Long Trade on ADA (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 931.34 ADA at 0.172$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1936 (12.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1635 (5 %)
30 Jul 2026 at 12:08:52
hyperliquid
ADA
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
30 Jul 2026 12:08
→ 00:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.1721$
Qty 931.3372 ADA
Size 160.3018$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1936 (+12.49%)
TP $ 20.02$
SL 0.1635 (-5%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-1.37%
/ -2.2$
MAE -1.70%
MFE +0.57%
0.1R
expires
31 Jul 00:08
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 53628)
#1 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/07/2026 12:00
score du 30/07/2026 12:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8219
Quality Score
0.805
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#1 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
66 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.00 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#1 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
66 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.00 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.16×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 12.14×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
6.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/07 12:00
30/07 12:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 29/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 30/07 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 30/07 11:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1168
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.80
Snapshot évalué :
30/07 12:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
30/07/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.8054
Score SMA
0.5568
Rank
#1
/ 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8219
Rank Norm SMA
0.8403
Calculé le
30/07/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7479 | r1h: 0.418% · r4h: 5.240% · r1d: 6.16% · r3d: 9.58% · ema21_slope: 0.1274% · dist_ema21: 4.555% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7590 | rs_1h: 0.270% · rs_4h: 5.249% · rs_1d: 4.92% · rs_3d: 9.23% · beta_24h: 1.348 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8527 | rvol_20: 2.81× · zscore_50: 1.618 · trend: 81.48% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8046 | ADX: 36.6 (trend) · Chop: 20.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.271% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.997%
(0.0086)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.291% | 0.1R | -1.319% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.343% | 0.1R | -1.319% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.569% | 0.1R | -1.319% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.569% | 0.1R | -1.517% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.569% | 0.1R | -1.697% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.569% | 0.1R | -3.277% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.4
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.81 | bear_high | -3.91% | -0.18 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.68 | range_high | +0.59% | +0.60 | 30/07 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
choppy 52% | late | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.70 | range_medium | +0.73% | +0.38 | 30/07 11:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_medium_confirmed |
72%
|
choppy 52% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | +0.67% | +0.43 | 30/07 11:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 1.794×ATR | p0 | +0.181×ATR | p24 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 4.065×ATR | p63 | +2.61×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 5.208×ATR | p95 | +2.759×ATR | p99 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 2.266×ATR | p29 | +0.795×ATR | p65 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.6616
- reason: up_bo width=2.10×ATR dur=42b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.1635302
- tp_price: 0.1935945
- atr:
- score: 0.66160671510527
- expires_at: 2026-07-31T04:08:44.542747
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.66160671510527
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.02
- obi_top10 : 0.0049
- micro_price : 0.1715176
- spread_pct : 0.058309
- mid_price : 0.17155
- bid_wall_price : 0.171
- bid_wall_size : 8800889
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.174
- ask_wall_size : 8185366
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0229
- obi_top5_std : 0.0016
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7058
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.166025
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.16147
- balance_zone_mid:
0.1637475
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785279600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785427200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.0962
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
42
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.6616
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785416400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.166025
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8571
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
3
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
2.8049
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
3
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
9
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.002173 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
42
inside_close_ratio
0.8571
bars_since_breakout
3
distance_to_edge_atr
2.8049
Signaux confirmants (49)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:08 | 0.17212000 | +0.012% |
| 2 | 12:14 | 0.17212000 | +0.012% |
| 3 | 12:20 | 0.17213000 | +0.017% |
| 4 | 12:26 | 0.17213000 | +0.017% |
| 5 | 12:33 | 0.17213000 | +0.017% |
| 6 | 12:38 | 0.17183000 | -0.157% |
| 7 | 12:44 | 0.17183000 | -0.157% |
| 8 | 12:50 | 0.17058000 | -0.883% |
| 9 | 12:56 | 0.17058000 | -0.883% |
| 10 | 13:03 | 0.17058000 | -0.883% |
| 11 | 13:08 | 0.17074000 | -0.79% |
| 12 | 13:14 | 0.17074000 | -0.79% |
| 13 | 13:20 | 0.17125000 | -0.494% |
| 14 | 13:26 | 0.17125000 | -0.494% |
| 15 | 13:32 | 0.17125000 | -0.494% |
| 16 | 13:38 | 0.17078000 | -0.767% |
| 17 | 13:44 | 0.17078000 | -0.767% |
| 18 | 13:50 | 0.17127000 | -0.482% |
| 19 | 13:56 | 0.17127000 | -0.482% |
| 20 | 14:03 | 0.17127000 | -0.482% |
| 21 | 14:20 | 0.17148000 | -0.36% |
| 22 | 14:26 | 0.17148000 | -0.36% |
| 23 | 14:33 | 0.17148000 | -0.36% |
| 24 | 14:38 | 0.17127000 | -0.482% |
| 25 | 14:44 | 0.17127000 | -0.482% |
| 26 | 14:50 | 0.17194000 | -0.093% |
| 27 | 14:56 | 0.17194000 | -0.093% |
| 28 | 15:03 | 0.17194000 | -0.093% |
| 29 | 15:08 | 0.17176000 | -0.198% |
| 30 | 15:14 | 0.17176000 | -0.198% |
| 31 | 16:20 | 0.17191000 | -0.11% |
| 32 | 16:26 | 0.17191000 | -0.11% |
| 33 | 16:33 | 0.17191000 | -0.11% |
| 34 | 16:38 | 0.17072000 | -0.802% |
| 35 | 16:44 | 0.17072000 | -0.802% |
| 36 | 16:50 | 0.17053000 | -0.912% |
| 37 | 16:56 | 0.17053000 | -0.912% |
| 38 | 17:03 | 0.17053000 | -0.912% |
| 39 | 17:08 | 0.17021000 | -1.098% |
| 40 | 17:14 | 0.17021000 | -1.098% |
| 41 | 17:20 | 0.17057000 | -0.889% |
| 42 | 17:26 | 0.17057000 | -0.889% |
| 43 | 17:32 | 0.17057000 | -0.889% |
| 44 | 17:38 | 0.17031000 | -1.04% |
| 45 | 17:44 | 0.17031000 | -1.04% |
| 46 | 17:50 | 0.17030000 | -1.046% |
| 47 | 17:56 | 0.17030000 | -1.046% |
| 48 | 18:03 | 0.17030000 | -1.046% |
| 49 | 18:08 | 0.16995000 | -1.249% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7058ms
Confidence avant OB :
66%
→
66%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.020
avg -0.023
± 0.002
OBI Top 10
0.005
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.1716
Micro Price
0.1715
Spread
0.0583%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.1710
Size
8,800,889.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.1740
Size
8,185,366.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1721 | 0.1635 | 0.1936 | 2.5 | 0.1832 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1721
- Stop Loss: 0.1635
- Take Profit: 0.1936
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1635 - 0.1721 = -0.0086
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1721 - 0.1936 = -0.0215
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0215 / -0.0086 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 160.3018 | 100 | 931.3372 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0086
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0086 = -930.23
Taille de position USD = -930.23 x 0.1721 = -160.09
Donc, tu peux acheter -930.23 avec un stoploss a 0.1635
Avec un position size USD de -160.09$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -930.23 x -0.0086 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -930.23 x -0.0215 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position -930.23
- Taille de position USD -160.09
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 12.49 % | 20.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.2 $ | -1.37 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.6967 % | 33.95 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1721 | 0.1635 | 0.1936 | 2.5 | 0.1832 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1721
- Stop Loss: 0.1635
- Take Profit: 0.1936
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1635 - 0.1721 = -0.0086
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1721 - 0.1936 = -0.0215
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0215 / -0.0086 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.997%
(0.0086)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.291% | 0.1R | -1.319% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.343% | 0.1R | -1.319% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.569% | 0.1R | -1.319% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.569% | 0.1R | -1.517% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.569% | 0.1R | -1.697% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.569% | 0.1R | -3.277% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.