Short Trade on TRUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 244.82 TRUMP at 1.425$ per unit. Take profit: 1.3893 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.4576 (2.29 %)
29 Jul 2026 at 13:10:04
hyperliquid
TRUMP
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
29 Jul 2026 13:10
→ 13:15
· 4 minutes
Position
Entry 1.4249$
Qty 244.8231 TRUMP
Size 348.8484$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 1.3893 (+2.5%)
TP $ 8.72$
SL 1.4576 (-2.29%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 1.09
Status
loss
PnL
-0.58%
/ -2.01$
MAE -3.53%
MFE +0.15%
0.1R
expires
29 Jul 13:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=5 <= threshold=39/49
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 52510)
#5 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/07/2026 13:00
score du 29/07/2026 13:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6204
Quality Score
0.580
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#5 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.29 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#5 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.29 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/07 13:02
29/07 13:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/07 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 29/07 12:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1145
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.70
Transition risk :
0.30
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.82
Snapshot évalué :
29/07 13:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
29/07/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.5795
Score SMA
0.4815
Rank
#5
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6204
Rank Norm SMA
0.4224
Calculé le
29/07/2026 13:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3241 | r1h: -0.420% · r4h: -0.476% · r1d: -4.38% · r3d: -10.02% · ema21_slope: -0.1464% · dist_ema21: -1.452% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3916 | rs_1h: 0.013% · rs_4h: 0.432% · rs_1d: -3.82% · rs_3d: -8.41% · beta_24h: 1.372 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8570 | rvol_20: 3.16× · zscore_50: 1.542 · trend: 65.69% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7532 | ADX: 58.7 (trend) · Chop: 67.4 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.964% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -2.295%
(0.0327)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.400% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.530% | 1.5R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.154% | 0.1R | -3.530% | 1.5R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.154% | 0.1R | -3.530% | 1.5R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.154% | 0.1R | -3.755% | 1.6R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.04
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
49%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.52 | bear_high | -4.69% | -0.87 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | expansion | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | — | 0.48 | range_high | -0.60% | -0.76 | 29/07 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | explosive | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.44 | bear_medium | -0.95% | -0.34 | 29/07 12:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.62 | range_low | -0.65% | +0.02 | 29/07 12:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 25b | — | 5.678×ATR | p50 | -1.328×ATR | p91 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 21b | — | 6.716×ATR | p92 | -1.005×ATR | p82 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 1.781×ATR | p17 | -0.614×ATR | p62 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.149×ATR | p6 | -0.708×ATR | p66 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 1.45757666
- tp_price: 1.3892775
- atr: 0.01307066
- expires_at: 2026-07-29T23:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 42
- total: 49
- score: 0.3241
- delta_2h: -0.0046
- extension_atr: -1.18
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.6204
- confidence: 0.854
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4249 | 1.4576 | 1.3893 | 1.09 | 1.0704 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.4249
- Stop Loss: 1.4576
- Take Profit: 1.3893
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.4576 - 1.4249 = 0.0327
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.4249 - 1.3893 = 0.0356
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0356 / 0.0327 = 1.0887
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 348.8484 | 100 | 244.8231 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0327
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0327 = 244.65
Taille de position USD = 244.65 x 1.4249 = 348.6
Donc, tu peux acheter 244.65 avec un stoploss a 1.4576
Avec un position size USD de 348.6$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 244.65 x 0.0327 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 244.65 x 0.0356 = 8.71
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 8.71$
Résumé
- Taille de position 244.65
- Taille de position USD 348.6
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 8.71
- Risk-Reward Ratio 1.0887
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 8.72 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.29 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.01 $ | -0.58 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5895 % | 25.69 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4249 | 1.4576 | 1.3893 | 1.09 | 1.0704 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.4249
- Stop Loss: 1.4576
- Take Profit: 1.3893
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.4576 - 1.4249 = 0.0327
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.4249 - 1.3893 = 0.0356
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0356 / 0.0327 = 1.0887
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.3893
[entry_price] => 1.4249
[stop_loss] => 1.46087
[rr_ratio] => 0.99
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-07-29 18:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.3893
[entry_price] => 1.4249
[stop_loss] => 1.46414
[rr_ratio] => 0.91
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-07-29 18:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.3893
[entry_price] => 1.4249
[stop_loss] => 1.46741
[rr_ratio] => 0.84
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-07-29 18:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.3893
[entry_price] => 1.4249
[stop_loss] => 1.47395
[rr_ratio] => 0.73
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-07-29 18:55:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -2.295%
(0.0327)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.400% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.530% | 1.5R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.154% | 0.1R | -3.530% | 1.5R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.154% | 0.1R | -3.530% | 1.5R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.154% | 0.1R | -3.755% | 1.6R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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