Short Trade on CRV (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1833.22 CRV at 0.206$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1956 (5.28 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2109 (2.13 %)
29 Jul 2026 at 16:14:31
hyperliquid
CRV
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Jul 2026 16:14
→ 21:45
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.2065$
Qty 1833.2226 CRV
Size 378.5605$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1956 (+5.28%)
TP $ 19.98$
SL 0.2109 (-2.13%)
SL $ 8.07$
RR 2.48
Status
loss
PnL
-2.13%
/ -8.07$
MAE -2.32%
MFE +1.62%
0.8R
expires
30 Jul 04:14
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 52630)
#30 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/07/2026 16:00
score du 29/07/2026 16:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3747
Quality Score
0.467
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#30 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.13 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#30 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.13 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.65×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.84×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.54×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/07 16:00
29/07 16:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 29/07 12:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 29/07 15:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1148
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.70
Transition risk :
0.30
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.57
Snapshot évalué :
29/07 16:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
29/07/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.4674
Score SMA
0.4984
Rank
#30
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3747
Rank Norm SMA
0.5065
Calculé le
29/07/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4560 | r1h: -1.161% · r4h: -0.314% · r1d: -2.21% · r3d: 1.84% · ema21_slope: -0.0274% · dist_ema21: -0.417% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4863 | rs_1h: -0.202% · rs_4h: -0.178% · rs_1d: -2.19% · rs_3d: 3.10% · beta_24h: 0.901 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2991 | rvol_20: 0.88× · zscore_50: -0.617 · trend: 9.22% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3279 | ADX: 12.4 (weak) · Chop: 72.3 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.995% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.131%
(0.0044)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.617% | 0.8R | -0.392% | 0.2R | 4.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.617% | 0.8R | -0.644% | 0.3R | 2.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.617% | 0.8R | -1.869% | 0.9R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.617% | 0.8R | -2.320% | 1.1R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.617% | 0.8R | -2.320% | 1.1R | 0.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.617% | 0.8R | -4.213% | 2.0R | 0.4× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.59
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | — | 0.68 | bear_high | -4.75% | +0.17 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | range_high |
36%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.50 | range_high | -0.06% | +0.35 | 29/07 12:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | explosive | normal | range_high |
39%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near -1.6ATR | near 0.4ATR | 0.44 | range_medium | -0.65% | -0.09 | 29/07 15:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | range_medium |
31%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near 0.1ATR | — | — | range_medium | -0.36% | +0.05 | 29/07 15:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 15b | — | 1.836×ATR | p0 | +0.114×ATR | p13 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.57×ATR | p0 | +0.102×ATR | p13 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.416×ATR | p0 | -0.309×ATR | p37 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 0.14×ATR | p0 | -0.543×ATR | p52 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8371
- reason: down_bo width=1.81×ATR dur=37b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.2108639
- tp_price: 0.19559024
- atr:
- score: 0.83714482875707
- expires_at: 2026-07-30T08:14:24.056525
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.83714482875707
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0494
- obi_top10 : 0.0569
- micro_price : 0.20680339
- spread_pct : 0.048356
- mid_price : 0.20685
- bid_wall_price : 0.203
- bid_wall_size : 575467.2
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.207
- ask_wall_size : 484134.8
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0475
- obi_top5_std : 0.0025
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6830
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.21263
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.20866
- balance_zone_mid:
0.210645
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785225600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785355200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.8136
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
37
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8371
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785351600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.20866
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7297
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.9867
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
8
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
10
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00218903 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
37
inside_close_ratio
0.7297
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.9867
Signaux confirmants (32)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:14 | 0.20650000 | 0% |
| 2 | 16:20 | 0.20693000 | +0.208% |
| 3 | 16:26 | 0.20693000 | +0.208% |
| 4 | 16:32 | 0.20693000 | +0.208% |
| 5 | 16:38 | 0.20518000 | -0.639% |
| 6 | 16:44 | 0.20518000 | -0.639% |
| 7 | 16:51 | 0.20539000 | -0.538% |
| 8 | 16:57 | 0.20539000 | -0.538% |
| 9 | 17:04 | 0.20539000 | -0.538% |
| 10 | 17:12 | 0.20368000 | -1.366% |
| 11 | 17:19 | 0.20460000 | -0.92% |
| 12 | 17:26 | 0.20460000 | -0.92% |
| 13 | 17:33 | 0.20460000 | -0.92% |
| 14 | 17:40 | 0.20589000 | -0.295% |
| 15 | 17:46 | 0.20597000 | -0.257% |
| 16 | 17:53 | 0.20597000 | -0.257% |
| 17 | 17:59 | 0.20597000 | -0.257% |
| 18 | 18:07 | 0.20714000 | +0.31% |
| 19 | 18:13 | 0.20714000 | +0.31% |
| 20 | 18:19 | 0.20737000 | +0.421% |
| 21 | 18:25 | 0.20737000 | +0.421% |
| 22 | 18:32 | 0.20737000 | +0.421% |
| 23 | 18:38 | 0.20747000 | +0.47% |
| 24 | 18:43 | 0.20747000 | +0.47% |
| 25 | 18:49 | 0.20755000 | +0.508% |
| 26 | 18:55 | 0.20755000 | +0.508% |
| 27 | 19:01 | 0.20755000 | +0.508% |
| 28 | 19:08 | 0.20798000 | +0.717% |
| 29 | 19:14 | 0.20798000 | +0.717% |
| 30 | 19:21 | 0.20777000 | +0.615% |
| 31 | 19:27 | 0.20777000 | +0.615% |
| 32 | 19:33 | 0.20777000 | +0.615% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6830ms
Confidence avant OB :
84%
→
84%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.049
avg 0.048
± 0.003
OBI Top 10
0.057
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.2069
Micro Price
0.2068
Spread
0.0484%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.2030
Size
575,467.20
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.2070
Size
484,134.80
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2065 | 0.2109 | 0.1956 | 2.48 | 0.2311 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2065
- Stop Loss: 0.2109
- Take Profit: 0.1956
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2109 - 0.2065 = 0.0044
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2065 - 0.1956 = 0.0109
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0109 / 0.0044 = 2.4773
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 378.5605 | 100 | 1833.2226 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0044
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0044 = 1818.18
Taille de position USD = 1818.18 x 0.2065 = 375.45
Donc, tu peux acheter 1818.18 avec un stoploss a 0.2109
Avec un position size USD de 375.45$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1818.18 x 0.0044 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1818.18 x 0.0109 = 19.82
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.82$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1818.18
- Taille de position USD 375.45
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.82
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4773
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.28 % | 19.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.13 % | 8.07 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.07 $ | -2.13 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.3196 % | 108.86 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2065 | 0.2109 | 0.1956 | 2.48 | 0.2311 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2065
- Stop Loss: 0.2109
- Take Profit: 0.1956
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2109 - 0.2065 = 0.0044
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2065 - 0.1956 = 0.0109
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0109 / 0.0044 = 2.4773
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.131%
(0.0044)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.617% | 0.8R | -0.392% | 0.2R | 4.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.617% | 0.8R | -0.644% | 0.3R | 2.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.617% | 0.8R | -1.869% | 0.9R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.617% | 0.8R | -2.320% | 1.1R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.617% | 0.8R | -2.320% | 1.1R | 0.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.617% | 0.8R | -4.213% | 2.0R | 0.4× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.