Long Trade on ARB (BosPullback)
With 5364.2 ARB at 0.0784$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08212 (4.76 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0769 (1.9 %)
Long Trade on ARB (BosPullback)
With 5364.2 ARB at 0.0784$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08212 (4.76 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0769 (1.9 %)
Position
Entry 0.07839$
Qty 5364.1953 ARB
Size 420.4993$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.08212 (+4.76%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 0.0769 (-1.9%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.5
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5798
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.99×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 7.61×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 24.99×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 29/07 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (-1) 29/07 17:00 Score : -6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium |
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4286 | r1h: 0.451% · r4h: -1.016% · r1d: -1.29% · r3d: -5.48% · ema21_slope: -0.0164% · dist_ema21: -0.257% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4812 | rs_1h: 0.391% · rs_4h: 0.103% · rs_1d: -0.65% · rs_3d: -3.50% · beta_24h: 1.056 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2589 | rvol_20: 0.52× · zscore_50: -0.650 · trend: 23.84% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5203 | ADX: 14.5 (weak) · Chop: 50.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.024% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.033% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.199% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.207% | 1.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +2.207% | 1.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +2.207% | 1.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +2.207% | 1.2R | -0.893% | 0.5R | 2.5× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.72 | bear_high | -4.75% | -0.83 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.71 | bear_high_confirmed | -1.56% | -0.44 | 29/07 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.65 | bear_medium | -1.10% | -0.02 | 29/07 17:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | range_medium |
33%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.73% | +0.02 | 29/07 17:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 17b | — | 4.689×ATR | p65 | -0.779×ATR | p64 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 0.402×ATR | p0 | -0.688×ATR | p69 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.017×ATR | p21 | -0.157×ATR | p16 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 0.619×ATR | p3 | -0.144×ATR | p15 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.07699
148
0.37
0.5651
0.3783
0.2926
0.4483
1
0.089
0.4963
0.3055
0.7848
0.5784
0.2541
-0.0014
-0.0252
0.3333
0.1549
-0.4166
0.35
0.65
-1
1
1
0.4148
0.5089
3.1532
0.6
1.369
3.5339
-0.4166
0
0.2102
0.78
0.1752
0.5962
0.5306
0.1284
0.2541
-6.6489
2.2655
1
0
0
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-26 23:00:00
[price] => 0.08369
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-27 01:00:00
[price] => 0.08169
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[label] => LL
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Array
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[time] => 2026-07-27 06:00:00
[price] => 0.08272
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Array
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[time] => 2026-07-27 09:00:00
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Array
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[price] => 0.08243
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Array
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[price] => 0.08079
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-27 13:00:00
[price] => 0.08227
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)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-27 15:00:00
[price] => 0.07873
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-27 17:00:00
[price] => 0.07994
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)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-27 23:00:00
[price] => 0.07645
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-28 12:00:00
[price] => 0.07874
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-28 13:00:00
[price] => 0.07717
[kind] => low
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)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-28 15:00:00
[price] => 0.07973
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
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[time] => 2026-07-28 20:00:00
[price] => 0.07791
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 00:00:00
[price] => 0.07942
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 04:00:00
[price] => 0.07673
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 08:00:00
[price] => 0.07868
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 15:00:00
[price] => 0.07768
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 18:00:00
[price] => 0.07955
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 21:00:00
[price] => 0.07699
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-28 22:00:00
[price] => 0.07937
[kind] => high
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-28 23:00:00
[price] => 0.07855
[kind] => low
[label] =>
)
Array
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[time] => 2026-07-29 00:45:00
[price] => 0.07942
[kind] => high
[label] =>
)
Array
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[time] => 2026-07-29 04:00:00
[price] => 0.07673
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[label] => LL
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[price] => 0.07868
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 08:30:00
[price] => 0.07795
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
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(
[time] => 2026-07-29 09:30:00
[price] => 0.07858
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
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[time] => 2026-07-29 10:30:00
[price] => 0.07779
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 11:00:00
[price] => 0.0783
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 12:45:00
[price] => 0.07782
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 13:30:00
[price] => 0.0784
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 13:45:00
[price] => 0.0778
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 15:15:00
[price] => 0.07768
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 15:30:00
[price] => 0.0783
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 16:45:00
[price] => 0.07768
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 18:00:00
[price] => 0.07955
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 18:30:00
[price] => 0.07803
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 20:15:00
[price] => 0.07723
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-29 20:30:00
[price] => 0.07805
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
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0.07699
0.07955
0.07955
0.07699
0.07868
0.07755
0.078115
0.7509
0.07994
0.07873
0.079335
0.8551
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:06 | 0.07839000 | 0% |
| 2 | 18:12 | 0.07853000 | +0.179% |
| 3 | 18:25 | 0.07858000 | +0.242% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07839 | 0.0769 | 0.08212 | 2.5 | 0.1516 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0769 - 0.07839 = -0.00149
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07839 - 0.08212 = -0.00373
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00373 / -0.00149 = 2.5034
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 420.4993 | 100 | 5364.1953 | 4.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00149 = -5369.13
Taille de position USD = -5369.13 x 0.07839 = -420.89
Donc, tu peux acheter -5369.13 avec un stoploss a 0.0769
Avec un position size USD de -420.89$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -5369.13 x -0.00149 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -5369.13 x -0.00373 = 20.03
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.03$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.76 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.9 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -1.90 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.1942 % | 115.44 % | 19 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07839 | 0.0769 | 0.08212 | 2.5 | 0.1516 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0769 - 0.07839 = -0.00149
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07839 - 0.08212 = -0.00373
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00373 / -0.00149 = 2.5034
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.033% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.199% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.207% | 1.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +2.207% | 1.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +2.207% | 1.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +2.207% | 1.2R | -0.893% | 0.5R | 2.5× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
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