Short Trade on LINK (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 52.65 LINK at 8.214$ per unit. Take profit: 7.8341 (4.63 %) & Stop Loss: 8.366 (1.85 %)
29 Jul 2026 at 16:14:45
hyperliquid
LINK
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Jul 2026 16:14
→ 21:30
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 8.214$
Qty 52.645 LINK
Size 432.4263$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 7.8341 (+4.63%)
TP $ 20$
SL 8.366 (-1.85%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-1.85%
/ -8$
MAE -2.20%
MFE +0.65%
0.4R
expires
30 Jul 04:14
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 52631)
#27 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/07/2026 16:00
score du 29/07/2026 16:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6202
Quality Score
0.478
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#27 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#27 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.11×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.25×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.12×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
3.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/07 16:00
29/07 16:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 29/07 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/07 15:00 Score : +4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1148
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.70
Transition risk :
0.30
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.57
Snapshot évalué :
29/07 16:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
29/07/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.4778
Score SMA
0.5160
Rank
#27
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6202
Rank Norm SMA
0.6455
Calculé le
29/07/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4321 | r1h: -1.458% · r4h: -0.019% · r1d: -1.29% · r3d: -3.59% · ema21_slope: -0.0394% · dist_ema21: -0.984% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4463 | rs_1h: -0.500% · rs_4h: 0.117% · rs_1d: -1.27% · rs_3d: -2.33% · beta_24h: 1.296 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2635 | rvol_20: 0.57× · zscore_50: -0.377 · trend: 7.61% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5594 | ADX: 21.5 (weak) · Chop: 53.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.916% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.851%
(0.1520)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.653% | 0.4R | -0.373% | 0.2R | 1.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.653% | 0.4R | -1.118% | 0.6R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.653% | 0.4R | -1.606% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.653% | 0.4R | -2.196% | 1.2R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.653% | 0.4R | -2.196% | 1.2R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.653% | 0.4R | -3.823% | 2.1R | 0.2× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.72
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.85 | bear_high | -4.75% | +0.56 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | range_high |
34%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.88 | range_high | -0.06% | -0.05 | 29/07 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | near -1.1ATR | — | 0.81 | range_medium | -0.65% | -0.19 | 29/07 15:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
50%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near -0.4ATR | — | — | range_medium | -0.36% | +0.05 | 29/07 15:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 34b | — | 4.387×ATR | p47 | -0.202×ATR | p27 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.061×ATR | p0 | -0.098×ATR | p11 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 2.179×ATR | p31 | -0.802×ATR | p69 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -0.905×ATR | p66 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8602
- reason: down_bo width=2.07×ATR dur=44b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 8.36596115
- tp_price: 7.83409713
- atr:
- score: 0.86016300526612
- expires_at: 2026-07-30T08:14:38.118219
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.86016300526612
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0865
- obi_top10 : 0.0722
- micro_price : 8.22233742
- spread_pct : 0.012162
- mid_price : 8.2225
- bid_wall_price : 8.21
- bid_wall_size : 93757.8
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 8.34
- ask_wall_size : 89763
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0484
- obi_top5_std : 0.0266
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6890
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
8.437
- balance_zone_bottom:
8.27975
- balance_zone_mid:
8.358375
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785200400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785355200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.0729
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
44
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8602
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785351600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
8.27975
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7955
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.8667
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
12
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
11
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.0758615 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
44
inside_close_ratio
0.7955
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.8667
Signaux confirmants (17)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:14 | 8.21400000 | 0% |
| 2 | 16:21 | 8.22430000 | +0.125% |
| 3 | 16:26 | 8.22430000 | +0.125% |
| 4 | 16:33 | 8.22430000 | +0.125% |
| 5 | 16:39 | 8.21090000 | -0.038% |
| 6 | 16:44 | 8.21090000 | -0.038% |
| 7 | 16:51 | 8.22430000 | +0.125% |
| 8 | 16:57 | 8.22430000 | +0.125% |
| 9 | 17:04 | 8.22430000 | +0.125% |
| 10 | 17:12 | 8.17990000 | -0.415% |
| 11 | 17:19 | 8.20420000 | -0.119% |
| 12 | 17:26 | 8.20420000 | -0.119% |
| 13 | 17:34 | 8.20420000 | -0.119% |
| 14 | 17:40 | 8.22850000 | +0.177% |
| 15 | 17:47 | 8.23060000 | +0.202% |
| 16 | 17:53 | 8.23060000 | +0.202% |
| 17 | 17:59 | 8.23060000 | +0.202% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6890ms
Confidence avant OB :
86%
→
86%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.087
avg 0.048
± 0.027
OBI Top 10
0.072
Microstructure
Mid Price
8.2225
Micro Price
8.2223
Spread
0.0122%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
8.2100
Size
93,757.80
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
8.3400
Size
89,763.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.214 | 8.366 | 7.8341 | 2.5 | 9.7849 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 8.214
- Stop Loss: 8.366
- Take Profit: 7.8341
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.366 - 8.214 = 0.152
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.214 - 7.8341 = 0.3799
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3799 / 0.152 = 2.4993
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 432.4263 | 100 | 52.645 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.152
Taille de position = 8 / 0.152 = 52.63
Taille de position USD = 52.63 x 8.214 = 432.3
Donc, tu peux acheter 52.63 avec un stoploss a 8.366
Avec un position size USD de 432.3$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 52.63 x 0.152 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 52.63 x 0.3799 = 19.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$
Résumé
- Taille de position 52.63
- Taille de position USD 432.3
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.99
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4993
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.63 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.85 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.85 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.8785 % | 101.51 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.214 | 8.366 | 7.8341 | 2.5 | 9.7849 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 8.214
- Stop Loss: 8.366
- Take Profit: 7.8341
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.366 - 8.214 = 0.152
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.214 - 7.8341 = 0.3799
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3799 / 0.152 = 2.4993
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 7.8341
[entry_price] => 8.214
[stop_loss] => 8.3812
[rr_ratio] => 2.27
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-07-30 01:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.851%
(0.1520)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.653% | 0.4R | -0.373% | 0.2R | 1.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.653% | 0.4R | -1.118% | 0.6R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.653% | 0.4R | -1.606% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.653% | 0.4R | -2.196% | 1.2R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.653% | 0.4R | -2.196% | 1.2R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.653% | 0.4R | -3.823% | 2.1R | 0.2× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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