Short Trade on ZEC (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 0.45 ZEC at 453$ per unit. Take profit: 408.8596 (9.74 %) & Stop Loss: 470.6562 (3.9 %)
29 Jul 2026 at 00:12:10
hyperliquid
ZEC
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Jul 2026 00:12
→ 12:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 453$
Qty 0.4531 ZEC
Size 205.254$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 408.8596 (+9.74%)
TP $ 20$
SL 470.6562 (-3.9%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-2.29%
/ -4.69$
MAE -3.57%
MFE +0.00%
0.0R
expires
29 Jul 12:12
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 51836)
#44 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/07/2026 00:00
score du 29/07/2026 00:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2467
Quality Score
0.428
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#44 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#44 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.32×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.22×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
84.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/07 00:02
29/07 00:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/07 23:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1132
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.70
Transition risk :
0.30
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.82
Snapshot évalué :
29/07 00:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
29/07/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.4277
Score SMA
0.4982
Rank
#44
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2467
Rank Norm SMA
0.4250
Calculé le
29/07/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3007 | r1h: -1.228% · r4h: -2.085% · r1d: -4.12% · r3d: -6.53% · ema21_slope: -0.1223% · dist_ema21: -2.446% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3191 | rs_1h: -0.917% · rs_4h: -1.840% · rs_1d: -4.79% · rs_3d: -5.33% · beta_24h: 2.560 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2923 | rvol_20: 0.69× · zscore_50: -0.123 · trend: 2.44% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6620 | ADX: 30.5 (trend) · Chop: 49.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.425% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.898%
(17.6562)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.320% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.991% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.567% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.567% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.567% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.821% | 1.2R | 0.0× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.42 | bear_high | -5.28% | -0.37 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.70 | range_high | -0.60% | -0.37 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.58 | bear_medium | -0.84% | -0.29 | 28/07 23:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | normal | bear_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 50% | mid | — | — | 0.69 | range_low | -0.13% | -0.15 | 28/07 23:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 14b | — | 3.685×ATR | p22 | -0.788×ATR | p69 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 13b | — | 4.068×ATR | p67 | -0.841×ATR | p73 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 2.028×ATR | p33 | -0.834×ATR | p75 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 3.387×ATR | p72 | -1.166×ATR | p81 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7447
- reason: down_bo width=2.91×ATR dur=36b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 470.65617551
- tp_price: 408.85956122
- atr:
- score: 0.74472091504046
- expires_at: 2026-07-29T16:12:02.210014
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.74472091504046
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0616
- obi_top10 : 0.0616
- micro_price : 455.20526524
- spread_pct : 0.002197
- mid_price : 455.205
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 456
- ask_wall_size : 2546.508
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0816
- obi_top5_std : 0.023
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7019
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
479.27
- balance_zone_bottom:
460.77
- balance_zone_mid:
470.02
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785171600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785297600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.908
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
36
- balance_zone_quality: loose
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7447
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785294000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
460.77
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.75
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.2214
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 6.36175513 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
36
inside_close_ratio
0.75
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.2214
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:12 | 453.00000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 00:17 | 453.00000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 00:22 | 454.92000000 | +0.424% |
| 4 | 00:27 | 454.92000000 | +0.424% |
| 5 | 00:33 | 454.92000000 | +0.424% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7019ms
Confidence avant OB :
74%
→
74%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.062
avg 0.082
± 0.023
OBI Top 10
0.062
Microstructure
Mid Price
455.2050
Micro Price
455.2053
Spread
0.0022%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
456.0000
Size
2,546.51
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 453 | 470.6562 | 408.8596 | 2.5 | 827.82 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 453
- Stop Loss: 470.6562
- Take Profit: 408.8596
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 470.6562 - 453 = 17.6562
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 453 - 408.8596 = 44.1404
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 44.1404 / 17.6562 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 205.254 | 100 | 0.4531 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 17.6562
Taille de position = 8 / 17.6562 = 0.45
Taille de position USD = 0.45 x 453 = 203.85
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.45 avec un stoploss a 470.6562
Avec un position size USD de 203.85$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.45 x 17.6562 = 7.95
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.95$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.45 x 44.1404 = 19.86
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.86$
Résumé
- Taille de position 0.45
- Taille de position USD 203.85
- Perte potentielle 7.95
- Gain potentiel 19.86
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 9.74 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.9 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -4.69 $ | -2.29 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5673 % | 91.53 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 453 | 470.6562 | 408.8596 | 2.5 | 827.82 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 453
- Stop Loss: 470.6562
- Take Profit: 408.8596
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 470.6562 - 453 = 17.6562
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 453 - 408.8596 = 44.1404
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 44.1404 / 17.6562 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.898%
(17.6562)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.320% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.991% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.567% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.567% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.567% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.821% | 1.2R | 0.0× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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