Short Trade on LTC (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 6.69 LTC at 45.152$ per unit. Take profit: 42.1631 (6.62 %) & Stop Loss: 46.3476 (2.65 %)
29 Jul 2026 at 00:13:26
hyperliquid
LTC
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Jul 2026 00:13
→ 12:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 45.152$
Qty 6.6914 LTC
Size 302.1313$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 42.1631 (+6.62%)
TP $ 20$
SL 46.3476 (-2.65%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+0.25%
/ +0.75$
MAE -0.80%
MFE +0.72%
0.3R
expires
29 Jul 12:13
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 51795)
#10 / 51
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/07/2026 00:00
score du 29/07/2026 00:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4200
Quality Score
0.551
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#10 / 51
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.65 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#10 / 51
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.65 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 3.60×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.63×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/07 00:00
29/07 00:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 28/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 28/07 23:00 Score : +4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1132
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.70
Transition risk :
0.30
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.82
Snapshot évalué :
29/07 00:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
29/07/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.5507
Score SMA
0.4981
Rank
#10
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4200
Rank Norm SMA
0.4761
Calculé le
29/07/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4143 | r1h: -1.132% · r4h: -1.124% · r1d: -1.30% · r3d: -2.30% · ema21_slope: -0.0331% · dist_ema21: -1.267% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4136 | rs_1h: -0.821% · rs_4h: -0.878% · rs_1d: -1.97% · rs_3d: -1.11% · beta_24h: 1.278 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6977 | rvol_20: 2.87× · zscore_50: 0.561 · trend: 11.03% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5564 | ADX: 21.6 (weak) · Chop: 53.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.645% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.648%
(1.1956)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.472% | 0.2R | -0.505% | 0.2R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.472% | 0.2R | -0.505% | 0.2R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.472% | 0.2R | -0.802% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.472% | 0.2R | -0.802% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.715% | 0.3R | -0.802% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.876% | 0.7R | -1.369% | 0.5R | 1.4× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.09
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | 0.73 | bear_high | -5.28% | +0.40 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_high |
39%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.73 | range_high | -0.60% | -0.00 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.55 | bear_medium | -0.84% | -0.20 | 28/07 23:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | explosive | expansion | bear_low_confirmed |
49%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | near -1.7ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.13% | -0.04 | 28/07 23:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 34b | — | 4.88×ATR | p62 | -0.132×ATR | p18 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 13b | — | 3.801×ATR | p69 | -0.471×ATR | p48 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 2.373×ATR | p46 | -1.498×ATR | p94 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 3.074×ATR | p50 | -1.47×ATR | p89 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8301
- reason: down_bo width=2.40×ATR dur=32b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 46.34755972
- tp_price: 42.1631007
- atr:
- score: 0.8301101077484
- expires_at: 2026-07-29T16:13:18.939274
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.8301101077484
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0699
- obi_top10 : 0.0659
- micro_price : 45.23973082
- spread_pct : 0.022109
- mid_price : 45.235
- bid_wall_price : 45
- bid_wall_size : 17048.76
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 46
- ask_wall_size : 12330.4
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0687
- obi_top5_std : 0.0043
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7050
- aggregation_tick : 0.1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
46.694
- balance_zone_bottom:
45.938
- balance_zone_mid:
46.316
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785186000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785297600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.3955
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
32
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8301
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785294000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
45.938
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9375
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
2.4905
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
3
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
8
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.31559719 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
32
inside_close_ratio
0.9375
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
2.4905
Signaux confirmants (60)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:13 | 45.15200000 | 0% |
| 2 | 00:18 | 45.20100000 | +0.109% |
| 3 | 00:24 | 45.20100000 | +0.109% |
| 4 | 00:28 | 45.20100000 | +0.109% |
| 5 | 00:34 | 45.20100000 | +0.109% |
| 6 | 00:39 | 45.15600000 | +0.009% |
| 7 | 00:43 | 45.15600000 | +0.009% |
| 8 | 00:49 | 45.21900000 | +0.148% |
| 9 | 00:54 | 45.21900000 | +0.148% |
| 10 | 00:59 | 45.21900000 | +0.148% |
| 11 | 01:06 | 45.11200000 | -0.089% |
| 12 | 01:11 | 45.11200000 | -0.089% |
| 13 | 01:17 | 45.12500000 | -0.06% |
| 14 | 01:22 | 45.12500000 | -0.06% |
| 15 | 01:27 | 45.12500000 | -0.06% |
| 16 | 01:33 | 45.12500000 | -0.06% |
| 17 | 01:38 | 45.26100000 | +0.241% |
| 18 | 01:43 | 45.26100000 | +0.241% |
| 19 | 01:49 | 45.34200000 | +0.421% |
| 20 | 01:54 | 45.34200000 | +0.421% |
| 21 | 01:59 | 45.34200000 | +0.421% |
| 22 | 02:06 | 45.29100000 | +0.308% |
| 23 | 02:12 | 45.29100000 | +0.308% |
| 24 | 02:18 | 45.29100000 | +0.308% |
| 25 | 02:24 | 45.38900000 | +0.525% |
| 26 | 02:29 | 45.38900000 | +0.525% |
| 27 | 02:34 | 45.31400000 | +0.359% |
| 28 | 02:40 | 45.31400000 | +0.359% |
| 29 | 02:45 | 45.31400000 | +0.359% |
| 30 | 02:51 | 45.38400000 | +0.514% |
| 31 | 02:56 | 45.38400000 | +0.514% |
| 32 | 03:02 | 45.38400000 | +0.514% |
| 33 | 03:08 | 45.17300000 | +0.047% |
| 34 | 03:14 | 45.17300000 | +0.047% |
| 35 | 03:20 | 45.18700000 | +0.078% |
| 36 | 03:25 | 45.18700000 | +0.078% |
| 37 | 03:31 | 45.18700000 | +0.078% |
| 38 | 03:37 | 45.12700000 | -0.055% |
| 39 | 03:42 | 45.12700000 | -0.055% |
| 40 | 03:48 | 45.15600000 | +0.009% |
| 41 | 03:53 | 45.15600000 | +0.009% |
| 42 | 03:58 | 45.15600000 | +0.009% |
| 43 | 04:05 | 45.15600000 | +0.009% |
| 44 | 04:11 | 45.18800000 | +0.08% |
| 45 | 04:50 | 45.14900000 | -0.007% |
| 46 | 04:56 | 45.14900000 | -0.007% |
| 47 | 05:02 | 45.14900000 | -0.007% |
| 48 | 05:08 | 45.18600000 | +0.075% |
| 49 | 05:14 | 45.18600000 | +0.075% |
| 50 | 05:20 | 45.25400000 | +0.226% |
| 51 | 05:25 | 45.25400000 | +0.226% |
| 52 | 05:30 | 45.25400000 | +0.226% |
| 53 | 05:36 | 45.44900000 | +0.658% |
| 54 | 05:41 | 45.44900000 | +0.658% |
| 55 | 05:46 | 45.38700000 | +0.52% |
| 56 | 05:51 | 45.38700000 | +0.52% |
| 57 | 05:56 | 45.38700000 | +0.52% |
| 58 | 06:02 | 45.38700000 | +0.52% |
| 59 | 06:07 | 45.43300000 | +0.622% |
| 60 | 06:13 | 45.43300000 | +0.622% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7050ms
Confidence avant OB :
83%
→
83%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.070
avg 0.069
± 0.004
OBI Top 10
0.066
Microstructure
Mid Price
45.2350
Micro Price
45.2397
Spread
0.0221%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
45.0000
Size
17,048.76
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
46.0000
Size
12,330.40
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.152 | 46.3476 | 42.1631 | 2.5 | 44.276 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 45.152
- Stop Loss: 46.3476
- Take Profit: 42.1631
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 46.3476 - 45.152 = 1.1956
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 45.152 - 42.1631 = 2.9889
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.9889 / 1.1956 = 2.4999
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 302.1313 | 100 | 6.6914 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 1.1956
Taille de position = 8 / 1.1956 = 6.69
Taille de position USD = 6.69 x 45.152 = 302.07
Donc, tu peux acheter 6.69 avec un stoploss a 46.3476
Avec un position size USD de 302.07$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 6.69 x 1.1956 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 6.69 x 2.9889 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position 6.69
- Taille de position USD 302.07
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4999
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.62 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.65 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.75 $ | 0.25 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8017 % | 30.28 % | 24 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.152 | 46.3476 | 42.1631 | 2.5 | 44.276 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 45.152
- Stop Loss: 46.3476
- Take Profit: 42.1631
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 46.3476 - 45.152 = 1.1956
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 45.152 - 42.1631 = 2.9889
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.9889 / 1.1956 = 2.4999
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.648%
(1.1956)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.472% | 0.2R | -0.505% | 0.2R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.472% | 0.2R | -0.505% | 0.2R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.472% | 0.2R | -0.802% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.472% | 0.2R | -0.802% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.715% | 0.3R | -0.802% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.876% | 0.7R | -1.369% | 0.5R | 1.4× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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