Long Trade on LINK (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 58.89 LINK at 8.472$ per unit. Take profit: 8.8118 (4.01 %) & Stop Loss: 8.3363 (1.6 %)
30 Jul 2026 at 08:13:37
hyperliquid
LINK
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
30 Jul 2026 08:13
→ 20:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 8.4722$
Qty 58.8882 LINK
Size 498.9123$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 8.8118 (+4.01%)
TP $ 20$
SL 8.3363 (-1.6%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-0.33%
/ -1.66$
MAE -0.62%
MFE +0.66%
0.4R
expires
30 Jul 20:13
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 53428)
#13 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/07/2026 08:00
score du 30/07/2026 08:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4422
Quality Score
0.494
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#13 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.60 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#13 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.60 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.34×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.42×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 6.48×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/07 08:00
30/07 08:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 29/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 30/07 04:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 30/07 07:00 Score : -3 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1164
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.80
Snapshot évalué :
30/07 08:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
30/07/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.4937
Score SMA
0.4916
Rank
#13
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4422
Rank Norm SMA
0.5376
Calculé le
30/07/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5540 | r1h: 0.693% · r4h: 1.810% · r1d: 0.38% · r3d: -3.64% · ema21_slope: 0.0086% · dist_ema21: 1.197% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5175 | rs_1h: 0.572% · rs_4h: 0.787% · rs_1d: 0.15% · rs_3d: -2.96% · beta_24h: 1.208 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1725 | rvol_20: 0.40× · zscore_50: -0.605 · trend: -40.34% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4240 | ADX: 13.7 (weak) · Chop: 61.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.730% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.604%
(0.1359)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.092% | 0.1R | -0.416% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.659% | 0.4R | -0.624% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.659% | 0.4R | -0.624% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.659% | 0.4R | -0.624% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.659% | 0.4R | -0.624% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.659% | 0.4R | -3.072% | 1.9R | 0.2× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.42
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.85 | bear_high | -5.25% | +0.39 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | range_high |
39%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.88 | range_high | +0.39% | -0.32 | 30/07 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | range_high |
41%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | near -1.3ATR | 0.83 | range_medium | +0.63% | +0.08 | 30/07 07:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_low |
48%
|
choppy 54% | late | — | near -0.2ATR | — | bull_low | +0.78% | +0.08 | 30/07 07:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 35b | — | 4.166×ATR | p47 | -0.438×ATR | p54 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 0.814×ATR | p0 | +0.4×ATR | p46 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 2.823×ATR | p49 | +1.604×ATR | p95 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 19b | — | 7.287×ATR | p96 | +1.794×ATR | p97 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8149
- reason: up_bo width=2.26×ATR dur=45b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 8.33634927
- tp_price: 8.81182684
- atr:
- score: 0.81492423941935
- expires_at: 2026-07-31T00:13:29.840956
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.81492423941935
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0824
- obi_top10 : 0.0369
- micro_price : 8.47142457
- spread_pct : 0.011805
- mid_price : 8.4715
- bid_wall_price : 8.45
- bid_wall_size : 99905
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 8.49
- ask_wall_size : 105901
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0824
- obi_top5_std : 0.0005
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7120
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
8.4125
- balance_zone_bottom:
8.2726
- balance_zone_mid:
8.34255
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785254400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785412800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.2562
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
45
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8149
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785409200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
8.4125
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6667
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.9628
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
11
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
10
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.06200735 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
45
inside_close_ratio
0.6667
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.9628
Signaux confirmants (49)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:13 | 8.47220000 | 0% |
| 2 | 08:19 | 8.46420000 | -0.094% |
| 3 | 08:25 | 8.46420000 | -0.094% |
| 4 | 08:31 | 8.46420000 | -0.094% |
| 5 | 08:37 | 8.44550000 | -0.315% |
| 6 | 08:43 | 8.44550000 | -0.315% |
| 7 | 08:49 | 8.43900000 | -0.392% |
| 8 | 08:55 | 8.43900000 | -0.392% |
| 9 | 09:02 | 8.43900000 | -0.392% |
| 10 | 09:07 | 8.44730000 | -0.294% |
| 11 | 09:13 | 8.44730000 | -0.294% |
| 12 | 09:19 | 8.44310000 | -0.343% |
| 13 | 09:25 | 8.44310000 | -0.343% |
| 14 | 09:32 | 8.44310000 | -0.343% |
| 15 | 09:37 | 8.43030000 | -0.495% |
| 16 | 09:43 | 8.43030000 | -0.495% |
| 17 | 09:49 | 8.47750000 | +0.063% |
| 18 | 09:55 | 8.47750000 | +0.063% |
| 19 | 10:02 | 8.47750000 | +0.063% |
| 20 | 10:07 | 8.48700000 | +0.175% |
| 21 | 10:13 | 8.48700000 | +0.175% |
| 22 | 10:19 | 8.47470000 | +0.03% |
| 23 | 10:25 | 8.47470000 | +0.03% |
| 24 | 10:31 | 8.47470000 | +0.03% |
| 25 | 10:37 | 8.48100000 | +0.104% |
| 26 | 10:43 | 8.48100000 | +0.104% |
| 27 | 10:49 | 8.48870000 | +0.195% |
| 28 | 10:55 | 8.48870000 | +0.195% |
| 29 | 11:02 | 8.48870000 | +0.195% |
| 30 | 11:07 | 8.49130000 | +0.225% |
| 31 | 11:13 | 8.49130000 | +0.225% |
| 32 | 11:19 | 8.47180000 | -0.005% |
| 33 | 11:25 | 8.47180000 | -0.005% |
| 34 | 11:31 | 8.47180000 | -0.005% |
| 35 | 11:37 | 8.45550000 | -0.197% |
| 36 | 11:43 | 8.45550000 | -0.197% |
| 37 | 11:49 | 8.48390000 | +0.138% |
| 38 | 11:55 | 8.48390000 | +0.138% |
| 39 | 12:02 | 8.48390000 | +0.138% |
| 40 | 12:07 | 8.50070000 | +0.336% |
| 41 | 12:13 | 8.50070000 | +0.336% |
| 42 | 12:19 | 8.49800000 | +0.305% |
| 43 | 12:25 | 8.49800000 | +0.305% |
| 44 | 12:31 | 8.49800000 | +0.305% |
| 45 | 12:37 | 8.48760000 | +0.182% |
| 46 | 12:43 | 8.48760000 | +0.182% |
| 47 | 12:49 | 8.47630000 | +0.048% |
| 48 | 12:55 | 8.47630000 | +0.048% |
| 49 | 13:02 | 8.47630000 | +0.048% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7120ms
Confidence avant OB :
81%
→
81%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.082
avg -0.082
± 0.001
OBI Top 10
0.037
Microstructure
Mid Price
8.4715
Micro Price
8.4714
Spread
0.0118%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
8.4500
Size
99,905.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
8.4900
Size
105,901.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.4722 | 8.3363 | 8.8118 | 2.5 | 10.81 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 8.4722
- Stop Loss: 8.3363
- Take Profit: 8.8118
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.3363 - 8.4722 = -0.1359
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.4722 - 8.8118 = -0.3396
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3396 / -0.1359 = 2.4989
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 498.9123 | 100 | 58.8882 | 5.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.1359
Taille de position = 8 / -0.1359 = -58.87
Taille de position USD = -58.87 x 8.4722 = -498.76
Donc, tu peux acheter -58.87 avec un stoploss a 8.3363
Avec un position size USD de -498.76$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -58.87 x -0.1359 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -58.87 x -0.3396 = 19.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$
Résumé
- Taille de position -58.87
- Taille de position USD -498.76
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.99
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4989
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.01 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.6 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.66 $ | -0.33 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6244 % | 38.93 % | 34 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.4722 | 8.3363 | 8.8118 | 2.5 | 10.81 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 8.4722
- Stop Loss: 8.3363
- Take Profit: 8.8118
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.3363 - 8.4722 = -0.1359
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.4722 - 8.8118 = -0.3396
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3396 / -0.1359 = 2.4989
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.604%
(0.1359)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.092% | 0.1R | -0.416% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.659% | 0.4R | -0.624% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.659% | 0.4R | -0.624% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.659% | 0.4R | -0.624% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.659% | 0.4R | -0.624% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.659% | 0.4R | -3.072% | 1.9R | 0.2× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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