Short Trade on DOGE (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 8316.35 DOGE at 0.0696$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06723 (3.46 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0706 (1.38 %)
30 Jul 2026 at 01:06:50
hyperliquid
DOGE
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
30 Jul 2026 01:06
→ 10:40
· 9 hours
Position
Entry 0.06964$
Qty 8316.3541 DOGE
Size 579.1426$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 0.06723 (+3.46%)
TP $ 20.04$
SL 0.0706 (-1.38%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 2.51
Status
loss
PnL
-1.38%
/ -7.98$
MAE -1.54%
MFE +0.00%
0.0R
expires
30 Jul 13:06
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 53088)
#17 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 30/07/2026 01:00
score du 30/07/2026 01:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7721
Quality Score
0.479
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#17 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.38 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#17 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.38 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.31×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.03×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
11.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/07 01:00
30/07 01:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 29/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 30/07 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/07 00:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1157
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.80
Snapshot évalué :
30/07 01:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
30/07/2026 01:00
Score brut
0.4788
Score SMA
0.4993
Rank
#17
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7721
Rank Norm SMA
0.5375
Calculé le
30/07/2026 01:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4490 | r1h: -0.373% · r4h: -0.213% · r1d: -0.86% · r3d: -3.94% · ema21_slope: -0.0312% · dist_ema21: -0.469% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4431 | rs_1h: -0.239% · rs_4h: -0.803% · rs_1d: -1.02% · rs_3d: -2.09% · beta_24h: 0.892 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2061 | rvol_20: 0.51× · zscore_50: -0.349 · trend: -28.76% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6139 | ADX: 21.4 (weak) · Chop: 46.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.753% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.379%
(0.0010)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.699% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.699% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.775% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.988% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.539% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.927% | 1.4R | 0.0× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | pullback | bear_trend | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.79 | bear_high | -5.16% | -0.47 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.84 | range_high | -0.31% | -0.25 | 30/07 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near 0.3ATR | near 0.5ATR | 0.74 | range_medium | -0.26% | -0.06 | 30/07 00:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | range_low |
41%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | near -2.0ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.08% | -0.06 | 30/07 00:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 26b | — | 3.489×ATR | p38 | -0.33×ATR | p37 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 24b | — | 3.836×ATR | p54 | -0.155×ATR | p19 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.438×ATR | p2 | -0.403×ATR | p50 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 12b | — | 3.809×ATR | p77 | -1.745×ATR | p96 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8791
- reason: down_bo width=2.29×ATR dur=37b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.07060096
- tp_price: 0.06723409
- atr:
- score: 0.87909747663539
- expires_at: 2026-07-30T17:06:43.161131
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.87909747663539
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1131
- obi_top10 : 0.1466
- micro_price : 0.06969283
- spread_pct : 0.014349
- mid_price : 0.069695
- bid_wall_price : 0.0695
- bid_wall_size : 37879463
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.0709
- ask_wall_size : 34462233
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1123
- obi_top5_std : 0.0005
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6827
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.071133
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.069967
- balance_zone_mid:
0.07055
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785258000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785387600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.2879
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
37
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8791
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785384000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.069967
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8649
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.6436
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
8
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00050964 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
37
inside_close_ratio
0.8649
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.6436
Signaux confirmants (19)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:06 | 0.06963900 | -0.001% |
| 2 | 01:12 | 0.06963900 | -0.001% |
| 3 | 01:18 | 0.06969600 | +0.08% |
| 4 | 01:23 | 0.06969600 | +0.08% |
| 5 | 01:28 | 0.06969600 | +0.08% |
| 6 | 01:33 | 0.06969600 | +0.08% |
| 7 | 03:19 | 0.06996400 | +0.465% |
| 8 | 03:25 | 0.06996400 | +0.465% |
| 9 | 03:31 | 0.06996400 | +0.465% |
| 10 | 03:37 | 0.06979800 | +0.227% |
| 11 | 03:43 | 0.06979800 | +0.227% |
| 12 | 03:49 | 0.06993500 | +0.424% |
| 13 | 03:55 | 0.06993500 | +0.424% |
| 14 | 04:01 | 0.06993500 | +0.424% |
| 15 | 04:07 | 0.06978700 | +0.211% |
| 16 | 04:13 | 0.06978700 | +0.211% |
| 17 | 04:19 | 0.06981400 | +0.25% |
| 18 | 04:25 | 0.06981400 | +0.25% |
| 19 | 04:31 | 0.06981400 | +0.25% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6827ms
Confidence avant OB :
88%
→
88%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.113
avg 0.112
± 0.001
OBI Top 10
0.147
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0697
Micro Price
0.0697
Spread
0.0143%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0695
Size
37,879,463.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0709
Size
34,462,233.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06964 | 0.0706 | 0.06723 | 2.51 | 0.06977 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.06964
- Stop Loss: 0.0706
- Take Profit: 0.06723
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0706 - 0.06964 = 0.00096
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06964 - 0.06723 = 0.00241
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00241 / 0.00096 = 2.5104
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 579.1426 | 100 | 8316.3541 | 6.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00096
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00096 = 8333.33
Taille de position USD = 8333.33 x 0.06964 = 580.33
Donc, tu peux acheter 8333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.0706
Avec un position size USD de 580.33$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 8333.33 x 0.00096 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 8333.33 x 0.00241 = 20.08
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.08$
Résumé
- Taille de position 8333.33
- Taille de position USD 580.33
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.08
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5104
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.46 % | 20.04 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.38 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.98 $ | -1.38 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.4532 % | 105.42 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06964 | 0.0706 | 0.06723 | 2.51 | 0.06977 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.06964
- Stop Loss: 0.0706
- Take Profit: 0.06723
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0706 - 0.06964 = 0.00096
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06964 - 0.06723 = 0.00241
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00241 / 0.00096 = 2.5104
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.379%
(0.0010)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.699% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.699% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.775% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.988% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.539% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.927% | 1.4R | 0.0× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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