Long Trade on KAITO (CatchTheWave)
With 605.95 KAITO at 1.274$ per unit. Take profit: 1.2999 (2.07 %) & Stop Loss: 1.2603 (1.04 %)
Long Trade on KAITO (CatchTheWave)
With 605.95 KAITO at 1.274$ per unit. Take profit: 1.2999 (2.07 %) & Stop Loss: 1.2603 (1.04 %)
Position
Entry 1.2735$
Qty 605.9472 KAITO
Size 771.6738$ (margin 100$) (leverage 8)
Risk Setup
TP 1.2999 (+2.07%)
TP $ 16$
SL 1.2603 (-1.04%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9744
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | 0.02×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 29/07 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 29/07 18:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.182133 15m : 0.070937 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6326 | r1h: -1.003% · r4h: -4.307% · r1d: 9.58% · r3d: 9.71% · ema21_slope: 0.4050% · dist_ema21: 1.324% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6118 | rs_1h: -1.063% · rs_4h: -3.188% · rs_1d: 10.22% · rs_3d: 11.70% · beta_24h: -0.220 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2311 | rvol_20: 0.51× · zscore_50: -0.434 · trend: -6.11% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6869 | ADX: 29.5 (trend) · Chop: 45.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.779% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.730% | 0.7R | -0.856% | 0.8R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.351% | 1.3R | -2.591% | 2.5R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.351% | 1.3R | -4.876% | 4.7R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.351% | 1.3R | -7.334% | 7.1R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.351% | 1.3R | -12.862% | 12.4R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.44 | bear_high | -4.75% | +1.00 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
66%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.08 | range_high | -0.48% | +0.79 | 29/07 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | near 0.1ATR | — | -0.06 | range_medium | -0.40% | +0.01 | 29/07 18:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | compression | range_high |
35%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.02 | range_low | -0.14% | -0.46 | 29/07 18:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 18b | — | 5.819×ATR | p79 | +1.484×ATR | p96 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 2.896×ATR | p24 | +0.34×ATR | p37 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.831×ATR | p54 | -0.733×ATR | p65 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 23b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -0.967×ATR | p73 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63874.9
0.000689862
63919
0.182133
64024.4
-0.0020214
63895
0.070937
64187.8
-0.00312882
63987
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1.3731
194
0.6074
0.5565
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0.1917
0.3417
1
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-0.1363
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0.5
1
5
1
0.6165
0.4034
5.5597
0.5
1.9356
4.7383
1.0098
0.5698
0.2997
0.34
-0.0095
0.4213
0.4621
0.8203
0.7797
-2.8408
10.0567
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:53 | 1.27350000 | 0% |
| 2 | 18:58 | 1.27080000 | -0.212% |
| 3 | 19:05 | 1.26770000 | -0.455% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 16:50:00 | 1.3649 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 17:05:00 | 1.3174 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 17:30:00 | 1.3731 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 1.3704 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 18:10:00 | 1.3364 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 18:45:00 | 1.3251 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 19:40:00 | 1.3593 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 21:00:00 | 1.2985 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 21:25:00 | 1.3162 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 22:45:00 | 1.2713 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 04:00:00 | 1.2312 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 06:00:00 | 1.1987 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 08:45:00 | 1.2484 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 10:00:00 | 1.2263 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 10:30:00 | 1.2777 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 11:30:00 | 1.2352 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 12:30:00 | 1.2765 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 13:15:00 | 1.2415 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 17:30:00 | 1.3731 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 22:45:00 | 1.2713 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 04:00:00 | 0.99152 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-26 13:00:00 | 1.227 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-27 06:00:00 | 1.2523 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-27 10:00:00 | 1.1246 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-27 22:00:00 | 1.3581 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 18:00:00 | 1.0861 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 03:00:00 | 1.2888 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 06:00:00 | 1.1987 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 17:00:00 | 1.3731 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 22:00:00 | 1.273 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2735 | 1.2603 | 1.2999 | 2 | 0.2075 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.2603 - 1.2735 = -0.0132
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.2735 - 1.2999 = -0.0264
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0264 / -0.0132 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 771.6738 | 100 | 605.9472 | 8.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0132 = -606.06
Taille de position USD = -606.06 x 1.2735 = -771.82
Donc, tu peux acheter -606.06 avec un stoploss a 1.2603
Avec un position size USD de -771.82$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -606.06 x -0.0132 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -606.06 x -0.0264 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.07 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.04 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.04 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.6804 % | 162.12 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2735 | 1.2603 | 1.2999 | 2 | 0.2075 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.2603 - 1.2735 = -0.0132
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.2735 - 1.2999 = -0.0264
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0264 / -0.0132 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.730% | 0.7R | -0.856% | 0.8R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.351% | 1.3R | -2.591% | 2.5R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.351% | 1.3R | -4.876% | 4.7R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.351% | 1.3R | -7.334% | 7.1R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.351% | 1.3R | -12.862% | 12.4R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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