Long Trade on KAITO (CatchTheWave)
With 535.05 KAITO at 1.214$ per unit. Take profit: 1.2441 (2.46 %) & Stop Loss: 1.1992 (1.24 %)
Long Trade on KAITO (CatchTheWave)
With 535.05 KAITO at 1.214$ per unit. Take profit: 1.2441 (2.46 %) & Stop Loss: 1.1992 (1.24 %)
Position
Entry 1.2142$
Qty 535.0473 KAITO
Size 649.6544$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 1.2441 (+2.46%)
TP $ 16$
SL 1.1992 (-1.24%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 1.99
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9576
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 0.58×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 29/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 29/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 29/07 21:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.199529 15m : 0.051665 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bear_high |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6199 | r1h: -0.646% · r4h: -4.678% · r1d: 1.15% · r3d: 6.23% · ema21_slope: 0.2987% · dist_ema21: -2.058% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4772 | rs_1h: -0.207% · rs_4h: -4.968% · rs_1d: 1.54% · rs_3d: 8.41% · beta_24h: -0.349 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2569 | rvol_20: 0.55× · zscore_50: -0.348 · trend: 3.82% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6290 | ADX: 25.1 (trend) · Chop: 48.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.901% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.931% | 0.8R | -0.231% | 0.2R | 4.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.931% | 0.8R | -2.808% | 2.3R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.931% | 0.8R | -2.808% | 2.3R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.931% | 0.8R | -5.526% | 4.5R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.931% | 0.8R | -18.760% | 15.2R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.44 | bear_high | -5.16% | +1.00 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.08 | bear_high | -0.74% | +0.59 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near -1.0ATR | — | -0.06 | range_medium | -0.29% | -0.15 | 29/07 21:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | normal | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.11% | -0.66 | 29/07 21:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 19b | — | 5.581×ATR | p74 | +1.004×ATR | p80 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 2.162×ATR | p8 | -0.15×ATR | p19 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 3.813×ATR | p74 | -1.05×ATR | p81 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 34b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -1.297×ATR | p87 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63899.3
0.00620764
64296
0.199529
63998.5
0.00464771
64296
0.051665
64172.4
-0.00218933
64032
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1.3731
191
0.5018
0.574
0.2637
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0.3292
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0.3144
0.4814
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0.672
0.5187
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0.6326
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5.5597
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1.9356
4.7383
-0.1574
0.5698
0.2907
0.68
0.096
0.4146
0.4378
0.6353
0.69
-3.6967
8.2267
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 1.3704 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 18:10:00 | 1.3364 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 18:45:00 | 1.3251 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 19:40:00 | 1.3593 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 21:00:00 | 1.2985 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 21:25:00 | 1.3162 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 23:10:00 | 1.2643 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 23:30:00 | 1.2828 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 00:10:00 | 1.2907 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 02:00:00 | 1.2127 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 06:00:00 | 1.1987 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 08:45:00 | 1.2484 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 10:00:00 | 1.2263 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 10:30:00 | 1.2777 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 11:30:00 | 1.2352 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 12:30:00 | 1.2765 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 13:15:00 | 1.2415 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 17:30:00 | 1.3731 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 00:00:00 | 1.2907 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 02:00:00 | 1.2127 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 04:00:00 | 0.99152 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-26 13:00:00 | 1.227 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-27 06:00:00 | 1.2523 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-27 10:00:00 | 1.1246 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-27 22:00:00 | 1.3581 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 18:00:00 | 1.0861 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 03:00:00 | 1.2888 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 06:00:00 | 1.1987 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 17:00:00 | 1.3731 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 01:00:00 | 1.2201 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2142 | 1.1992 | 1.2441 | 1.99 | 0.2032 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1992 - 1.2142 = -0.015
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.2142 - 1.2441 = -0.0299
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0299 / -0.015 = 1.9933
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 649.6544 | 100 | 535.0473 | 6.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.015 = -533.33
Taille de position USD = -533.33 x 1.2142 = -647.57
Donc, tu peux acheter -533.33 avec un stoploss a 1.1992
Avec un position size USD de -647.57$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -533.33 x -0.015 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -533.33 x -0.0299 = 15.95
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.95$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.46 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.24 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.03 $ | -1.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.7295 % | 140 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2142 | 1.1992 | 1.2441 | 1.99 | 0.2032 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1992 - 1.2142 = -0.015
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.2142 - 1.2441 = -0.0299
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0299 / -0.015 = 1.9933
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.931% | 0.8R | -0.231% | 0.2R | 4.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.931% | 0.8R | -2.808% | 2.3R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.931% | 0.8R | -2.808% | 2.3R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.931% | 0.8R | -5.526% | 4.5R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.931% | 0.8R | -18.760% | 15.2R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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