obi_top5_std : 0.0091
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6980
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
1.21615
- balance_zone_bottom:
1.13705
- balance_zone_mid:
1.1766
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785070800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785294000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.2024
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
63
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7973
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785283200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
1.21615
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6032
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
3
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.0065
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
8
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
7
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.0359158 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
63
inside_close_ratio
0.6032
bars_since_breakout
3
distance_to_edge_atr
1.0065
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:50 | 1.25230000 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:55 | 1.25230000 | 0% |
| 3 | 00:00 | 1.25230000 | 0% |
| 4 | 00:06 | 1.25230000 | 0% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6980ms
Confidence avant OB :
80%
→
80%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.011
avg 0.004
± 0.009
OBI Top 10
-0.017
Microstructure
Mid Price
1.2470
Micro Price
1.2471
Spread
0.0321%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
1.2400
Size
117,362.66
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2523 | 1.173 | 1.4505 | 2.5 | 0.1708 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.2523
- Stop Loss: 1.173
- Take Profit: 1.4505
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.173 - 1.2523 = -0.0793
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.2523 - 1.4505 = -0.1982
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1982 / -0.0793 = 2.4994
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 126.3489 | 100 | 100.8934 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0793
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0793 = -100.88
Taille de position USD = -100.88 x 1.2523 = -126.33
Donc, tu peux acheter -100.88 avec un stoploss a 1.173
Avec un position size USD de -126.33$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -100.88 x -0.0793 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -100.88 x -0.1982 = 19.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$
Résumé
- Taille de position -100.88
- Taille de position USD -126.33
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.99
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4994
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 15.83 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.33 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.3 $ | 1.82 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.2801 % | 67.59 % | 36 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2523 | 1.173 | 1.4505 | 2.5 | 0.1708 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.2523
- Stop Loss: 1.173
- Take Profit: 1.4505
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.173 - 1.2523 = -0.0793
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.2523 - 1.4505 = -0.1982
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1982 / -0.0793 = 2.4994
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -6.332%
(0.0793)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.294% | 0.2R | -1.685% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.294% | 0.2R | -1.685% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.294% | 0.2R | -4.280% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.028% | 0.3R | -4.280% | 0.7R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.460% | 0.4R | -4.280% | 0.7R | 0.6× | 143 |
| 24h | +9.646% | 1.5R | -5.422% | 0.9R | 1.8× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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