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Short Trade on DOGE

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30 Jul 2026 at 07:07:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on DOGE (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 11336.26 DOGE at 0.0699$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06813 (2.52 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0706 (1.02 %)

DOGE SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 30 Jul 2026 07:07 → 10:40 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 0.06989$

Qty 11336.2619 DOGE

Size 792.2913$ (margin 100$) (leverage 8)

Risk Setup

TP 0.06813 (+2.52%)

TP $ 19.95$

SL 0.0706 (-1.02%)

SL $ 8.05$

RR 2.48

Status loss PnL -1.02% / -8.05$ MAE -1.56% MFE +0.13% 0.1R expires 30 Jul 19:07

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 53376)
#31 / 47
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 30/07/2026 07:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6368

Quality Score
0.476
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#31 / 47
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.02 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#31 / 47
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.02 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.97×ATR
4h near 0.19×ATR
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
11.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/07 07:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

29/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

30/07 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1)

30/07 06:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #1163
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_bound
Strategic range

—

compression

0

Operational range

—

range

0

Tactical range

—

range

0

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.80
Snapshot évalué : 30/07 07:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 30/07/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.4757
Score SMA
0.5049
Rank
#31 / 47
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6368
Rank Norm SMA
0.6342
Calculé le
30/07/2026 07:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4948 r1h: 0.029% · r4h: 0.518% · r1d: -0.41% · r3d: -3.52% · ema21_slope: -0.0175% · dist_ema21: 0.095%
Force Relative 25% 0.4609 rs_1h: -0.041% · rs_4h: -0.446% · rs_1d: -0.64% · rs_3d: -2.42% · beta_24h: 0.918
Volume 20% 0.1632 rvol_20: 0.20× · zscore_50: -0.553 · trend: -51.05%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5292 ADX: 23.0 (weak) · Chop: 58.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 0.660% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.016% (0.0007)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.132% 0.1R -0.541% 0.5R 0.2× 12
2h +0.132% 0.1R -0.617% 0.6R 0.2× 24
4h +0.132% 0.1R -1.156% 1.1R 0.1× 48
8h +0.132% 0.1R -1.532% 1.5R 0.1× 96
12h ★ +0.132% 0.1R -1.563% 1.5R 0.1× 144
24h +1.132% 1.1R -1.563% 1.5R 0.7× 288

computed 3 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.26
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down pullback bear_trend strong fading compression bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 37% early — — 0.79 bear_high -5.25% -0.49 29/07 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 38% mid near 0.2ATR — 0.84 range_high +0.45% -0.25 30/07 04:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_medium
59%
noisy_chop 39% early — near -0.1ATR 0.74 range_medium +0.57% -0.07 30/07 06:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate fading compression range_low
36%
noisy_chop 36% mid — near -0.1ATR — range_low +0.77% -0.07 30/07 06:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 26b — 3.511×ATR p38 -0.415×ATR p47
4h ↓ down mid 25b — 3.662×ATR p54 +0.085×ATR p11
1h ↑ up early 5b — 1.291×ATR p2 +0.339×ATR p45
15m ↑ up mid 11b — 3.149×ATR p67 +0.498×ATR p50

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.8462
  3. reason: down_bo width=2.55×ATR dur=43b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 0.0705957
  5. tp_price: 0.06812574
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.84622
  8. expires_at: 2026-07-30T23:07:00.984118
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.84622
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
    5. ¸
  5. market_structures
    6. ¸
  6. market_structure_v2
    7. ¸
  7. trend_analyzer_1h
    8. ¸
  8. orderbook_context
  9. obi_top5 : -0.0015
  10. obi_top10 : 0.2247
  11. micro_price : 0.06985547
  12. spread_pct : 0.014316
  13. mid_price : 0.069855
  14. bid_wall_price : 0.0691
  15. bid_wall_size : 41937086
  16. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  17. ask_wall_price : 0.071
  18. ask_wall_size : 32264225
  19. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  20. snapshots_count : 5
  21. obi_top5_mean : 0.0236
  22. obi_top5_std : 0.0141
  23. pressure_side : neutral
  24. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  25. collection_ms : 7103
  26. aggregation_tick : 0.0001
  27. error :
    28. ¸
  28. strategy_details
  29. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  30. strategy_details
  31. balance_zone_top: 
    0.071133
  32. balance_zone_bottom: 
    0.069967
  33. balance_zone_mid: 
    0.07055
  34. balance_zone_start_time: 
    1785258000
  35. balance_zone_end_time: 
    1785409200
  36. balance_zone_width_atr: 
    2.5511
  37. balance_zone_duration_bars: 
    43
  38. balance_zone_quality: tight
  39. balance_zone_maturity: established
  40. balance_zone_confidence: 
    0.8462
  41. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  42. balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
  43. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  44. balance_zone_breakout_time: 
    1785405600
  45. balance_zone_breakout_price: 
    0.069967
  46. strategy_details
  47. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio: 
    0.814
  48. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout: 
    1
  49. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr: 
    0.1685
  50. balance_metrics_has_retested: 
    1
  51. balance_metrics_retest_count: 
    1
  52. balance_metrics_touch_upper: 
    5
  53. balance_metrics_touch_lower: 
    12
  54. regime : bear_high
  55. atr_entry : 0.00045705
    56. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
43
inside_close_ratio
0.814
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.1685

Signaux confirmants (4)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 07:07 0.06989000 0%
2 07:13 0.06989000 0%
3 07:37 0.06990900 +0.027%
4 07:43 0.06990900 +0.027%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7103ms Confidence avant OB : 85% → 85%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.002
avg 0.024 ± 0.014
OBI Top 10 0.225

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.0699
Micro Price
0.0699
Spread
0.0143%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.0691
Size
41,937,086.00

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.0710
Size
32,264,225.00

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.06989 0.0706 0.06813 2.48 0.07113
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.06989
  • Stop Loss: 0.0706
  • Take Profit: 0.06813

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.0706 - 0.06989 = 0.00071

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.06989 - 0.06813 = 0.00176

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00176 / 0.00071 = 2.4789

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
792.2913 100 11336.2619 8.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00071

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00071 = 11267.61

Taille de position USD = 11267.61 x 0.06989 = 787.49

Donc, tu peux acheter 11267.61 avec un stoploss a 0.0706

Avec un position size USD de 787.49$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 11267.61 x 0.00071 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 11267.61 x 0.00176 = 19.83

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.83$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 11267.61
  • Taille de position USD 787.49
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 19.83
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4789

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.52 % 19.95 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.02 % 8.05 $
PNL PNL %
-8.05 $ -1.02
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.0903 % 107.32 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.06989 0.0706 0.06813 2.48 0.07113
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.06989
  • Stop Loss: 0.0706
  • Take Profit: 0.06813

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.0706 - 0.06989 = 0.00071

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.06989 - 0.06813 = 0.00176

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00176 / 0.00071 = 2.4789

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.06813
            [entry_price] => 0.06989
            [stop_loss] => 0.070671
            [rr_ratio] => 2.25
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-07-30 14:50:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.016% (0.0007)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.132% 0.1R -0.541% 0.5R 0.2× 12
2h +0.132% 0.1R -0.617% 0.6R 0.2× 24
4h +0.132% 0.1R -1.156% 1.1R 0.1× 48
8h +0.132% 0.1R -1.532% 1.5R 0.1× 96
12h ★ +0.132% 0.1R -1.563% 1.5R 0.1× 144
24h +1.132% 1.1R -1.563% 1.5R 0.7× 288

computed 3 months ago

Commentaires

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