30 Jul 2026 at 04:12:45 hyperliquid

Long Trade on BNB (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 1.5 BNB at 574.88$ per unit. Take profit: 588.2233 (2.32 %) & Stop Loss: 569.5427 (0.93 %)

BNB LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 30 Jul 2026 04:12 → 06:45 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 574.88$

Qty 1.4989 BNB

Size 861.6767$ (margin 100$) (leverage 9)

Risk Setup

TP 588.2233 (+2.32%)

TP $ 20$

SL 569.5427 (-0.93%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status win PnL +2.32% / +20$ MAE -0.00% MFE +3.68% 4.0R expires 30 Jul 16:12

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 53232)
#5 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/07/2026 04:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8018

Quality Score
0.540
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#5 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#5 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.51×ATR
4h near 0.15×ATR
1d clear 1.10×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
3.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/07 04:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

29/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : range_high (0)

30/07 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1)

30/07 03:00

Score : -2 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #1160
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_bound
Strategic range

—

compression

0

Operational range

—

range

0

Tactical range

—

range

0

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.80
Snapshot évalué : 30/07 04:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 30/07/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.5403
Score SMA
0.5117
Rank
#5 / 47
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8018
Rank Norm SMA
0.6994
Calculé le
30/07/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5267 r1h: 0.141% · r4h: 0.284% · r1d: 0.55% · r3d: 0.06% · ema21_slope: 0.0309% · dist_ema21: 0.537%
Force Relative 25% 0.5450 rs_1h: 0.066% · rs_4h: 0.475% · rs_1d: 1.35% · rs_3d: 1.87% · beta_24h: 0.520
Volume 20% 0.2813 rvol_20: 0.90× · zscore_50: -0.113 · trend: -31.75%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5983 ADX: 15.8 (weak) · Chop: 42.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 0.436% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -0.928% (5.3373)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.758% 0.8R -0.004% 0.0R 216.7× 12
2h +1.233% 1.3R -0.004% 0.0R 352.4× 24
4h +2.868% 3.1R -0.004% 0.0R 819.5× 48
8h +3.345% 3.6R -0.004% 0.0R 955.7× 96
12h ★ +3.677% 4.0R -0.004% 0.0R 1,050.7× 144
24h +3.677% 4.0R -0.004% 0.0R 1,050.7× 288

computed 3 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 60
ML Pullback Score: 7.58
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 36% early near 0.0ATR — 0.79 bear_high -5.25% -0.01 29/07 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range weak fading volatile_reversal range_high
31%
noisy_chop 34% mid — near 0.2ATR 0.86 range_high -0.41% +0.20 30/07 00:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive normal bull_medium
64%
noisy_chop 44% mid — — 0.82 range_medium -0.30% +0.15 30/07 03:00
15m ↑ up range range strong balanced compression range_low
41%
noisy_chop 43% mid — near -0.1ATR — range_low +0.02% +0.01 30/07 03:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 25b — 1.658×ATR p0 +0.197×ATR p25
4h ↑ up mid 2b — 1.897×ATR p0 +0.649×ATR p63
1h ↑ up mid 2b — 1.413×ATR p2 +0.631×ATR p63
15m ↓ down mid 1b — 1.274×ATR p0 +0.935×ATR p67

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.8769
  3. reason: up_bo width=2.86×ATR dur=40b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 569.54268505
  5. tp_price: 588.22328739
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.87686939573779
  8. expires_at: 2026-07-30T20:12:37.379457
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.87686939573779
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.022
  14. obi_top10 : 0.022
  15. micro_price : 575.09969483
  16. spread_pct : 0.001739
  17. mid_price : 575.095
  18. bid_wall_price : 574
  19. bid_wall_size : 4220.362
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price :
  22. ask_wall_size :
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.0085
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0197
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7075
  30. aggregation_tick : 1
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    573.21
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    566.355
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    569.7825
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1785258000
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1785398400
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.8585
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    40
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.8769
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1785391200
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    573.21
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.85
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    2
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.6964
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    8
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    3
  59. regime : bull_high
  60. atr_entry : 2.39814954
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
40
inside_close_ratio
0.85
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
0.6964

Signaux confirmants (19)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 04:12 574.88000000 0%
2 04:18 574.86000000 -0.003%
3 04:24 574.86000000 -0.003%
4 04:31 574.86000000 -0.003%
5 04:36 577.73000000 +0.496%
6 04:42 577.73000000 +0.496%
7 04:48 578.05000000 +0.551%
8 04:54 578.05000000 +0.551%
9 05:01 578.05000000 +0.551%
10 05:06 578.86000000 +0.692%
11 05:12 578.86000000 +0.692%
12 05:18 579.02000000 +0.72%
13 05:24 579.02000000 +0.72%
14 05:30 579.02000000 +0.72%
15 05:36 579.00000000 +0.717%
16 05:42 579.00000000 +0.717%
17 05:48 578.85000000 +0.691%
18 05:54 578.85000000 +0.691%
19 06:01 578.85000000 +0.691%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7075ms Confidence avant OB : 88% → 88%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.022
avg 0.009 ± 0.020
OBI Top 10 0.022

Microstructure

Mid Price
575.0950
Micro Price
575.0997
Spread
0.0017%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
574.0000
Size
4,220.36

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
574.88 569.5427 588.2233 2.5 681.98
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 574.88
  • Stop Loss: 569.5427
  • Take Profit: 588.2233

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 569.5427 - 574.88 = -5.3373

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 574.88 - 588.2233 = -13.3433

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -13.3433 / -5.3373 = 2.5

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
861.6767 100 1.4989 9.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -5.3373

Taille de position = 8 / -5.3373 = -1.5

Taille de position USD = -1.5 x 574.88 = -862.32

Donc, tu peux acheter -1.5 avec un stoploss a 569.5427

Avec un position size USD de -862.32$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -1.5 x -5.3373 = 8.01

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -1.5 x -13.3433 = 20.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -1.5
  • Taille de position USD -862.32
  • Perte potentielle 8.01
  • Gain potentiel 20.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.32 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.93 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
20 $ 2.32
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0035 % 0.38 % 1
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
574.88 569.5427 588.2233 2.5 681.98
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 574.88
  • Stop Loss: 569.5427
  • Take Profit: 588.2233

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 569.5427 - 574.88 = -5.3373

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 574.88 - 588.2233 = -13.3433

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -13.3433 / -5.3373 = 2.5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 585.5546
            [stop_loss] => 569.5427
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-07-30 10:35:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 588.22325
            [stop_loss] => 569.5427
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-07-30 10:45:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 590.8919
            [stop_loss] => 569.5427
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-07-30 11:15:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -0.928% (5.3373)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.758% 0.8R -0.004% 0.0R 216.7× 12
2h +1.233% 1.3R -0.004% 0.0R 352.4× 24
4h +2.868% 3.1R -0.004% 0.0R 819.5× 48
8h +3.345% 3.6R -0.004% 0.0R 955.7× 96
12h ★ +3.677% 4.0R -0.004% 0.0R 1,050.7× 144
24h +3.677% 4.0R -0.004% 0.0R 1,050.7× 288

computed 3 months ago

Commentaires

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