Short Trade on SOL (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 7.65 SOL at 72.659$ per unit. Take profit: 70.0445 (3.6 %) & Stop Loss: 73.7048 (1.44 %)
29 Jul 2026 at 16:07:02
hyperliquid
SOL
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Jul 2026 16:07
→ 18:15
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 72.659$
Qty 7.6496 SOL
Size 555.8133$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 70.0445 (+3.6%)
TP $ 20$
SL 73.7048 (-1.44%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-1.44%
/ -8$
MAE -2.09%
MFE +0.50%
0.4R
expires
30 Jul 04:06
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 52621)
#12 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/07/2026 16:00
score du 29/07/2026 16:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6859
Quality Score
0.526
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#12 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.44 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#12 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.44 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.94×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.13×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.79×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
209.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/07 16:00
29/07 16:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/07 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/07 15:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1148
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.70
Transition risk :
0.30
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.57
Snapshot évalué :
29/07 16:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
29/07/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.5256
Score SMA
0.5166
Rank
#12
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6859
Rank Norm SMA
0.6147
Calculé le
29/07/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4550 | r1h: -1.213% · r4h: 0.272% · r1d: -1.32% · r3d: -2.65% · ema21_slope: -0.0104% · dist_ema21: -0.501% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4701 | rs_1h: -0.254% · rs_4h: 0.408% · rs_1d: -1.29% · rs_3d: -1.39% · beta_24h: 1.154 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4789 | rvol_20: 0.99× · zscore_50: 0.236 · trend: 88.14% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5055 | ADX: 21.0 (weak) · Chop: 59.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.849% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.439%
(1.0458)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.501% | 0.4R | -0.696% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.501% | 0.4R | -1.412% | 1.0R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.501% | 0.4R | -1.526% | 1.1R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.501% | 0.4R | -2.093% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.501% | 0.4R | -2.093% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.501% | 0.4R | -3.145% | 2.2R | 0.2× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.52
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.87 | bear_high | -4.75% | -0.60 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
49%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near -1.1ATR | — | 0.84 | range_high | -0.06% | -0.09 | 29/07 12:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near -0.9ATR | near 0.0ATR | 0.85 | range_medium | -0.65% | -0.06 | 29/07 15:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | range_medium |
32%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near -0.1ATR | — | — | range_medium | -0.36% | +0.07 | 29/07 15:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 25b | — | 3.609×ATR | p44 | -0.415×ATR | p47 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 1.481×ATR | p0 | +0.092×ATR | p12 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.941×ATR | p17 | -0.545×ATR | p56 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -0.734×ATR | p63 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.9096
- reason: down_bo width=2.38×ATR dur=30b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 73.70480441
- tp_price: 70.04448898
- atr:
- score: 0.90958088665254
- expires_at: 2026-07-30T08:06:54.252201
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.90958088665254
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.012
- obi_top10 : 0.012
- micro_price : 72.76099655
- spread_pct : 0.001374
- mid_price : 72.7605
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0064
- obi_top5_std : 0.0436
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7020
- aggregation_tick : 0.1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
74.399
- balance_zone_bottom:
72.883
- balance_zone_mid:
73.641
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785250800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785355200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.376
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
30
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.9096
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785351600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
72.883
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9333
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.3511
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
8
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.63804408 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
30
inside_close_ratio
0.9333
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.3511
Signaux confirmants (8)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:07 | 72.65900000 | 0% |
| 2 | 16:13 | 72.65900000 | 0% |
| 3 | 16:37 | 72.82400000 | +0.227% |
| 4 | 16:43 | 72.82400000 | +0.227% |
| 5 | 17:10 | 72.50600000 | -0.211% |
| 6 | 17:18 | 72.72400000 | +0.089% |
| 7 | 17:25 | 72.72400000 | +0.089% |
| 8 | 17:32 | 72.72400000 | +0.089% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7020ms
Confidence avant OB :
91%
→
91%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.012
avg -0.006
± 0.044
OBI Top 10
0.012
Microstructure
Mid Price
72.7605
Micro Price
72.7610
Spread
0.0014%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72.659 | 73.7048 | 70.0445 | 2.5 | 79.548 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 72.659
- Stop Loss: 73.7048
- Take Profit: 70.0445
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 73.7048 - 72.659 = 1.0458
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 72.659 - 70.0445 = 2.6145
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.6145 / 1.0458 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 555.8133 | 100 | 7.6496 | 6.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 1.0458
Taille de position = 8 / 1.0458 = 7.65
Taille de position USD = 7.65 x 72.659 = 555.84
Donc, tu peux acheter 7.65 avec un stoploss a 73.7048
Avec un position size USD de 555.84$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 7.65 x 1.0458 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 7.65 x 2.6145 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position 7.65
- Taille de position USD 555.84
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.6 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.44 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.44 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.4809 % | 102.89 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72.659 | 73.7048 | 70.0445 | 2.5 | 79.548 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 72.659
- Stop Loss: 73.7048
- Take Profit: 70.0445
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 73.7048 - 72.659 = 1.0458
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 72.659 - 70.0445 = 2.6145
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.6145 / 1.0458 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 70.0445
[entry_price] => 72.659
[stop_loss] => 73.80938
[rr_ratio] => 2.27
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-07-30 00:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 70.0445
[entry_price] => 72.659
[stop_loss] => 73.91396
[rr_ratio] => 2.08
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-07-30 01:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 70.0445
[entry_price] => 72.659
[stop_loss] => 74.01854
[rr_ratio] => 1.92
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-07-30 01:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.439%
(1.0458)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.501% | 0.4R | -0.696% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.501% | 0.4R | -1.412% | 1.0R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.501% | 0.4R | -1.526% | 1.1R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.501% | 0.4R | -2.093% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.501% | 0.4R | -2.093% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.501% | 0.4R | -3.145% | 2.2R | 0.2× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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