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Long Trade on JUP

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29 Jul 2026 at 15:10:03 hyperliquid

Long Trade on JUP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 1352.39 JUP at 0.198$ per unit. Take profit: 0.203 (2.53 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1921 (2.98 %)

JUP LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Jul 2026 15:10 → 16:25 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.198$

Qty 1352.3908 JUP

Size 267.841$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.203 (+2.53%)

TP $ 6.76$

SL 0.1921 (-2.98%)

SL $ 7.98$

RR 0.85

Status loss PnL -2.98% / -7.98$ MAE -4.13% MFE +0.11% 0.0R expires 29 Jul 21:10

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 52596)
#3 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/07/2026 15:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9485

Quality Score
0.680
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#3 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#3 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.10×ATR
4h near -0.53×ATR
1d clear 3.43×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/07 15:01
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

28/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

29/07 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

29/07 14:00

Score : +3 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #1147
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_bound
Strategic range

—

range

0

Operational range

—

range

0

Tactical range

—

range

0

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.70
Transition risk : 0.30
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.82
Snapshot évalué : 29/07 15:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 29/07/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.6799
Score SMA
0.5995
Rank
#3 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9485
Rank Norm SMA
0.9115
Calculé le
29/07/2026 15:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7232 r1h: 1.283% · r4h: 2.261% · r1d: 5.37% · r3d: 5.56% · ema21_slope: 0.1730% · dist_ema21: 2.428%
Force Relative 25% 0.6879 rs_1h: 1.098% · rs_4h: 1.802% · rs_1d: 4.31% · rs_3d: 6.08% · beta_24h: 1.241
Volume 20% 0.5658 rvol_20: 1.55× · zscore_50: 1.107 · trend: 43.52%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5188 ADX: 19.9 (weak) · Chop: 56.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.229% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -2.980% (0.0059)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -2.864% 1.0R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -4.131% 1.4R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -4.131% 1.4R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.106% 0.0R -4.131% 1.4R 0.0× 72
8h +1.051% 0.4R -4.131% 1.4R 0.3× 96
12h +1.051% 0.4R -4.131% 1.4R 0.3× 144

computed 3 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.12
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression range_high
32%
noisy_chop 38% early — — 0.67 bear_high -4.75% -0.74 28/07 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition strong balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
51%
noisy_chop 35% mid — near -0.5ATR 0.63 range_high +0.14% +0.50 29/07 12:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
64%
noisy_chop 42% late — near -0.1ATR 0.63 range_medium +0.14% +0.34 29/07 14:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bull_medium
62%
noisy_chop 37% late — — — range_low +0.44% +0.15 29/07 14:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 27b — 4.476×ATR p45 +0.527×ATR p51
4h ↑ up mid 11b — 4.387×ATR p74 +0.871×ATR p77
1h ↑ up late 3b — 2.366×ATR p40 +1.257×ATR p90
15m ↓ down late 2b — 0.116×ATR p0 +1.467×ATR p88

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.19213455
  2. tp_price: 0.20300125
  3. atr: 0.00236618
  4. expires_at: 2026-07-30T01:10:03+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 2
  2. total: 50
  3. score: 0.7232
  4. delta_2h: 0.1524
  5. extension_atr: 1.73
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9485
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.198 0.1921 0.203 0.85 0.2643
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.198
  • Stop Loss: 0.1921
  • Take Profit: 0.203

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1921 - 0.198 = -0.0059

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.198 - 0.203 = -0.005

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.005 / -0.0059 = 0.8475

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
267.841 100 1352.3908 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0059

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0059 = -1355.93

Taille de position USD = -1355.93 x 0.198 = -268.47

Donc, tu peux acheter -1355.93 avec un stoploss a 0.1921

Avec un position size USD de -268.47$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -1355.93 x -0.0059 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -1355.93 x -0.005 = 6.78

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.78$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -1355.93
  • Taille de position USD -268.47
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 6.78
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8475

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.53 % 6.76 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.98 % 7.98 $
PNL PNL %
-7.98 $ -2.98
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.1313 % 138.64 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.198 0.1921 0.203 0.85 0.2643
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.198
  • Stop Loss: 0.1921
  • Take Profit: 0.203

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1921 - 0.198 = -0.0059

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.198 - 0.203 = -0.005

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.005 / -0.0059 = 0.8475

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.203
            [entry_price] => 0.198
            [stop_loss] => 0.19151
            [rr_ratio] => 0.77
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-07-29 20:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.203
            [entry_price] => 0.198
            [stop_loss] => 0.19092
            [rr_ratio] => 0.71
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-07-29 20:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.203
            [entry_price] => 0.198
            [stop_loss] => 0.19033
            [rr_ratio] => 0.65
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-07-29 20:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -2.980% (0.0059)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -2.864% 1.0R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -4.131% 1.4R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -4.131% 1.4R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.106% 0.0R -4.131% 1.4R 0.0× 72
8h +1.051% 0.4R -4.131% 1.4R 0.3× 96
12h +1.051% 0.4R -4.131% 1.4R 0.3× 144

computed 3 months ago

Commentaires

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