Short Trade on LTC (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 7.26 LTC at 45.242$ per unit. Take profit: 42.486 (6.09 %) & Stop Loss: 46.3444 (2.44 %)
29 Jul 2026 at 13:06:55
hyperliquid
LTC
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Jul 2026 13:06
→ 01:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 45.242$
Qty 7.257 LTC
Size 328.3217$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 42.486 (+6.09%)
TP $ 20$
SL 46.3444 (-2.44%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-0.25%
/ -0.81$
MAE -1.17%
MFE +2.07%
0.9R
expires
30 Jul 01:06
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 52477)
#18 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/07/2026 13:00
score du 29/07/2026 13:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6271
Quality Score
0.495
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#18 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.44 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#18 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.44 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.49×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.17×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/07 13:00
29/07 13:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/07 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 29/07 12:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1145
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.70
Transition risk :
0.30
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.82
Snapshot évalué :
29/07 13:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
29/07/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.4952
Score SMA
0.4942
Rank
#18
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6271
Rank Norm SMA
0.5229
Calculé le
29/07/2026 13:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4098 | r1h: 0.151% · r4h: -0.552% · r1d: -3.20% · r3d: -6.09% · ema21_slope: -0.1154% · dist_ema21: -0.953% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4614 | rs_1h: 0.584% · rs_4h: 0.356% · rs_1d: -2.64% · rs_3d: -4.49% · beta_24h: 0.969 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2401 | rvol_20: 0.66× · zscore_50: -0.342 · trend: -22.49% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7261 | ADX: 32.8 (trend) · Chop: 44.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.668% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.437%
(1.1024)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.062% | 0.0R | -1.167% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.122% | 0.1R | -1.167% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.071% | 0.9R | -1.167% | 0.5R | 1.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.071% | 0.9R | -1.167% | 0.5R | 1.8× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.071% | 0.9R | -1.167% | 0.5R | 1.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.071% | 0.9R | -1.167% | 0.5R | 1.8× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.13
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | — | — | 0.73 | bear_high | -4.69% | +0.14 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.72 | range_high | -0.60% | -0.37 | 29/07 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.53 | bear_medium | -0.95% | -0.27 | 29/07 12:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_low |
51%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.65% | +0.08 | 29/07 12:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 34b | — | 3.938×ATR | p46 | -0.663×ATR | p69 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 17b | — | 5.835×ATR | p92 | -0.963×ATR | p81 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 10b | — | 1.543×ATR | p4 | -0.425×ATR | p40 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 1.728×ATR | p14 | -0.03×ATR | p2 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7408
- reason: down_bo width=2.66×ATR dur=45b phase=extending
- stop_price: 46.34438234
- tp_price: 42.48604415
- atr:
- score: 0.74075544290835
- expires_at: 2026-07-30T05:06:47.879121
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.74075544290835
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0234
- obi_top10 : 0.0145
- micro_price : 45.2136059
- spread_pct : 0.022119
- mid_price : 45.215
- bid_wall_price : 45
- bid_wall_size : 14625.2
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 45.3
- ask_wall_size : 18312.7
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0243
- obi_top5_std : 0.0005
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7050
- aggregation_tick : 0.1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
46.694
- balance_zone_bottom:
45.938
- balance_zone_mid:
46.316
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785186000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785344400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.6636
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
45
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7408
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785294000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
45.938
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6667
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
14
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
2.4522
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
3
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
7
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.28382339 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
45
inside_close_ratio
0.6667
bars_since_breakout
14
distance_to_edge_atr
2.4522
Signaux confirmants (25)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:06 | 45.24200000 | 0% |
| 2 | 13:12 | 45.24200000 | 0% |
| 3 | 13:18 | 45.32400000 | +0.181% |
| 4 | 13:24 | 45.32400000 | +0.181% |
| 5 | 13:31 | 45.32400000 | +0.181% |
| 6 | 13:36 | 45.33100000 | +0.197% |
| 7 | 13:42 | 45.33100000 | +0.197% |
| 8 | 13:48 | 45.35400000 | +0.248% |
| 9 | 13:54 | 45.35400000 | +0.248% |
| 10 | 14:01 | 45.35400000 | +0.248% |
| 11 | 14:06 | 45.61800000 | +0.831% |
| 12 | 14:12 | 45.61800000 | +0.831% |
| 13 | 14:18 | 45.50900000 | +0.59% |
| 14 | 14:24 | 45.50900000 | +0.59% |
| 15 | 14:31 | 45.50900000 | +0.59% |
| 16 | 14:36 | 45.26000000 | +0.04% |
| 17 | 14:42 | 45.26000000 | +0.04% |
| 18 | 14:48 | 45.50900000 | +0.59% |
| 19 | 14:54 | 45.50900000 | +0.59% |
| 20 | 15:01 | 45.50900000 | +0.59% |
| 21 | 15:06 | 45.53600000 | +0.65% |
| 22 | 15:12 | 45.53600000 | +0.65% |
| 23 | 15:18 | 45.39700000 | +0.343% |
| 24 | 15:24 | 45.39700000 | +0.343% |
| 25 | 15:31 | 45.39700000 | +0.343% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7050ms
Confidence avant OB :
74%
→
74%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.023
avg 0.024
± 0.001
OBI Top 10
0.015
Microstructure
Mid Price
45.2150
Micro Price
45.2136
Spread
0.0221%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
45.0000
Size
14,625.20
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
45.3000
Size
18,312.70
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.242 | 46.3444 | 42.486 | 2.5 | 48.585 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 45.242
- Stop Loss: 46.3444
- Take Profit: 42.486
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 46.3444 - 45.242 = 1.1024
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 45.242 - 42.486 = 2.756
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.756 / 1.1024 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 328.3217 | 100 | 7.257 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 1.1024
Taille de position = 8 / 1.1024 = 7.26
Taille de position USD = 7.26 x 45.242 = 328.46
Donc, tu peux acheter 7.26 avec un stoploss a 46.3444
Avec un position size USD de 328.46$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 7.26 x 1.1024 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 7.26 x 2.756 = 20.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.01$
Résumé
- Taille de position 7.26
- Taille de position USD 328.46
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.01
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.09 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.44 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.81 $ | -0.25 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.1671 % | 47.9 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.242 | 46.3444 | 42.486 | 2.5 | 48.585 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 45.242
- Stop Loss: 46.3444
- Take Profit: 42.486
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 46.3444 - 45.242 = 1.1024
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 45.242 - 42.486 = 2.756
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.756 / 1.1024 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.437%
(1.1024)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.062% | 0.0R | -1.167% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.122% | 0.1R | -1.167% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.071% | 0.9R | -1.167% | 0.5R | 1.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.071% | 0.9R | -1.167% | 0.5R | 1.8× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.071% | 0.9R | -1.167% | 0.5R | 1.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.071% | 0.9R | -1.167% | 0.5R | 1.8× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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