Long Trade on BTC (BosPullback)
With 0.018 BTC at 63961$ per unit. Take profit: 64726.5 (1.2 %) & Stop Loss: 63525.7449 (0.68 %)
Long Trade on BTC (BosPullback)
With 0.018 BTC at 63961$ per unit. Take profit: 64726.5 (1.2 %) & Stop Loss: 63525.7449 (0.68 %)
Position
Entry 63961$
Qty 0.01838 BTC
Size 1175.6049$ (margin 100$) (leverage 12)
Risk Setup
TP 64726.5 (+1.2%)
TP $ 14.07$
SL 63525.7449 (-0.68%)
SL $ 8$
RR 1.76
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7625
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.54×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.32×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.99×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 29/07 12:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 29/07 13:00 Score : -3 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : range_low |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4707 | r1h: -0.433% · r4h: -0.907% · r1d: -0.56% · r3d: -1.60% · ema21_slope: 0.0379% · dist_ema21: -0.680% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5003 | rvol_20: 1.56× · zscore_50: 0.423 · trend: 26.97% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4962 | ADX: 14.6 (weak) · Chop: 53.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.570% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.140% | 1.7R | -0.386% | 0.6R | 3.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.140% | 1.7R | -0.755% | 1.1R | 1.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.140% | 1.7R | -1.119% | 1.6R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.140% | 1.7R | -1.119% | 1.6R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.140% | 1.7R | -1.119% | 1.6R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -1.0ATR | — | — | — | — | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | range_high |
32%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | — | — | — | — | 29/07 12:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | explosive | expansion | range_medium |
37%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | near -0.9ATR | — | — | — | — | — | 29/07 13:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | range_low |
32%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near 0.0ATR | — | — | — | — | — | 29/07 13:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 1.524×ATR | p0 | -0.045×ATR | p6 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 2.063×ATR | p8 | -0.174×ATR | p16 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 2.406×ATR | p46 | -0.683×ATR | p67 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.69×ATR | p14 | +0.167×ATR | p17 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64696
141
0.4687
0.6025
0.3467
0.2948
0.3892
1
0.1311
0.5231
0.6962
0.7132
0.6925
0.4084
-0.0204
-0.0057
0
-0.4504
-0.4728
0.6
0.4
1
8
1
0.4104
0.6038
3.456
0.55
1.8881
3.3357
-0.4728
0.115
0.1751
0.68
0.1578
0.6266
0.5327
0.653
0.4084
-4.7942
3.3091
1
0
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63565
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63525
63844.5
0.7876
65059
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64726.5
0.7943
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63961 | 63525.7449 | 64726.5 | 1.76 | 67237 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 63525.7449 - 63961 = -435.2551
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 63961 - 64726.5 = -765.5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -765.5 / -435.2551 = 1.7587
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1175.6049 | 100 | 0.01838 | 12.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -435.2551 = -0.02
Taille de position USD = -0.02 x 63961 = -1279.22
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.02 avec un stoploss a 63525.7449
Avec un position size USD de -1279.22$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.02 x -435.2551 = 8.71
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.71$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.02 x -765.5 = 15.31
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.31$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.2 % | 14.07 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.68 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.68 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7551 % | 110.96 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63961 | 63525.7449 | 64726.5 | 1.76 | 67237 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 63525.7449 - 63961 = -435.2551
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 63961 - 64726.5 = -765.5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -765.5 / -435.2551 = 1.7587
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.140% | 1.7R | -0.386% | 0.6R | 3.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.140% | 1.7R | -0.755% | 1.1R | 1.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.140% | 1.7R | -1.119% | 1.6R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.140% | 1.7R | -1.119% | 1.6R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.140% | 1.7R | -1.119% | 1.6R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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