Long Trade on JUP (CatchTheWave)
With 5173.24 JUP at 0.191$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1937 (1.63 %) & Stop Loss: 0.189 (0.84 %)
Long Trade on JUP (CatchTheWave)
With 5173.24 JUP at 0.191$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1937 (1.63 %) & Stop Loss: 0.189 (0.84 %)
Position
Entry 0.1906$
Qty 5173.2388 JUP
Size 985.9159$ (margin 100$) (leverage 10)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1937 (+1.63%)
TP $ 16.04$
SL 0.189 (-0.84%)
SL $ 8.28$
RR 1.94
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9275
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.16×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.37×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.43×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 29/07 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 29/07 16:00 Score : -1 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.665979 15m : 0.619979 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5786 | r1h: -1.848% · r4h: 0.631% · r1d: 2.79% · r3d: 3.74% · ema21_slope: 0.1564% · dist_ema21: 0.478% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5558 | rs_1h: -0.889% · rs_4h: 0.768% · rs_1d: 2.81% · rs_3d: 5.00% · beta_24h: 1.435 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2507 | rvol_20: 0.32× · zscore_50: -0.708 · trend: 23.44% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4874 | ADX: 20.5 (weak) · Chop: 60.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.344% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.960% | 1.1R | -0.404% | 0.5R | 2.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.623% | 3.1R | -0.404% | 0.5R | 6.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.993% | 4.8R | -0.404% | 0.5R | 9.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.974% | 5.9R | -0.404% | 0.5R | 12.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.974% | 5.9R | -0.404% | 0.5R | 12.3× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
32%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -4.75% | -0.74 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 33% | mid | near 0.1ATR | near 0.4ATR | 0.63 | bear_high | -1.28% | +0.43 | 29/07 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.65 | bear_medium | -1.08% | +0.01 | 29/07 16:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.63 | range_medium | -0.75% | -0.02 | 29/07 16:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 27b | — | 4.476×ATR | p45 | +0.527×ATR | p51 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 3.619×ATR | p66 | +0.223×ATR | p24 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2.49×ATR | p47 | -0.928×ATR | p80 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -0.919×ATR | p68 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63992
-0.00745477
63515
0.665979
64063.8
-0.00876994
63502
0.619979
64182.5
-0.00965302
63563
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0.1956
0.98
0.3401
0.5589
0.5748
0.7993
0.6707
-2.2345
4.5516
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:52 | 0.19058000 | -0.01% |
| 2 | 16:59 | 0.19029000 | -0.163% |
| 3 | 17:06 | 0.19049000 | -0.058% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 13:45:00 | 0.19578 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 14:40:00 | 0.19304 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 15:15:00 | 0.19436 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 15:20:00 | 0.19235 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 15:55:00 | 0.19263 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 16:30:00 | 0.19508 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 0.19799 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 18:30:00 | 0.19477 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 18:50:00 | 0.19879 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 20:25:00 | 0.18982 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 00:45:00 | 0.19328 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 01:15:00 | 0.19022 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 02:30:00 | 0.19322 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 04:00:00 | 0.18736 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 08:15:00 | 0.19187 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 11:00:00 | 0.1976 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 12:15:00 | 0.19369 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 15:15:00 | 0.19235 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 18:45:00 | 0.19879 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 20:15:00 | 0.18982 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 16:00:00 | 0.18436 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-27 20:00:00 | 0.18768 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-27 22:00:00 | 0.17741 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 06:00:00 | 0.18389 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 11:00:00 | 0.18129 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 15:00:00 | 0.19197 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 04:00:00 | 0.18736 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 11:00:00 | 0.1976 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 0.19879 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 20:00:00 | 0.18982 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1906 | 0.189 | 0.1937 | 1.94 | 0.2655 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.189 - 0.1906 = -0.0016
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1906 - 0.1937 = -0.0031
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0031 / -0.0016 = 1.9375
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 985.9159 | 100 | 5173.2388 | 10.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0016 = -5000
Taille de position USD = -5000 x 0.1906 = -953
Donc, tu peux acheter -5000 avec un stoploss a 0.189
Avec un position size USD de -953$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -5000 x -0.0016 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -5000 x -0.0031 = 15.5
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.5$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.63 % | 16.04 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.84 % | 8.28 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.04 $ | 1.63 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.404 % | 48.12 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1906 | 0.189 | 0.1937 | 1.94 | 0.2655 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.189 - 0.1906 = -0.0016
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1906 - 0.1937 = -0.0031
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0031 / -0.0016 = 1.9375
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.960% | 1.1R | -0.404% | 0.5R | 2.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.623% | 3.1R | -0.404% | 0.5R | 6.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.993% | 4.8R | -0.404% | 0.5R | 9.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.974% | 5.9R | -0.404% | 0.5R | 12.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.974% | 5.9R | -0.404% | 0.5R | 12.3× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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