Short Trade on VVV (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 15.5 VVV at 12.118$ per unit. Take profit: 11.8151 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 12.6343 (4.26 %)
Short Trade on VVV (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 15.5 VVV at 12.118$ per unit. Take profit: 11.8151 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 12.6343 (4.26 %)
Position
Entry 12.118$
Qty 15.4956 VVV
Size 187.7756$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 11.8151 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.69$
SL 12.6343 (-4.26%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.59
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0882
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.75×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.14×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.75×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 29/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 30/07 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/07 00:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2793 | r1h: -1.524% · r4h: -1.596% · r1d: -4.23% · r3d: -12.25% · ema21_slope: -0.1845% · dist_ema21: -2.982% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2549 | rs_1h: -1.390% · rs_4h: -2.187% · rs_1d: -4.40% · rs_3d: -10.40% · beta_24h: 1.690 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1654 | rvol_20: 0.26× · zscore_50: -0.519 · trend: -76.35% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5416 | ADX: 23.9 (weak) · Chop: 57.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.781% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.065% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.248% | 0.1R | -1.065% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 2.2h ★ | +0.248% | 0.1R | -1.065% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 25 |
| 4h | +0.734% | 0.2R | -1.065% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.743% | 0.2R | -1.197% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.743% | 0.2R | -2.038% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.46 | bear_high | -5.16% | +0.82 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.48 | range_high | -0.31% | -0.75 | 30/07 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | — | 0.44 | range_medium | -0.26% | -0.38 | 30/07 00:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | — | — | 0.51 | range_low | +0.08% | -0.29 | 30/07 00:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 13b | — | 2.497×ATR | p5 | -0.113×ATR | p15 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 2.585×ATR | p21 | -0.643×ATR | p66 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 1.85×ATR | p19 | -1.038×ATR | p81 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 10b | — | 5.092×ATR | p85 | -1.681×ATR | p93 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:10 | 12.11800000 | 0% |
| 2 | 02:10 | 12.22200000 | +0.858% |
| 3 | 03:10 | 12.12800000 | +0.083% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.118 | 12.6343 | 11.8151 | 0.59 | 21.27 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 12.6343 - 12.118 = 0.5163
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 12.118 - 11.8151 = 0.3029
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3029 / 0.5163 = 0.5867
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 187.7756 | 100 | 15.4956 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.5163 = 15.49
Taille de position USD = 15.49 x 12.118 = 187.71
Donc, tu peux acheter 15.49 avec un stoploss a 12.6343
Avec un position size USD de 187.71$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 15.49 x 0.5163 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 15.49 x 0.3029 = 4.69
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.69$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.69 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.26 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.14 $ | -0.07 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0645 % | 24.98 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.118 | 12.6343 | 11.8151 | 0.59 | 21.27 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 12.6343 - 12.118 = 0.5163
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 12.118 - 11.8151 = 0.3029
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3029 / 0.5163 = 0.5867
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.065% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.248% | 0.1R | -1.065% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 2.2h ★ | +0.248% | 0.1R | -1.065% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 25 |
| 4h | +0.734% | 0.2R | -1.065% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.743% | 0.2R | -1.197% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.743% | 0.2R | -2.038% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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