Short Trade on AIXBT (CatchTheWave)
With 178611.3 AIXBT at 0.0169$ per unit. Take profit: 0.01685 (0.53 %) & Stop Loss: 0.01698 (0.24 %)
Short Trade on AIXBT (CatchTheWave)
With 178611.3 AIXBT at 0.0169$ per unit. Take profit: 0.01685 (0.53 %) & Stop Loss: 0.01698 (0.24 %)
Position
Entry 0.01694$
Qty 178611.2972 AIXBT
Size 3025.6754$ (margin 100$) (leverage 30)
Risk Setup
TP 0.01685 (+0.53%)
TP $ 16.08$
SL 0.01698 (-0.24%)
SL $ 7.14$
RR 2.25
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2688
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 29/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/07 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.186671 15m : 0.578433 |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4753 | r1h: 0.237% · r4h: 1.751% · r1d: -0.72% · r3d: -8.70% · ema21_slope: -0.0637% · dist_ema21: 0.947% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4544 | rs_1h: 0.169% · rs_4h: 1.174% · rs_1d: -1.25% · rs_3d: -7.38% · beta_24h: 1.400 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1882 | rvol_20: 0.20× · zscore_50: -0.177 · trend: -90.40% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6013 | ADX: 25.2 (trend) · Chop: 51.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.238% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.413% | 1.8R | -0.142% | 0.6R | 2.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.844% | 3.6R | -0.142% | 0.6R | 6.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.844% | 3.6R | -0.809% | 3.4R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.962% | 4.1R | -0.809% | 3.4R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.962% | 4.1R | -0.832% | 3.5R | 1.2× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.57 | bear_high | -5.16% | -0.95 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.65 | range_high | +0.00% | -0.62 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.61 | range_medium | +0.09% | +0.08 | 29/07 22:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 49% | mid | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.58 | range_low | +0.49% | +0.11 | 29/07 22:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 45b | — | 7.543×ATR | p83 | -0.825×ATR | p78 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 13b | — | 2.843×ATR | p27 | +0.084×ATR | p7 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 2.99×ATR | p54 | +0.857×ATR | p70 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 25b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | +1.293×ATR | p81 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64051.9
0.00256103
64216
0.186671
64033.4
0.0028502
64216
0.578433
64190.3
0.000104008
64197
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-28 01:00:00
[1] => 0.016476
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-28 13:00:00
[1] => 0.016595
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-28 15:00:00
[1] => 0.017195
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-28 22:00:00
[1] => 0.016619
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 02:00:00
[1] => 0.017227
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 04:00:00
[1] => 0.016428
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 09:00:00
[1] => 0.01716
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 18:00:00
[1] => 0.017041
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 21:00:00
[1] => 0.016283
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 03:00:00
[1] => 0.016947
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.0778726278941
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.0778726278941
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 06:30:00
[1] => 0.016888
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 09:15:00
[1] => 0.01716
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 13:15:00
[1] => 0.016663
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 13:30:00
[1] => 0.01689
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 16:00:00
[1] => 0.016506
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 18:00:00
[1] => 0.017041
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 21:00:00
[1] => 0.016283
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 22:00:00
[1] => 0.016706
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 00:30:00
[1] => 0.016569
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 03:00:00
[1] => 0.016964
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.14147606696534
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.2391212505281
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.3839700645784
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 19:00:00
[1] => 0.01704
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 20:25:00
[1] => 0.016318
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 21:05:00
[1] => 0.016283
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 22:10:00
[1] => 0.016706
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 23:10:00
[1] => 0.01656
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 23:20:00
[1] => 0.016664
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 00:15:00
[1] => 0.016706
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 00:40:00
[1] => 0.016569
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 00:55:00
[1] => 0.016569
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 03:05:00
[1] => 0.016964
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.14147606696534
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.2391212505281
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 27
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.3839700645784
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
0.016283
193
0.3942
0.5884
0.3242
0.2712
0.3675
1
0.2309
0.4634
0.3455
0.1478
0.6193
0.3564
0.0265
-0.0445
0.3333
1.0016
-0.1425
0.45
0.55
-1
6
1
0.4576
0.5353
3.4391
0.6
1.4168
3.7125
-0.1425
0.4205
0.2011
0.08
-0.1503
0.5296
0.4509
0.6569
0.3564
-10.9564
6.0674
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 19:00:00 | 0.01704 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 20:25:00 | 0.016318 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 21:05:00 | 0.016283 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 22:10:00 | 0.016706 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 23:10:00 | 0.01656 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 23:20:00 | 0.016664 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 00:15:00 | 0.016706 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 00:40:00 | 0.016569 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 00:55:00 | 0.016569 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 03:05:00 | 0.016964 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 06:30:00 | 0.016888 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 09:15:00 | 0.01716 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 13:15:00 | 0.016663 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 13:30:00 | 0.01689 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 16:00:00 | 0.016506 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 0.017041 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 21:00:00 | 0.016283 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 22:00:00 | 0.016706 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 00:30:00 | 0.016569 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 03:00:00 | 0.016964 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 01:00:00 | 0.016476 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 13:00:00 | 0.016595 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 15:00:00 | 0.017195 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 22:00:00 | 0.016619 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 02:00:00 | 0.017227 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 04:00:00 | 0.016428 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 09:00:00 | 0.01716 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 0.017041 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 21:00:00 | 0.016283 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 03:00:00 | 0.016947 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01694 | 0.01698 | 0.01685 | 2.25 | 0.01469 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.01698 - 0.01694 = 3.9999999999998E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01694 - 0.01685 = 9.0E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 9.0E-5 / 3.9999999999998E-5 = 2.25
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3025.6754 | 100 | 178611.2972 | 30.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 3.9999999999998E-5 = 200000
Taille de position USD = 200000 x 0.01694 = 3388
Donc, tu peux acheter 200000 avec un stoploss a 0.01698
Avec un position size USD de 3388$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 200000 x 3.9999999999998E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 200000 x 9.0E-5 = 18
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 18$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.53 % | 16.08 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.24 % | 7.14 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.08 $ | 0.53 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1417 % | 60.02 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01694 | 0.01698 | 0.01685 | 2.25 | 0.01469 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.01698 - 0.01694 = 3.9999999999998E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01694 - 0.01685 = 9.0E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 9.0E-5 / 3.9999999999998E-5 = 2.25
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01686
[stop_loss] => 0.01698
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-07-30 04:15:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01684
[stop_loss] => 0.01698
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-07-30 04:15:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01682
[stop_loss] => 0.01698
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-07-30 04:15:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.0168
[stop_loss] => 0.01698
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-07-30 04:20:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01678
[stop_loss] => 0.01698
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-07-30 05:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01676
[stop_loss] => 0.01698
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-07-30 05:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01674
[stop_loss] => 0.01698
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-07-30 05:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01672
[stop_loss] => 0.01698
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-07-30 05:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.0167
[stop_loss] => 0.01698
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-07-30 05:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01668
[stop_loss] => 0.01698
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-07-30 05:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01666
[stop_loss] => 0.01698
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-07-30 05:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.413% | 1.8R | -0.142% | 0.6R | 2.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.844% | 3.6R | -0.142% | 0.6R | 6.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.844% | 3.6R | -0.809% | 3.4R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.962% | 4.1R | -0.809% | 3.4R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.962% | 4.1R | -0.832% | 3.5R | 1.2× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Aucun commentaire.