Short Trade on PUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 75478.82 PUMP at 0.00181$ per unit. Take profit: 0.001765 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.001916 (5.86 %)
29 Jul 2026 at 17:10:08
hyperliquid
PUMP
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
29 Jul 2026 17:10
→ 17:15
· 4 minutes
Position
Entry 0.00181$
Qty 75478.8188 PUMP
Size 136.6167$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.001765 (+2.49%)
TP $ 3.4$
SL 0.001916 (-5.86%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.42
Status
loss
PnL
-1.16%
/ -1.59$
MAE -3.87%
MFE +0.00%
0.0R
expires
29 Jul 17:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=25 <= threshold=39/49
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 52710)
#25 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/07/2026 17:00
score du 29/07/2026 17:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4138
Quality Score
0.508
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#25 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#25 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.16×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.25×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
20.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/07 17:02
29/07 17:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 29/07 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 29/07 16:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1149
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.70
Transition risk :
0.30
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.57
Snapshot évalué :
29/07 17:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
29/07/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.5082
Score SMA
0.4550
Rank
#25
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4138
Rank Norm SMA
0.2422
Calculé le
29/07/2026 17:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2701 | r1h: -1.883% · r4h: -2.824% · r1d: -6.89% · r3d: -3.18% · ema21_slope: -0.1888% · dist_ema21: -3.820% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2773 | rs_1h: -1.883% · rs_4h: -2.469% · rs_1d: -6.39% · rs_3d: -1.56% · beta_24h: 1.355 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9147 | rvol_20: 4.09× · zscore_50: 2.559 · trend: 58.09% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4996 | ADX: 16.9 (weak) · Chop: 55.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.455% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -5.856%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.094% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.757% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.867% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.414% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -6.022% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.60 | bear_high | -4.75% | +0.98 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 31% | mid | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.53 | bear_high | -1.28% | +0.24 | 29/07 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
53%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.29 | bear_medium | -1.08% | -0.61 | 29/07 16:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | — | range_medium | -0.75% | -0.33 | 29/07 16:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 15b | — | 3.307×ATR | p40 | -0.059×ATR | p8 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 14b | — | 4.112×ATR | p64 | -0.512×ATR | p46 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 2.323×ATR | p53 | -1.213×ATR | p88 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 6b | — | 3.602×ATR | p67 | -1.268×ATR | p90 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.00191599
- tp_price: 0.00176475
- atr: 4.24E-5
- expires_at: 2026-07-30T03:10:08+00:00
Details
- rank: 48
- total: 50
- score: 0.2701
- delta_2h: -0.1901
- extension_atr: -1.8
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.4138
- confidence: 0.959
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00181 | 0.001916 | 0.001765 | 0.42 | 0.003441 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.00181
- Stop Loss: 0.001916
- Take Profit: 0.001765
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.001916 - 0.00181 = 0.000106
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.00181 - 0.001765 = 4.5E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 4.5E-5 / 0.000106 = 0.4245
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 136.6167 | 100 | 75478.8188 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.000106
Taille de position = 8 / 0.000106 = 75471.7
Taille de position USD = 75471.7 x 0.00181 = 136.6
Donc, tu peux acheter 75471.7 avec un stoploss a 0.001916
Avec un position size USD de 136.6$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 75471.7 x 0.000106 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 75471.7 x 4.5E-5 = 3.4
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.4$
Résumé
- Taille de position 75471.7
- Taille de position USD 136.6
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.4
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4245
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 3.4 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.86 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.59 $ | -1.16 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.326 % | 22.64 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00181 | 0.001916 | 0.001765 | 0.42 | 0.003441 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.00181
- Stop Loss: 0.001916
- Take Profit: 0.001765
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.001916 - 0.00181 = 0.000106
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.00181 - 0.001765 = 4.5E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 4.5E-5 / 0.000106 = 0.4245
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -5.856%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.094% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.757% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.867% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.414% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -6.022% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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