Long Trade on ONDO (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 330.73 ONDO at 0.425$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4853 (14.24 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4007 (5.67 %)
30 Jul 2026 at 08:21:11
hyperliquid
ONDO
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
30 Jul 2026 08:21
→ 20:20
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.4248$
Qty 330.7284 ONDO
Size 140.51$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.4853 (+14.24%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 0.4007 (-5.67%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 2.51
Status
loss
PnL
-2.70%
/ -3.8$
MAE -3.07%
MFE +0.53%
0.1R
expires
30 Jul 20:21
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 53444)
#4 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/07/2026 08:00
score du 30/07/2026 08:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9519
Quality Score
0.576
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#4 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.67 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#4 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.67 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -1.18×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.78×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
16.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/07 08:16
30/07 08:16
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 29/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 30/07 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/07 07:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1164
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.80
Snapshot évalué :
30/07 08:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
30/07/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.5759
Score SMA
0.5508
Rank
#4
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9519
Rank Norm SMA
0.8122
Calculé le
30/07/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6389 | r1h: 0.270% · r4h: 1.796% · r1d: 3.17% · r3d: 2.68% · ema21_slope: 0.1373% · dist_ema21: 2.242% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5871 | rs_1h: 0.149% · rs_4h: 0.774% · rs_1d: 2.94% · rs_3d: 3.36% · beta_24h: 2.110 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2550 | rvol_20: 0.50× · zscore_50: -0.300 · trend: 6.19% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5766 | ADX: 23.9 (weak) · Chop: 53.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.606% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.673%
(0.0241)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.396% | 0.1R | -0.812% | 0.1R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.396% | 0.1R | -1.674% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.534% | 0.1R | -2.893% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.534% | 0.1R | -3.065% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.534% | 0.1R | -3.065% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.534% | 0.1R | -5.993% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.3
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.65 | bear_high | -5.25% | +0.97 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.60 | range_high | +0.39% | +0.35 | 30/07 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | explosive | normal | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.55 | range_medium | +0.63% | +0.44 | 30/07 07:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_medium |
65%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | — | — | bull_low | +0.78% | +0.15 | 30/07 07:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 36b | — | 4.543×ATR | p65 | +0.419×ATR | p50 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 2.484×ATR | p19 | +0.83×ATR | p76 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 7b | — | 2.48×ATR | p43 | +0.754×ATR | p72 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.826×ATR | p0 | +0.569×ATR | p44 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7953
- reason: up_bo width=2.99×ATR dur=45b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.40066097
- tp_price: 0.48532258
- atr:
- score: 0.79526026490066
- expires_at: 2026-07-31T00:21:04.006532
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.79526026490066
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1195
- obi_top10 : 0.0502
- micro_price : 0.42325044
- spread_pct : 0.023629
- mid_price : 0.42325
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.426
- ask_wall_size : 1100739.2
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0815
- obi_top5_std : 0.0393
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6958
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.41172
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.39099
- balance_zone_mid:
0.401355
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785254400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785412800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.9869
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
45
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7953
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785398400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.41172
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8889
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
4
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.8918
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
3
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00694031 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
45
inside_close_ratio
0.8889
bars_since_breakout
4
distance_to_edge_atr
1.8918
Signaux confirmants (18)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:21 | 0.42485000 | +0.012% |
| 2 | 08:27 | 0.42485000 | +0.012% |
| 3 | 08:33 | 0.42485000 | +0.012% |
| 4 | 08:38 | 0.42471000 | -0.021% |
| 5 | 08:45 | 0.42471000 | -0.021% |
| 6 | 08:51 | 0.42294000 | -0.438% |
| 7 | 08:56 | 0.42294000 | -0.438% |
| 8 | 09:04 | 0.42294000 | -0.438% |
| 9 | 10:39 | 0.41992000 | -1.149% |
| 10 | 10:45 | 0.41992000 | -1.149% |
| 11 | 10:51 | 0.42031000 | -1.057% |
| 12 | 10:57 | 0.42031000 | -1.057% |
| 13 | 11:04 | 0.42031000 | -1.057% |
| 14 | 11:39 | 0.41900000 | -1.365% |
| 15 | 11:45 | 0.41900000 | -1.365% |
| 16 | 11:51 | 0.42001000 | -1.128% |
| 17 | 11:57 | 0.42001000 | -1.128% |
| 18 | 12:04 | 0.42001000 | -1.128% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6958ms
Confidence avant OB :
80%
→
80%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.120
avg 0.082
± 0.039
OBI Top 10
0.050
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.4233
Micro Price
0.4233
Spread
0.0236%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.4260
Size
1,100,739.20
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4248 | 0.4007 | 0.4853 | 2.51 | 0.3627 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.4248
- Stop Loss: 0.4007
- Take Profit: 0.4853
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4007 - 0.4248 = -0.0241
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4248 - 0.4853 = -0.0605
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0605 / -0.0241 = 2.5104
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 140.51 | 100 | 330.7284 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0241
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0241 = -331.95
Taille de position USD = -331.95 x 0.4248 = -141.01
Donc, tu peux acheter -331.95 avec un stoploss a 0.4007
Avec un position size USD de -141.01$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -331.95 x -0.0241 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -331.95 x -0.0605 = 20.08
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.08$
Résumé
- Taille de position -331.95
- Taille de position USD -141.01
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.08
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5104
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 14.24 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.67 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.8 $ | -2.70 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.065 % | 54.02 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4248 | 0.4007 | 0.4853 | 2.51 | 0.3627 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.4248
- Stop Loss: 0.4007
- Take Profit: 0.4853
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4007 - 0.4248 = -0.0241
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4248 - 0.4853 = -0.0605
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0605 / -0.0241 = 2.5104
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.673%
(0.0241)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.396% | 0.1R | -0.812% | 0.1R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.396% | 0.1R | -1.674% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.534% | 0.1R | -2.893% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.534% | 0.1R | -3.065% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.534% | 0.1R | -3.065% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.534% | 0.1R | -5.993% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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