Short Trade on VVV (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 16.73 VVV at 12.041$ per unit. Take profit: 11.74 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 12.5192 (3.97 %)
Short Trade on VVV (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 16.73 VVV at 12.041$ per unit. Take profit: 11.74 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 12.5192 (3.97 %)
Position
Entry 12.041$
Qty 16.731 VVV
Size 201.4578$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 11.74 (+2.5%)
TP $ 5.04$
SL 12.5192 (-3.97%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.63
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0748
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.56×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.35×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.42×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 29/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 30/07 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/07 03:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2823 | r1h: -0.149% · r4h: -1.930% · r1d: -5.88% · r3d: -12.56% · ema21_slope: -0.2104% · dist_ema21: -2.650% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3012 | rs_1h: -0.224% · rs_4h: -1.740% · rs_1d: -5.09% · rs_3d: -10.76% · beta_24h: 1.652 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1783 | rvol_20: 0.25× · zscore_50: -0.496 · trend: -41.53% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6056 | ADX: 28.0 (trend) · Chop: 54.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.672% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.495% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.844% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.844% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.108% | 0.0R | -2.691% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.108% | 0.0R | -2.691% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.108% | 0.0R | -4.335% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.45 | bear_high | -5.25% | +0.70 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.48 | range_high | -0.41% | -0.78 | 30/07 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.44 | range_medium | -0.30% | -0.51 | 30/07 03:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bear_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | — | 0.51 | range_low | -0.03% | -0.21 | 30/07 03:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.442×ATR | p4 | -0.377×ATR | p39 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 2.74×ATR | p21 | -0.799×ATR | p77 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 9b | — | 2.226×ATR | p34 | -0.776×ATR | p72 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -0.66×ATR | p54 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.041 | 12.5192 | 11.74 | 0.63 | 20.09 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 12.5192 - 12.041 = 0.4782
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 12.041 - 11.74 = 0.301
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.301 / 0.4782 = 0.6294
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 201.4578 | 100 | 16.731 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.4782 = 16.73
Taille de position USD = 16.73 x 12.041 = 201.45
Donc, tu peux acheter 16.73 avec un stoploss a 12.5192
Avec un position size USD de 201.45$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 16.73 x 0.4782 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 16.73 x 0.301 = 5.04
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.04$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 5.04 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.97 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.11 $ | -1.05 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.6908 % | 67.75 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.041 | 12.5192 | 11.74 | 0.63 | 20.09 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 12.5192 - 12.041 = 0.4782
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 12.041 - 11.74 = 0.301
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.301 / 0.4782 = 0.6294
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.495% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.844% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.844% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.108% | 0.0R | -2.691% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.108% | 0.0R | -2.691% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.108% | 0.0R | -4.335% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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