Short Trade on PENGU (BosPullback)
With 121951.22 PENGU at 0.00585$ per unit. Take profit: 0.005686 (2.8 %) & Stop Loss: 0.005916 (1.13 %)
Short Trade on PENGU (BosPullback)
With 121951.22 PENGU at 0.00585$ per unit. Take profit: 0.005686 (2.8 %) & Stop Loss: 0.005916 (1.13 %)
Position
Entry 0.00585$
Qty 121951.2195 PENGU
Size 713.4146$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)
Risk Setup
TP 0.005686 (+2.8%)
TP $ 20$
SL 0.005916 (-1.13%)
SL $ 8.05$
RR 2.48
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1825
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.34×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.39×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/07 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/07 13:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium |
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4045 | r1h: 0.345% · r4h: -0.735% · r1d: -3.02% · r3d: -7.98% · ema21_slope: -0.0991% · dist_ema21: -1.036% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4120 | rs_1h: 0.120% · rs_4h: 0.339% · rs_1d: -3.44% · rs_3d: -6.85% · beta_24h: 1.530 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1655 | rvol_20: 0.22× · zscore_50: -0.524 · trend: -49.68% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5671 | ADX: 37.7 (trend) · Chop: 68.7 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.966% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.026% | 0.9R | -0.496% | 0.4R | 2.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.992% | 2.7R | -0.496% | 0.4R | 6.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.385% | 3.0R | -0.496% | 0.4R | 6.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.385% | 3.0R | -0.496% | 0.4R | 6.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.385% | 3.0R | -0.974% | 0.9R | 3.5× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | pullback | bear_trend | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near -1.4ATR | — | 0.75 | bear_high | -4.69% | -0.61 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.73 | bear_high | -0.91% | -0.66 | 29/07 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | explosive | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.51 | range_medium | -0.53% | -0.34 | 29/07 13:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_medium |
64%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.21% | -0.01 | 29/07 13:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 25b | — | 3.069×ATR | p22 | -0.602×ATR | p59 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 2.506×ATR | p22 | -0.635×ATR | p61 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 11b | — | 1.978×ATR | p37 | -0.595×ATR | p65 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 0.581×ATR | p3 | +0.216×ATR | p26 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.005763
146
0.2646
0.4401
0.3684
0.2808
0.44
1
0.4809
0.3366
0.3009
0.0472
0.5617
0.1192
-0.1223
-0.1129
0
-0.3866
-1.9623
0.35
0.65
-1
3
0.9474
0.4909
0.2849
2.5479
0.6
1.4272
2.143
-1.9623
0.6027
0.2724
0.04
-0.2652
0.4916
0.4915
0.895
0.1192
-12.3017
1.6645
1
1
0
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-25 19:00:00
[price] => 0.006178
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-26 00:00:00
[price] => 0.006159
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-26 07:00:00
[price] => 0.006483
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-26 15:00:00
[price] => 0.006264
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-27 07:00:00
[price] => 0.006449
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-27 09:00:00
[price] => 0.006352
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-27 10:00:00
[price] => 0.006481
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-27 12:00:00
[price] => 0.006325
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-27 13:00:00
[price] => 0.006461
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-27 17:00:00
[price] => 0.006013
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-27 19:00:00
[price] => 0.006158
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-28 01:00:00
[price] => 0.005836
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-28 08:00:00
[price] => 0.005966
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-28 13:00:00
[price] => 0.005805
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-28 16:00:00
[price] => 0.006128
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-28 23:00:00
[price] => 0.00588
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 00:00:00
[price] => 0.005992
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 04:00:00
[price] => 0.005807
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 06:00:00
[price] => 0.00591
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 15:00:00
[price] => 0.005763
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-28 18:00:00
[price] => 0.006024
[kind] => high
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-28 18:45:00
[price] => 0.005976
[kind] => low
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-28 20:00:00
[price] => 0.00604
[kind] => high
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-28 23:00:00
[price] => 0.00588
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 00:00:00
[price] => 0.005992
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 02:00:00
[price] => 0.005872
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 02:30:00
[price] => 0.005943
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 04:00:00
[price] => 0.005807
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 06:30:00
[price] => 0.00591
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 07:15:00
[price] => 0.005832
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 07:45:00
[price] => 0.00591
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 08:30:00
[price] => 0.005844
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 09:30:00
[price] => 0.005905
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 13:45:00
[price] => 0.005826
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 14:00:00
[price] => 0.005864
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 15:15:00
[price] => 0.005763
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 15:30:00
[price] => 0.005822
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
0.005763
0.00591
0.00591
0.005763
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:21 | 0.00585000 | 0% |
| 2 | 14:27 | 0.00585000 | 0% |
| 3 | 14:33 | 0.00580600 | -0.752% |
| 4 | 15:09 | 0.00583900 | -0.188% |
| 5 | 15:15 | 0.00584200 | -0.137% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00585 | 0.005916 | 0.005686 | 2.48 | 0.006032 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.005916 - 0.00585 = 6.6E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.00585 - 0.005686 = 0.000164
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000164 / 6.6E-5 = 2.4848
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 713.4146 | 100 | 121951.2195 | 7.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 6.6E-5 = 121212.12
Taille de position USD = 121212.12 x 0.00585 = 709.09
Donc, tu peux acheter 121212.12 avec un stoploss a 0.005916
Avec un position size USD de 709.09$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 121212.12 x 6.6E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 121212.12 x 0.000164 = 19.88
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.88$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.8 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.13 % | 8.05 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 20 $ | 2.80 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4957 % | 43.94 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00585 | 0.005916 | 0.005686 | 2.48 | 0.006032 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.005916 - 0.00585 = 6.6E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.00585 - 0.005686 = 0.000164
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000164 / 6.6E-5 = 2.4848
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.005718
[stop_loss] => 0.005916
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-07-29 19:45:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.005685
[stop_loss] => 0.005916
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-07-29 19:50:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.005652
[stop_loss] => 0.005916
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-07-29 21:05:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.026% | 0.9R | -0.496% | 0.4R | 2.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.992% | 2.7R | -0.496% | 0.4R | 6.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.385% | 3.0R | -0.496% | 0.4R | 6.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.385% | 3.0R | -0.496% | 0.4R | 6.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.385% | 3.0R | -0.974% | 0.9R | 3.5× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Aucun commentaire.