Short Trade on DOGE (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 7125.3 DOGE at 0.0695$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06668 (4.03 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07061 (1.63 %)
29 Jul 2026 at 16:07:46
hyperliquid
DOGE
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Jul 2026 16:07
→ 21:35
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.06948$
Qty 7125.2984 DOGE
Size 495.0871$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 0.06668 (+4.03%)
TP $ 19.95$
SL 0.07061 (-1.63%)
SL $ 8.05$
RR 2.48
Status
loss
PnL
-1.63%
/ -8.05$
MAE -1.73%
MFE +0.94%
0.6R
expires
30 Jul 04:07
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 52626)
#21 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/07/2026 16:00
score du 29/07/2026 16:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5108
Quality Score
0.486
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#21 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.63 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#21 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.63 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.55×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.59×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
7.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/07 16:00
29/07 16:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/07 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/07 15:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1148
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.70
Transition risk :
0.30
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.57
Snapshot évalué :
29/07 16:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
29/07/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.4857
Score SMA
0.4873
Rank
#21
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5108
Rank Norm SMA
0.4196
Calculé le
29/07/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4446 | r1h: -1.227% · r4h: -0.124% · r1d: -0.90% · r3d: -3.54% · ema21_slope: -0.0140% · dist_ema21: -0.639% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4591 | rs_1h: -0.268% · rs_4h: 0.012% · rs_1d: -0.88% · rs_3d: -2.28% · beta_24h: 1.010 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3536 | rvol_20: 0.91× · zscore_50: -0.347 · trend: 33.42% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4455 | ADX: 24.4 (weak) · Chop: 70.1 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.779% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.626%
(0.0011)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.937% | 0.6R | -0.448% | 0.3R | 2.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.937% | 0.6R | -0.993% | 0.6R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.937% | 0.6R | -1.131% | 0.7R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.937% | 0.6R | -1.730% | 1.1R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.937% | 0.6R | -1.730% | 1.1R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.937% | 0.6R | -2.162% | 1.3R | 0.4× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.2
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.79 | bear_high | -4.75% | -0.43 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.84 | range_high | -0.06% | -0.31 | 29/07 12:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | — | — | 0.73 | range_medium | -0.65% | -0.11 | 29/07 15:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | expansion | range_medium |
40%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | near -1.2ATR | — | — | range_medium | -0.36% | +0.02 | 29/07 15:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 25b | — | 3.156×ATR | p31 | -0.237×ATR | p27 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 21b | — | 3.114×ATR | p31 | +0.079×ATR | p11 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 1.914×ATR | p21 | -0.764×ATR | p77 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -1.121×ATR | p83 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8743
- reason: down_bo width=2.09×ATR dur=28b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.07060576
- tp_price: 0.0666761
- atr:
- score: 0.87434851414091
- expires_at: 2026-07-30T08:07:38.932429
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.87434851414091
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.1453
- obi_top10 : -0.0462
- micro_price : 0.06956088
- spread_pct : 0.014376
- mid_price : 0.069565
- bid_wall_price : 0.0684
- bid_wall_size : 36137254
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.1279
- obi_top5_std : 0.0108
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6901
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.071133
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.069967
- balance_zone_mid:
0.07055
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785258000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785355200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.0911
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
28
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: forming
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8743
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785351600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.069967
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9286
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.868
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00055759 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
28
inside_close_ratio
0.9286
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.868
Signaux confirmants (18)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:07 | 0.06948300 | +0.004% |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.06948300 | +0.004% |
| 3 | 16:20 | 0.06967300 | +0.278% |
| 4 | 16:26 | 0.06967300 | +0.278% |
| 5 | 16:32 | 0.06967300 | +0.278% |
| 6 | 16:38 | 0.06935200 | -0.184% |
| 7 | 16:44 | 0.06935200 | -0.184% |
| 8 | 16:50 | 0.06961100 | +0.189% |
| 9 | 16:56 | 0.06961100 | +0.189% |
| 10 | 17:03 | 0.06961100 | +0.189% |
| 11 | 17:11 | 0.06916000 | -0.461% |
| 12 | 17:18 | 0.06933300 | -0.212% |
| 13 | 17:25 | 0.06933300 | -0.212% |
| 14 | 17:33 | 0.06933300 | -0.212% |
| 15 | 17:39 | 0.06968800 | +0.299% |
| 16 | 17:46 | 0.06955900 | +0.114% |
| 17 | 17:52 | 0.06955900 | +0.114% |
| 18 | 17:59 | 0.06955900 | +0.114% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6901ms
Confidence avant OB :
87%
→
87%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.145
avg -0.128
± 0.011
OBI Top 10
-0.046
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0696
Micro Price
0.0696
Spread
0.0144%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0684
Size
36,137,254.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06948 | 0.07061 | 0.06668 | 2.48 | 0.06591 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.06948
- Stop Loss: 0.07061
- Take Profit: 0.06668
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07061 - 0.06948 = 0.00113
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06948 - 0.06668 = 0.0028
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0028 / 0.00113 = 2.4779
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 495.0871 | 100 | 7125.2984 | 5.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00113
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00113 = 7079.65
Taille de position USD = 7079.65 x 0.06948 = 491.89
Donc, tu peux acheter 7079.65 avec un stoploss a 0.07061
Avec un position size USD de 491.89$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 7079.65 x 0.00113 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 7079.65 x 0.0028 = 19.82
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.82$
Résumé
- Taille de position 7079.65
- Taille de position USD 491.89
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.82
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4779
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.03 % | 19.95 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.63 % | 8.05 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.05 $ | -1.63 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.73 % | 106.37 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06948 | 0.07061 | 0.06668 | 2.48 | 0.06591 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.06948
- Stop Loss: 0.07061
- Take Profit: 0.06668
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07061 - 0.06948 = 0.00113
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06948 - 0.06668 = 0.0028
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0028 / 0.00113 = 2.4779
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.626%
(0.0011)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.937% | 0.6R | -0.448% | 0.3R | 2.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.937% | 0.6R | -0.993% | 0.6R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.937% | 0.6R | -1.131% | 0.7R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.937% | 0.6R | -1.730% | 1.1R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.937% | 0.6R | -1.730% | 1.1R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.937% | 0.6R | -2.162% | 1.3R | 0.4× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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