Short Trade on HYPE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 6.11 HYPE at 53.389$ per unit. Take profit: 52.0543 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 54.6984 (2.45 %)
30 Jul 2026 at 08:10:07
hyperliquid
HYPE
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
30 Jul 2026 08:10
→ 08:15
· 4 minutes
Position
Entry 53.389$
Qty 6.1097 HYPE
Size 326.1914$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 52.0543 (+2.5%)
TP $ 8.15$
SL 54.6984 (-2.45%)
SL $ 8$
RR 1.02
Status
loss
PnL
-0.12%
/ -0.38$
MAE -2.62%
MFE +1.18%
0.5R
expires
30 Jul 08:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=36 <= threshold=38/48
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 53450)
#36 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/07/2026 08:00
score du 30/07/2026 08:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1329
Quality Score
0.443
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#36 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.45 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#36 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.45 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -4.45×ATR |
| 1d | near | -3.23×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
276.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/07 08:02
30/07 08:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 29/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 30/07 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/07 07:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1164
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.80
Snapshot évalué :
30/07 08:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
30/07/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.4427
Score SMA
0.4628
Rank
#36
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1329
Rank Norm SMA
0.3097
Calculé le
30/07/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3410 | r1h: -0.724% · r4h: -1.121% · r1d: -3.38% · r3d: -11.30% · ema21_slope: -0.0832% · dist_ema21: -1.662% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2866 | rs_1h: -0.845% · rs_4h: -2.143% · rs_1d: -3.61% · rs_3d: -10.62% · beta_24h: 1.296 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5262 | rvol_20: 1.76× · zscore_50: 0.997 · trend: -6.43% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4237 | ADX: 18.6 (weak) · Chop: 66.7 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.013% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -2.453%
(1.3094)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.946% | 0.4R | -0.230% | 0.1R | 4.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.176% | 0.5R | -0.744% | 0.3R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.176% | 0.5R | -2.619% | 1.1R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.176% | 0.5R | -3.860% | 1.6R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.176% | 0.5R | -5.059% | 2.1R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.58
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
47%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | near -3.2ATR | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -5.25% | -0.98 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | near -4.5ATR | — | 0.63 | range_high | +0.39% | -0.78 | 30/07 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.53 | range_medium | +0.63% | -0.39 | 30/07 07:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_low_confirmed |
46%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.62 | bull_low | +0.78% | -0.23 | 30/07 07:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 23b | — | 6.011×ATR | p81 | -1.099×ATR | p84 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 19b | — | 6.292×ATR | p94 | -0.675×ATR | p64 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 10b | — | 2.274×ATR | p51 | -1.282×ATR | p91 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 6b | — | 5.441×ATR | p100 | -2.143×ATR | p98 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 54.69839087
- tp_price: 52.054275
- atr: 0.52375635
- expires_at: 2026-07-30T18:10:07+00:00
Details
- rank: 45
- total: 48
- score: 0.341
- delta_2h: -0.083
- extension_atr: -0.89
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1329
- confidence: 0.936
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.389 | 54.6984 | 52.0543 | 1.02 | 77.528 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 53.389
- Stop Loss: 54.6984
- Take Profit: 52.0543
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 54.6984 - 53.389 = 1.3094
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 53.389 - 52.0543 = 1.3347
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.3347 / 1.3094 = 1.0193
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 326.1914 | 100 | 6.1097 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 1.3094
Taille de position = 8 / 1.3094 = 6.11
Taille de position USD = 6.11 x 53.389 = 326.21
Donc, tu peux acheter 6.11 avec un stoploss a 54.6984
Avec un position size USD de 326.21$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 6.11 x 1.3094 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 6.11 x 1.3347 = 8.16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 8.16$
Résumé
- Taille de position 6.11
- Taille de position USD 326.21
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 8.16
- Risk-Reward Ratio 1.0193
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 8.15 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.45 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.38 $ | -0.12 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1873 % | 7.64 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.389 | 54.6984 | 52.0543 | 1.02 | 77.528 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 53.389
- Stop Loss: 54.6984
- Take Profit: 52.0543
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 54.6984 - 53.389 = 1.3094
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 53.389 - 52.0543 = 1.3347
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.3347 / 1.3094 = 1.0193
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 52.0543
[entry_price] => 53.389
[stop_loss] => 54.82934
[rr_ratio] => 0.93
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-07-30 16:55:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 52.0543
[entry_price] => 53.389
[stop_loss] => 54.96028
[rr_ratio] => 0.85
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-07-30 17:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 52.0543
[entry_price] => 53.389
[stop_loss] => 55.09122
[rr_ratio] => 0.78
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-07-30 17:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -2.453%
(1.3094)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.946% | 0.4R | -0.230% | 0.1R | 4.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.176% | 0.5R | -0.744% | 0.3R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.176% | 0.5R | -2.619% | 1.1R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.176% | 0.5R | -3.860% | 1.6R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.176% | 0.5R | -5.059% | 2.1R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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