Short Trade on JTO (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 457.06 JTO at 0.524$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4808 (8.33 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5421 (3.36 %)
30 Jul 2026 at 01:09:13
hyperliquid
JTO
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
30 Jul 2026 01:09
→ 13:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.5245$
Qty 457.0567 JTO
Size 239.7491$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.4808 (+8.33%)
TP $ 19.97$
SL 0.5421 (-3.36%)
SL $ 8.04$
RR 2.48
Status
win
PnL
+3.89%
/ +9.32$
MAE -1.03%
MFE +5.11%
1.5R
expires
30 Jul 13:09
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 53108)
#45 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/07/2026 01:00
score du 30/07/2026 01:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6281
Quality Score
0.396
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#45 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.36 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#45 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.36 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.68×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.55×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.53×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/07 01:01
30/07 01:01
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 29/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 30/07 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/07 00:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1157
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.80
Snapshot évalué :
30/07 01:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
30/07/2026 01:00
Score brut
0.3959
Score SMA
0.4772
Rank
#45
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6281
Rank Norm SMA
0.3823
Calculé le
30/07/2026 01:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3277 | r1h: -0.656% · r4h: -2.929% · r1d: -0.93% · r3d: -12.67% · ema21_slope: -0.0525% · dist_ema21: -2.102% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3010 | rs_1h: -0.522% · rs_4h: -3.520% · rs_1d: -1.09% · rs_3d: -10.83% · beta_24h: 1.032 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2040 | rvol_20: 0.25× · zscore_50: -0.640 · trend: -15.05% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5434 | ADX: 20.2 (weak) · Chop: 53.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.249% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.356%
(0.0176)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.780% | 0.2R | -1.032% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.059% | 0.6R | -1.032% | 0.3R | 2.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.059% | 0.6R | -1.032% | 0.3R | 2.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.671% | 1.4R | -1.032% | 0.3R | 4.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +5.112% | 1.5R | -1.032% | 0.3R | 5.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.897% | 1.8R | -1.032% | 0.3R | 5.7× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.02
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -5.16% | -0.84 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | near -1.6ATR | — | 0.32 | range_high | -0.31% | -0.66 | 30/07 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | near -1.7ATR | — | 0.31 | range_medium | -0.26% | -0.10 | 30/07 00:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bear_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 48% | mid | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.43 | range_low | +0.08% | -0.30 | 30/07 00:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 34b | — | 6.737×ATR | p72 | -0.662×ATR | p62 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 17b | — | 6.628×ATR | p93 | -0.683×ATR | p63 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 2.811×ATR | p56 | -1.279×ATR | p84 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 14b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -1.438×ATR | p83 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8097
- reason: down_bo width=2.91×ATR dur=31b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.5420533
- tp_price: 0.48079175
- atr:
- score: 0.80972952882601
- expires_at: 2026-07-30T17:09:06.120770
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.80972952882601
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.1025
- obi_top10 : 0.0573
- micro_price : 0.52518815
- spread_pct : 0.057154
- mid_price : 0.52505
- bid_wall_price : 0.523
- bid_wall_size : 102835
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.529
- ask_wall_size : 102136
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0279
- obi_top5_std : 0.0417
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6853
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.55076
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.53206
- balance_zone_mid:
0.54141
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785279600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785387600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.9069
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
31
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8097
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785384000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.53206
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.871
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.1674
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00643298 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
31
inside_close_ratio
0.871
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.1674
Signaux confirmants (20)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:09 | 0.52455000 | +0.01% |
| 2 | 01:14 | 0.52455000 | +0.01% |
| 3 | 01:20 | 0.52454000 | +0.008% |
| 4 | 01:25 | 0.52454000 | +0.008% |
| 5 | 01:30 | 0.52454000 | +0.008% |
| 6 | 01:35 | 0.52454000 | +0.008% |
| 7 | 01:40 | 0.52821000 | +0.707% |
| 8 | 01:44 | 0.52821000 | +0.707% |
| 9 | 02:08 | 0.52223000 | -0.433% |
| 10 | 02:14 | 0.52223000 | -0.433% |
| 11 | 02:21 | 0.52121000 | -0.627% |
| 12 | 02:26 | 0.52121000 | -0.627% |
| 13 | 02:33 | 0.52121000 | -0.627% |
| 14 | 02:38 | 0.52069000 | -0.726% |
| 15 | 02:44 | 0.52069000 | -0.726% |
| 16 | 05:38 | 0.51763000 | -1.31% |
| 17 | 05:44 | 0.51763000 | -1.31% |
| 18 | 05:50 | 0.51692000 | -1.445% |
| 19 | 05:56 | 0.51692000 | -1.445% |
| 20 | 06:03 | 0.51692000 | -1.445% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6853ms
Confidence avant OB :
81%
→
81%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.103
avg -0.028
± 0.042
OBI Top 10
0.057
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.5251
Micro Price
0.5252
Spread
0.0572%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.5230
Size
102,835.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.5290
Size
102,136.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5245 | 0.5421 | 0.4808 | 2.48 | 0.3352 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5245
- Stop Loss: 0.5421
- Take Profit: 0.4808
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5421 - 0.5245 = 0.0176
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5245 - 0.4808 = 0.0437
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0437 / 0.0176 = 2.483
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 239.7491 | 100 | 457.0567 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0176
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0176 = 454.55
Taille de position USD = 454.55 x 0.5245 = 238.41
Donc, tu peux acheter 454.55 avec un stoploss a 0.5421
Avec un position size USD de 238.41$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 454.55 x 0.0176 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 454.55 x 0.0437 = 19.86
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.86$
Résumé
- Taille de position 454.55
- Taille de position USD 238.41
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.86
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.483
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.33 % | 19.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.36 % | 8.04 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 9.32 $ | 3.89 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0315 % | 30.74 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5245 | 0.5421 | 0.4808 | 2.48 | 0.3352 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5245
- Stop Loss: 0.5421
- Take Profit: 0.4808
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5421 - 0.5245 = 0.0176
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5245 - 0.4808 = 0.0437
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0437 / 0.0176 = 2.483
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.356%
(0.0176)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.780% | 0.2R | -1.032% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.059% | 0.6R | -1.032% | 0.3R | 2.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.059% | 0.6R | -1.032% | 0.3R | 2.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.671% | 1.4R | -1.032% | 0.3R | 4.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +5.112% | 1.5R | -1.032% | 0.3R | 5.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.897% | 1.8R | -1.032% | 0.3R | 5.7× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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