Short Trade on XLM (BosPullback)
With 2925.04 XLM at 0.172$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1651 (3.96 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1747 (1.63 %)
Short Trade on XLM (BosPullback)
With 2925.04 XLM at 0.172$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1651 (3.96 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1747 (1.63 %)
Position
Entry 0.1719$
Qty 2925.035 XLM
Size 502.9013$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1651 (+3.96%)
TP $ 19.89$
SL 0.1747 (-1.63%)
SL $ 8.19$
RR 2.43
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5366
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.35×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.89×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/07 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/07 18:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4316 | r1h: 0.680% · r4h: -1.419% · r1d: -2.22% · r3d: -5.36% · ema21_slope: -0.0504% · dist_ema21: -1.161% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4717 | rs_1h: 0.620% · rs_4h: -0.300% · rs_1d: -1.57% · rs_3d: -3.38% · beta_24h: 0.990 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3577 | rvol_20: 0.30× · zscore_50: -0.584 · trend: 97.51% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6030 | ADX: 16.2 (weak) · Chop: 42.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.957% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.262% | 0.2R | -0.116% | 0.1R | 2.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.454% | 0.3R | -0.192% | 0.1R | 2.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.669% | 0.4R | -0.559% | 0.3R | 1.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.669% | 0.4R | -0.559% | 0.3R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.669% | 0.4R | -0.588% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.669% | 0.4R | -1.129% | 0.7R | 0.6× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near -1.9ATR | — | 0.61 | bear_high | -4.75% | -0.72 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
49%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.56 | range_high | -0.48% | -0.35 | 29/07 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.68 | range_medium | -0.41% | -0.13 | 29/07 18:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | range_medium |
44%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.73 | range_low | -0.08% | -0.03 | 29/07 18:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 25b | — | 4.796×ATR | p67 | -0.715×ATR | p69 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.382×ATR | p0 | -0.225×ATR | p19 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 2.113×ATR | p31 | +0.162×ATR | p14 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 4.257×ATR | p74 | +0.828×ATR | p61 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.16848
147
0.2822
0.6968
0.3503
0.309
0.3842
1
0.2525
0.4121
0.3335
0.8299
0.7023
0.2096
-0.0962
-0.0614
0
-0.3564
-1.007
0.45
0.55
-1
2
0.8947
0.4873
0.7882
3.741
0.55
1.7428
4.0485
-1.007
0.2518
0.2548
0.9
0.1349
0.5546
0.4842
0.4953
0.2096
-6.6921
1.7751
1
0
0
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[label] => LL
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[time] => 2026-07-29 13:30:00
[price] => 0.1745
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[label] => LH
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0.16848
0.17451
0.17451
0.16848
0.17588
0.17356
0.17472
0.8966
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1719 | 0.1747 | 0.1651 | 2.43 | 0.15 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1747 - 0.1719 = 0.0028
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1719 - 0.1651 = 0.0068
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0068 / 0.0028 = 2.4286
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 502.9013 | 100 | 2925.035 | 5.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0028 = 2857.14
Taille de position USD = 2857.14 x 0.1719 = 491.14
Donc, tu peux acheter 2857.14 avec un stoploss a 0.1747
Avec un position size USD de 491.14$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2857.14 x 0.0028 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2857.14 x 0.0068 = 19.43
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.43$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.96 % | 19.89 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.63 % | 8.19 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.19 $ | -1.63 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.6638 % | 102.14 % | 59 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1719 | 0.1747 | 0.1651 | 2.43 | 0.15 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1747 - 0.1719 = 0.0028
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1719 - 0.1651 = 0.0068
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0068 / 0.0028 = 2.4286
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.262% | 0.2R | -0.116% | 0.1R | 2.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.454% | 0.3R | -0.192% | 0.1R | 2.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.669% | 0.4R | -0.559% | 0.3R | 1.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.669% | 0.4R | -0.559% | 0.3R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.669% | 0.4R | -0.588% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.669% | 0.4R | -1.129% | 0.7R | 0.6× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
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