Short Trade on AAVE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2.43 AAVE at 94.77$ per unit. Take profit: 92.4008 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 98.0651 (3.48 %)
29 Jul 2026 at 21:10:05
hyperliquid
AAVE
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
29 Jul 2026 21:10
→ 21:15
· 4 minutes
Position
Entry 94.77$
Qty 2.4279 AAVE
Size 230.09$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 92.4008 (+2.5%)
TP $ 5.75$
SL 98.0651 (-3.48%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.72
Status
win
PnL
+0.22%
/ +0.51$
MAE -2.24%
MFE +0.37%
0.1R
expires
29 Jul 21:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=20 <= threshold=42/52
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 52889)
#20 / 52
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/07/2026 21:00
score du 29/07/2026 21:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4320
Quality Score
0.489
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#20 / 52
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.48 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#20 / 52
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.48 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.57×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.24×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.08×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
21.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/07 21:00
29/07 21:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 29/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 29/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 29/07 20:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1153
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.80
Snapshot évalué :
29/07 21:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
29/07/2026 21:00
Score brut
0.4888
Score SMA
0.5244
Rank
#20
/ 52
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4320
Rank Norm SMA
0.6903
Calculé le
29/07/2026 21:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3296 | r1h: -1.852% · r4h: -1.211% · r1d: -6.91% · r3d: -6.55% · ema21_slope: -0.1105% · dist_ema21: -3.345% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2920 | rs_1h: -1.413% · rs_4h: -1.501% · rs_1d: -6.52% · rs_3d: -4.37% · beta_24h: 1.309 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6000 | rvol_20: 1.75× · zscore_50: 1.413 · trend: 29.45% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6461 | ADX: 18.1 (weak) · Chop: 38.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.453% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -3.477%
(3.2951)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.367% | 0.1R | -2.004% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.367% | 0.1R | -2.242% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.367% | 0.1R | -2.242% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.367% | 0.1R | -3.531% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.367% | 0.1R | -5.023% | 1.4R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.21
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near 0.1ATR | near -0.3ATR | 0.72 | bear_high | -5.16% | +0.02 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.56 | range_high | -0.43% | +0.04 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.54 | bear_medium | -0.85% | -0.38 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bear_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | — | 0.59 | range_low | -0.45% | -0.30 | 29/07 20:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 12b | — | 1.631×ATR | p0 | -0.131×ATR | p14 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 2.864×ATR | p45 | -0.745×ATR | p68 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 1.84×ATR | p10 | -1.518×ATR | p90 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 3.902×ATR | p65 | -2.056×ATR | p95 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 98.06505787
- tp_price: 92.40075
- atr: 1.31802315
- expires_at: 2026-07-30T07:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 50
- total: 53
- score: 0.3296
- delta_2h: -0.1002
- extension_atr: -1.83
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.432
- confidence: 0.942
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94.77 | 98.0651 | 92.4008 | 0.72 | 124.26 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 94.77
- Stop Loss: 98.0651
- Take Profit: 92.4008
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 98.0651 - 94.77 = 3.2951
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 94.77 - 92.4008 = 2.3692
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.3692 / 3.2951 = 0.719
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 230.09 | 100 | 2.4279 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 3.2951
Taille de position = 8 / 3.2951 = 2.43
Taille de position USD = 2.43 x 94.77 = 230.29
Donc, tu peux acheter 2.43 avec un stoploss a 98.0651
Avec un position size USD de 230.29$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2.43 x 3.2951 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2.43 x 2.3692 = 5.76
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.76$
Résumé
- Taille de position 2.43
- Taille de position USD 230.29
- Perte potentielle 8.01
- Gain potentiel 5.76
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.719
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 5.75 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.48 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.51 $ | 0.22 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94.77 | 98.0651 | 92.4008 | 0.72 | 124.26 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 94.77
- Stop Loss: 98.0651
- Take Profit: 92.4008
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 98.0651 - 94.77 = 3.2951
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 94.77 - 92.4008 = 2.3692
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.3692 / 3.2951 = 0.719
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -3.477%
(3.2951)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.367% | 0.1R | -2.004% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.367% | 0.1R | -2.242% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.367% | 0.1R | -2.242% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.367% | 0.1R | -3.531% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.367% | 0.1R | -5.023% | 1.4R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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