29 Jul 2026 at 22:09:51 hyperliquid

Long Trade on BNB (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 1.11 BNB at 576.74$ per unit. Take profit: 594.8149 (3.13 %) & Stop Loss: 569.5101 (1.25 %)

BNB LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 29 Jul 2026 22:09 → 10:05 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 576.74$

Qty 1.1065 BNB

Size 638.1685$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)

Risk Setup

TP 594.8149 (+3.13%)

TP $ 20$

SL 569.5101 (-1.25%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status win PnL +1.79% / +11.4$ MAE -0.94% MFE +2.54% 2.0R expires 30 Jul 10:09 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 52929)
#24 / 52
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/07/2026 22:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5643

Quality Score
0.509
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#24 / 52
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.25 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#24 / 52
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.25 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.58×ATR
4h near -0.32×ATR
1d clear 1.10×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
3.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/07 22:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

29/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : range_high (0)

29/07 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1)

29/07 21:00

Score : -2 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #1154
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_bound
Strategic range

—

compression

0

Operational range

—

range

0

Tactical range

—

range

0

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.80
Snapshot évalué : 29/07 22:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 29/07/2026 22:00
Score brut
0.5086
Score SMA
0.5053
Rank
#24 / 52
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5643
Rank Norm SMA
0.5867
Calculé le
29/07/2026 22:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5437 r1h: 0.555% · r4h: 1.054% · r1d: 0.79% · r3d: 0.21% · ema21_slope: 0.0044% · dist_ema21: 0.747%
Force Relative 25% 0.5352 rs_1h: -0.004% · rs_4h: 0.765% · rs_1d: 0.24% · rs_3d: 1.98% · beta_24h: 0.497
Volume 20% 0.1763 rvol_20: 0.42× · zscore_50: -0.601 · trend: -37.72%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5095 ADX: 12.1 (weak) · Chop: 49.5 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 0.474% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.254% (7.2299)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -0.583% 0.5R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -0.758% 0.6R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -0.936% 0.8R 0.0× 48
8h +0.907% 0.7R -0.936% 0.8R 1.0× 96
12h ★ +2.537% 2.0R -0.936% 0.8R 2.7× 144
24h +3.343% 2.7R -0.936% 0.8R 3.6× 288

computed 3 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.2
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 37% early near 0.1ATR — 0.79 bear_high -5.16% -0.02 29/07 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced volatile_reversal range_high
33%
noisy_chop 33% early — near -0.3ATR 0.86 bear_high -0.74% +0.12 29/07 20:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced expansion bull_medium
59%
noisy_chop 37% late — — 0.81 range_medium -0.29% +0.09 29/07 21:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading compression range_low
42%
noisy_chop 48% late — — — range_low +0.11% +0.02 29/07 21:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 25b — 1.675×ATR p0 +0.235×ATR p28
4h ↓ down early 9b — 0.512×ATR p0 +0.442×ATR p47
1h ↑ up late 4b — 3.477×ATR p75 +1.243×ATR p92
15m ↑ up late 3b — 2.273×ATR p38 +1.535×ATR p93

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.9286
  3. reason: up_bo width=2.52×ATR dur=34b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)
  4. stop_price: 569.51005994
  5. tp_price: 594.81485015
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.85860834876014
  8. expires_at: 2026-07-30T14:09:43.986217
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.85860834876014
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.2632
  14. obi_top10 : 0.2632
  15. micro_price : 576.42291262
  16. spread_pct : 0.001735
  17. mid_price : 576.425
  18. bid_wall_price :
  19. bid_wall_size :
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price :
  22. ask_wall_size :
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.2174
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0626
  27. pressure_side : bid
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7048
  30. aggregation_tick : 1
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    573.21
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    566.355
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    569.7825
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1785258000
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1785376800
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.5161
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    34
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.8586
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1785373200
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    573.21
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.9412
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    1
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    1.2957
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    5
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    4
  59. regime : bull_high
  60. atr_entry : 2.7244006
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
34
inside_close_ratio
0.9412
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.2957

Signaux confirmants (21)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 22:09 576.74000000 0%
2 22:15 575.93000000 -0.14%
3 22:21 575.93000000 -0.14%
4 22:27 575.93000000 -0.14%
5 22:33 575.93000000 -0.14%
6 22:38 575.52000000 -0.212%
7 22:43 575.52000000 -0.212%
8 22:49 575.36000000 -0.239%
9 22:55 575.36000000 -0.239%
10 23:00 575.36000000 -0.239%
11 23:07 573.94000000 -0.485%
12 03:12 574.88000000 -0.323%
13 03:18 575.07000000 -0.29%
14 03:24 575.07000000 -0.29%
15 03:31 575.07000000 -0.29%
16 03:36 574.35000000 -0.414%
17 03:42 574.35000000 -0.414%
18 03:48 574.88000000 -0.323%
19 03:54 574.88000000 -0.323%
20 04:01 574.88000000 -0.323%
21 04:06 574.88000000 -0.323%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

↑ bid ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7048ms Confidence avant OB : 86% → 93%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.263
avg 0.217 ± 0.063
OBI Top 10 0.263

Microstructure

Mid Price
576.4250
Micro Price
576.4229
Spread
0.0017%

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
576.74 569.5101 594.8149 2.5 675.07
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 576.74
  • Stop Loss: 569.5101
  • Take Profit: 594.8149

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 569.5101 - 576.74 = -7.2299

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 576.74 - 594.8149 = -18.0749

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -18.0749 / -7.2299 = 2.5

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
638.1685 100 1.1065 6.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -7.2299

Taille de position = 8 / -7.2299 = -1.11

Taille de position USD = -1.11 x 576.74 = -640.18

Donc, tu peux acheter -1.11 avec un stoploss a 569.5101

Avec un position size USD de -640.18$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -1.11 x -7.2299 = 8.03

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.03$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -1.11 x -18.0749 = 20.06

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.06$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -1.11
  • Taille de position USD -640.18
  • Perte potentielle 8.03
  • Gain potentiel 20.06
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3.13 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.25 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
11.4 $ 1.79
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.9363 % 74.69 % 1
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
576.74 569.5101 594.8149 2.5 675.07
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 576.74
  • Stop Loss: 569.5101
  • Take Profit: 594.8149

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 569.5101 - 576.74 = -7.2299

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 576.74 - 594.8149 = -18.0749

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -18.0749 / -7.2299 = 2.5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.254% (7.2299)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -0.583% 0.5R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -0.758% 0.6R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -0.936% 0.8R 0.0× 48
8h +0.907% 0.7R -0.936% 0.8R 1.0× 96
12h ★ +2.537% 2.0R -0.936% 0.8R 2.7× 144
24h +3.343% 2.7R -0.936% 0.8R 3.6× 288

computed 3 months ago

Commentaires

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