Long Trade on JUP (CatchTheWave)
With 18016.8 JUP at 0.195$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1963 (0.46 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1949 (0.26 %)
Long Trade on JUP (CatchTheWave)
With 18016.8 JUP at 0.195$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1963 (0.46 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1949 (0.26 %)
Position
Entry 0.1954$
Qty 18016.8007 JUP
Size 3520.1225$ (margin 100$) (leverage 35)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1963 (+0.46%)
TP $ 16.22$
SL 0.1949 (-0.26%)
SL $ 9.01$
RR 1.8
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8572
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.92×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.46×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.68×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 29/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 30/07 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/07 06:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.598924 15m : 0.554173 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5742 | r1h: 0.051% · r4h: 0.220% · r1d: 0.28% · r3d: 2.45% · ema21_slope: 0.0891% · dist_ema21: 0.518% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5047 | rs_1h: -0.391% · rs_4h: -0.643% · rs_1d: 0.43% · rs_3d: 3.48% · beta_24h: 1.329 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1880 | rvol_20: 0.46× · zscore_50: -0.643 · trend: -26.85% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5216 | ADX: 13.4 (weak) · Chop: 49.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.183% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.409% | 1.6R | -0.369% | 1.4R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.763% | 3.0R | -0.369% | 1.4R | 2.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.520% | 5.9R | -0.369% | 1.4R | 4.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.520% | 5.9R | -0.369% | 1.4R | 4.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.520% | 5.9R | -0.369% | 1.4R | 4.1× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -5.25% | -0.34 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | range_high |
33%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.62 | range_high | +0.45% | +0.37 | 30/07 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.65 | range_medium | +0.57% | +0.03 | 30/07 06:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | range_medium |
37%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | near -0.8ATR | — | range_low | +0.77% | -0.09 | 30/07 06:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 28b | — | 4.767×ATR | p55 | +0.303×ATR | p34 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 15b | — | 4.312×ATR | p74 | +0.435×ATR | p42 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 1.917×ATR | p20 | -0.018×ATR | p2 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 12b | — | 2.066×ATR | p10 | -0.19×ATR | p12 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64263.7
0.00468718
64565
0.598924
64193.1
0.00580867
64566
0.554173
64171.8
0.0064384
64585
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0.20008
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1
8
0.9474
0.4248
0.4768
3.6581
0.5
1.1438
3.6282
1.4153
0.2034
0.248
0.08
-0.1896
0.5673
0.4843
0.6505
0.8121
-2.2263
9.6211
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:50 | 0.19538000 | -0.01% |
| 2 | 06:56 | 0.19516000 | -0.123% |
| 3 | 07:03 | 0.19505000 | -0.179% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 05:00:00 | 0.19448 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 05:30:00 | 0.19674 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 06:20:00 | 0.1952 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 07:00:00 | 0.19632 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 07:30:00 | 0.19438 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 08:40:00 | 0.19636 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 09:25:00 | 0.1957 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 09:35:00 | 0.19659 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 10:05:00 | 0.19659 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 10:45:00 | 0.1953 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 00:00:00 | 0.19821 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 00:45:00 | 0.19504 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 02:15:00 | 0.20008 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 05:00:00 | 0.19448 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 05:30:00 | 0.19674 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 07:00:00 | 0.19632 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 07:30:00 | 0.19438 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 09:30:00 | 0.19659 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 10:00:00 | 0.19659 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 10:45:00 | 0.1953 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 22:00:00 | 0.17741 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 06:00:00 | 0.18389 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 11:00:00 | 0.18129 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 15:00:00 | 0.19197 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 04:00:00 | 0.18736 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 11:00:00 | 0.1976 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 0.19879 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 20:00:00 | 0.18982 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 02:00:00 | 0.20008 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 07:00:00 | 0.19438 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1954 | 0.1949 | 0.1963 | 1.8 | 0.2408 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1949 - 0.1954 = -0.0005
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1954 - 0.1963 = -0.00090000000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00090000000000001 / -0.0005 = 1.8
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3520.1225 | 100 | 18016.8007 | 35.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0005 = -16000
Taille de position USD = -16000 x 0.1954 = -3126.4
Donc, tu peux acheter -16000 avec un stoploss a 0.1949
Avec un position size USD de -3126.4$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -16000 x -0.0005 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -16000 x -0.00090000000000001 = 14.4
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 14.4$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.46 % | 16.22 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.26 % | 9.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -9.01 $ | -0.26 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2559 % | 100 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1954 | 0.1949 | 0.1963 | 1.8 | 0.2408 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1949 - 0.1954 = -0.0005
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1954 - 0.1963 = -0.00090000000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00090000000000001 / -0.0005 = 1.8
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.409% | 1.6R | -0.369% | 1.4R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.763% | 3.0R | -0.369% | 1.4R | 2.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.520% | 5.9R | -0.369% | 1.4R | 4.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.520% | 5.9R | -0.369% | 1.4R | 4.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.520% | 5.9R | -0.369% | 1.4R | 4.1× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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