Long Trade on AVAX (BosPullback)
With 80.71 AVAX at 6.402$ per unit. Take profit: 6.5778 (2.74 %) & Stop Loss: 6.303 (1.55 %)
Long Trade on AVAX (BosPullback)
With 80.71 AVAX at 6.402$ per unit. Take profit: 6.5778 (2.74 %) & Stop Loss: 6.303 (1.55 %)
Position
Entry 6.4021$
Qty 80.7103 AVAX
Size 516.7156$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 6.5778 (+2.74%)
TP $ 14.18$
SL 6.303 (-1.55%)
SL $ 8$
RR 1.77
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5123
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.38×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 3.01×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 10.49×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 29/07 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (-1) 29/07 17:00 Score : -6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium |
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4237 | r1h: 0.505% · r4h: -0.911% · r1d: -3.46% · r3d: -4.48% · ema21_slope: -0.0712% · dist_ema21: -0.635% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4668 | rs_1h: 0.445% · rs_4h: 0.208% · rs_1d: -2.82% · rs_3d: -2.50% · beta_24h: 0.971 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2127 | rvol_20: 0.15× · zscore_50: -0.568 · trend: -12.04% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6071 | ADX: 21.1 (weak) · Chop: 46.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.970% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.245% | 0.2R | -0.005% | 0.0R | 52.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.453% | 0.3R | -0.077% | 0.1R | 5.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.817% | 1.2R | -0.220% | 0.1R | 8.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.884% | 1.2R | -0.220% | 0.1R | 8.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.884% | 1.2R | -0.220% | 0.1R | 8.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.884% | 1.2R | -0.220% | 0.1R | 8.6× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mature_trend | bear_trend | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.77 | bear_high | -4.75% | -0.48 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.72 | bear_high_confirmed | -1.56% | -0.34 | 29/07 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.64 | bear_medium | -1.10% | -0.18 | 29/07 17:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | range_medium |
32%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.73% | +0.05 | 29/07 17:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 25b | — | 2.151×ATR | p0 | -0.262×ATR | p30 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.756×ATR | p38 | -0.805×ATR | p74 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.539×ATR | p47 | -0.254×ATR | p26 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.932×ATR | p16 | +0.154×ATR | p20 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
6.3094
147
0.2511
0.6288
0.3537
0.2064
0.4742
1
0.1794
0.4216
0.264
0.6553
0.6716
0.2784
-0.0489
-0.0496
0
-0.2591
-1.0217
0.3
0.7
-1
2
1
0.5872
0.6503
3.592
0.55
1.2807
4.0316
-1.0217
0
0.3601
0.68
0.0709
0.4372
0.5558
0.8195
0.2784
-7.1174
2.7462
1
0
0
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[time] => 2026-07-26 07:00:00
[price] => 6.8286
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[label] => LH
)
Array
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[time] => 2026-07-26 14:00:00
[price] => 6.648
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[time] => 2026-07-26 23:00:00
[price] => 6.7534
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Array
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[price] => 6.6754
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[price] => 6.7445
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Array
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[price] => 6.5965
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[price] => 6.6948
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Array
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[time] => 2026-07-27 15:00:00
[price] => 6.4812
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)
Array
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[time] => 2026-07-27 16:00:00
[price] => 6.629
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Array
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[time] => 2026-07-28 01:00:00
[price] => 6.358
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
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[price] => 6.4996
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Array
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[price] => 6.3987
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[price] => 6.6248
[kind] => high
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Array
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[price] => 6.5217
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[label] => HL
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Array
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[price] => 6.6339
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 04:00:00
[price] => 6.3059
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 06:00:00
[price] => 6.4493
[kind] => high
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Array
(
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[price] => 6.3581
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 18:00:00
[price] => 6.5316
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
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[price] => 6.3094
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
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[price] => 6.6227
[kind] => high
[label] =>
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[price] => 6.5217
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[label] =>
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[price] => 6.6339
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 02:15:00
[price] => 6.4837
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(
[time] => 2026-07-29 02:30:00
[price] => 6.5279
[kind] => high
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[time] => 2026-07-29 08:15:00
[price] => 6.3718
[kind] => low
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(
[time] => 2026-07-29 09:30:00
[price] => 6.4297
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 13:45:00
[price] => 6.3582
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 14:00:00
[price] => 6.4143
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 16:00:00
[price] => 6.3581
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 18:00:00
[price] => 6.5316
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 18:30:00
[price] => 6.4008
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 20:15:00
[price] => 6.3094
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
6.3094
6.5316
6.5316
6.3094
6.2771
6.2271
6.2521
0.8377
6.6339
6.5217
6.5778
0.9292
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:06 | 6.40210000 | 0% |
| 2 | 18:12 | 6.41070000 | +0.134% |
| 3 | 18:18 | 6.41300000 | +0.17% |
| 4 | 18:24 | 6.41590000 | +0.216% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4021 | 6.303 | 6.5778 | 1.77 | 8.5497 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.303 - 6.4021 = -0.0991
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.4021 - 6.5778 = -0.1757
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1757 / -0.0991 = 1.773
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 516.7156 | 100 | 80.7103 | 5.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0991 = -80.73
Taille de position USD = -80.73 x 6.4021 = -516.84
Donc, tu peux acheter -80.73 avec un stoploss a 6.303
Avec un position size USD de -516.84$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -80.73 x -0.0991 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -80.73 x -0.1757 = 14.18
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 14.18$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.74 % | 14.18 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.55 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.55 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5917 % | 102.83 % | 61 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4021 | 6.303 | 6.5778 | 1.77 | 8.5497 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.303 - 6.4021 = -0.0991
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.4021 - 6.5778 = -0.1757
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1757 / -0.0991 = 1.773
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.245% | 0.2R | -0.005% | 0.0R | 52.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.453% | 0.3R | -0.077% | 0.1R | 5.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.817% | 1.2R | -0.220% | 0.1R | 8.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.884% | 1.2R | -0.220% | 0.1R | 8.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.884% | 1.2R | -0.220% | 0.1R | 8.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.884% | 1.2R | -0.220% | 0.1R | 8.6× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
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