Long Trade on ETHFI (BosPullback)
With 1073.88 ETHFI at 0.4$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4192 (4.7 %) & Stop Loss: 0.393 (1.85 %)
Long Trade on ETHFI (BosPullback)
With 1073.88 ETHFI at 0.4$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4192 (4.7 %) & Stop Loss: 0.393 (1.85 %)
Position
Entry 0.4004$
Qty 1073.8817 ETHFI
Size 430.0252$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.4192 (+4.7%)
TP $ 20.19$
SL 0.393 (-1.85%)
SL $ 7.95$
RR 2.54
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2083
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 3.05×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 5.11×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.06×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 29/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 29/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (-1) 29/07 21:00 Score : -6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3251 | r1h: -1.602% · r4h: -0.015% · r1d: -6.71% · r3d: -7.26% · ema21_slope: -0.1035% · dist_ema21: -1.687% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3240 | rs_1h: -1.163% · rs_4h: -0.305% · rs_1d: -6.31% · rs_3d: -5.08% · beta_24h: 1.836 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2950 | rvol_20: 1.01× · zscore_50: -0.093 · trend: -35.58% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4729 | ADX: 14.3 (weak) · Chop: 56.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.391% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.241% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.241% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.275% | 1.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +2.453% | 1.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +2.453% | 1.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +2.453% | 1.3R | -1.171% | 0.6R | 2.1× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | — | — | 0.65 | bear_high | -5.16% | -0.13 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.48 | bear_high | -0.74% | -0.37 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | explosive | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.43 | bear_medium | -0.82% | -0.04 | 29/07 21:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | range_medium |
41%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.48 | range_low | -0.17% | +0.01 | 29/07 21:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 2.782×ATR | p0 | -0.62×ATR | p68 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 17b | — | 3.681×ATR | p47 | -0.458×ATR | p51 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 0.625×ATR | p0 | -0.348×ATR | p36 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 2.36×ATR | p13 | +0.664×ATR | p49 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.39345
145
0.294
0.6239
0.3536
0.3632
0.3458
1
0.182
0.438
0.3491
0.2599
0.7432
0.1838
-0.0585
-0.0633
0
-0.0245
-0.9905
0.5
0.5
-1
4
0.9474
0.3262
0.6485
3.0531
0.6
1.1444
3.1088
-0.9905
0.129
0.1749
0.4
-0.2702
0.6251
0.5326
0.8869
0.1838
-7.0481
1.587
1
0
0
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0.39345
0.4112
0.4112
0.39345
0.42508
0.4134
0.41924
0.7308
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:37 | 0.40044000 | +0.01% |
| 2 | 21:43 | 0.40044000 | +0.01% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4004 | 0.393 | 0.4192 | 2.54 | 0.6369 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.393 - 0.4004 = -0.0074
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4004 - 0.4192 = -0.0188
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0188 / -0.0074 = 2.5405
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 430.0252 | 100 | 1073.8817 | 4.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0074 = -1081.08
Taille de position USD = -1081.08 x 0.4004 = -432.86
Donc, tu peux acheter -1081.08 avec un stoploss a 0.393
Avec un position size USD de -432.86$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1081.08 x -0.0074 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1081.08 x -0.0188 = 20.32
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.32$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.7 % | 20.19 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.85 % | 7.95 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.95 $ | -1.85 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.0405 % | 110.4 % | 64 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4004 | 0.393 | 0.4192 | 2.54 | 0.6369 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.393 - 0.4004 = -0.0074
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4004 - 0.4192 = -0.0188
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0188 / -0.0074 = 2.5405
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.241% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.241% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.275% | 1.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +2.453% | 1.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +2.453% | 1.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +2.453% | 1.3R | -1.171% | 0.6R | 2.1× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
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