Short Trade on HYPE (BosPullback)
With 9.56 HYPE at 53.511$ per unit. Take profit: 51.4185 (3.91 %) & Stop Loss: 54.348 (1.56 %)
Short Trade on HYPE (BosPullback)
With 9.56 HYPE at 53.511$ per unit. Take profit: 51.4185 (3.91 %) & Stop Loss: 54.348 (1.56 %)
Position
Entry 53.511$
Qty 9.5578 HYPE
Size 511.4459$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 51.4185 (+3.91%)
TP $ 20$
SL 54.348 (-1.56%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2635
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -3.15×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 29/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 30/07 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/07 00:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3670 | r1h: -0.644% · r4h: -0.473% · r1d: -1.23% · r3d: -10.82% · ema21_slope: -0.1124% · dist_ema21: -1.067% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3644 | rs_1h: -0.510% · rs_4h: -1.063% · rs_1d: -1.40% · rs_3d: -8.97% · beta_24h: 1.416 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2162 | rvol_20: 0.68× · zscore_50: -0.379 · trend: -40.54% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5586 | ADX: 18.4 (weak) · Chop: 49.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.137% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.564% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.705% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.985% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.187% | 0.8R | -1.125% | 0.7R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.402% | 0.9R | -2.652% | 1.7R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
47%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | near -3.1ATR | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -5.16% | -0.97 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.64 | range_high | -0.31% | -0.67 | 30/07 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.53 | range_medium | -0.26% | -0.15 | 30/07 00:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | +0.08% | -0.08 | 30/07 00:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 23b | — | 5.966×ATR | p81 | -0.999×ATR | p79 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 18b | — | 5.87×ATR | p91 | -0.427×ATR | p42 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.018×ATR | p0 | -0.406×ATR | p40 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 1b | — | 1.059×ATR | p0 | -0.894×ATR | p75 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
54.3
146
0.2655
0.5505
0.3994
0.2328
0.5358
0.5135
0.4767
0.5632
0.2935
0.3304
0.6252
0.0839
-0.0738
-0.0825
0
-0.9463
-2.2548
0.35
0.65
-1
8
1
0.5345
0.4229
3.318
0.65
0.5135
1.7038
-2.2548
0.4918
0.3306
0.26
-0.0384
0.4826
0.6032
0.8352
0.0839
-11.5226
1.0551
1
0
1
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[time] => 2026-07-26 19:00:00
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[price] => 59.847
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[price] => 56.26
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[price] => 54
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[price] => 55.802
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Array
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[price] => 54.602
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[price] => 55.725
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[price] => 54.003
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[price] => 55.475
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[price] => 55.201
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[price] => 54.513
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[price] => 54.222
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[price] => 53.712
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-30 01:45:00
[price] => 54.3
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-30 04:15:00
[price] => 53.372
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
53.061
54.3
54.3
53.061
55.475
54.255
54.865
0.7437
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:04 | 53.51100000 | 0% |
| 2 | 03:34 | 53.60200000 | +0.17% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.511 | 54.348 | 51.4185 | 2.5 | 74.849 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 54.348 - 53.511 = 0.837
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 53.511 - 51.4185 = 2.0925
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.0925 / 0.837 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 511.4459 | 100 | 9.5578 | 5.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.837 = 9.56
Taille de position USD = 9.56 x 53.511 = 511.57
Donc, tu peux acheter 9.56 avec un stoploss a 54.348
Avec un position size USD de 511.57$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 9.56 x 0.837 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 9.56 x 2.0925 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.91 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.56 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.56 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.7585 % | 112.42 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.511 | 54.348 | 51.4185 | 2.5 | 74.849 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 54.348 - 53.511 = 0.837
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 53.511 - 51.4185 = 2.0925
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.0925 / 0.837 = 2.5
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.564% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.705% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.985% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.187% | 0.8R | -1.125% | 0.7R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.402% | 0.9R | -2.652% | 1.7R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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