Short Trade on PUMP (BosPullback)
With 103734.44 PUMP at 0.00187$ per unit. Take profit: 0.001677 (10.32 %) & Stop Loss: 0.001947 (4.12 %)
Short Trade on PUMP (BosPullback)
With 103734.44 PUMP at 0.00187$ per unit. Take profit: 0.001677 (10.32 %) & Stop Loss: 0.001947 (4.12 %)
Position
Entry 0.00187$
Qty 103734.4398 PUMP
Size 193.9834$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.001677 (+10.32%)
TP $ 20.02$
SL 0.001947 (-4.12%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.51
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3596
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.98×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.52×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 29/07 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/07 12:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high |
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4068 | r1h: 0.425% · r4h: 1.450% · r1d: -6.58% · r3d: 1.61% · ema21_slope: -0.2714% · dist_ema21: -1.057% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5365 | rs_1h: 0.859% · rs_4h: 2.358% · rs_1d: -6.02% · rs_3d: 3.22% · beta_24h: 0.917 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1871 | rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -0.876 · trend: -15.86% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5170 | ADX: 19.9 (weak) · Chop: 56.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.118% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.102% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.107% | 0.0R | -3.102% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.369% | 0.8R | -3.102% | 0.8R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.369% | 0.8R | -3.102% | 0.8R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.369% | 0.8R | -3.102% | 0.8R | 1.1× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.60 | bear_high | -4.69% | +0.97 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 33% | mid | — | — | 0.53 | range_high | -0.60% | +0.44 | 29/07 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.26 | bear_medium | -0.95% | -0.26 | 29/07 12:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.29 | range_low | -0.50% | +0.15 | 29/07 12:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 15b | — | 3.046×ATR | p35 | -0.253×ATR | p33 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 13b | — | 3.847×ATR | p57 | -0.442×ATR | p41 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.05×ATR | p2 | +0.341×ATR | p43 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.559×ATR | p4 | -0.301×ATR | p23 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.001943
147
0.296
0.4455
0.3379
0.1897
0.4592
0.6608
0.3013
0.403
0.3634
0.2289
0.5005
0.3023
-0.0795
-0.0735
0
-0.4626
-1.4944
0.55
0.45
-1
12
1
0.6205
0.2818
3.5917
0.5
0.6608
2.3734
-1.4944
0.2467
0.2874
0.16
-0.1007
0.3876
0.4615
0.8334
0.3023
-7.7399
3.354
1
0
1
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[price] => 0.00186
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0.00183
0.001943
0.001943
0.00183
0.001862
0.001837
0.0018495
0.8435
0.002001
0.001926
0.0019635
0.7987
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00187 | 0.001947 | 0.001677 | 2.51 | 0.00342 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.001947 - 0.00187 = 7.7E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.00187 - 0.001677 = 0.000193
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000193 / 7.7E-5 = 2.5065
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 193.9834 | 100 | 103734.4398 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 7.7E-5 = 103896.1
Taille de position USD = 103896.1 x 0.00187 = 194.29
Donc, tu peux acheter 103896.1 avec un stoploss a 0.001947
Avec un position size USD de 194.29$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 103896.1 x 7.7E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 103896.1 x 0.000193 = 20.05
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.05$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 10.32 % | 20.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.12 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -4.12 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.1176 % | 100 % | 23 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00187 | 0.001947 | 0.001677 | 2.51 | 0.00342 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.001947 - 0.00187 = 7.7E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.00187 - 0.001677 = 0.000193
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000193 / 7.7E-5 = 2.5065
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.102% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.107% | 0.0R | -3.102% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.369% | 0.8R | -3.102% | 0.8R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.369% | 0.8R | -3.102% | 0.8R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.369% | 0.8R | -3.102% | 0.8R | 1.1× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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